clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 UKIE is cold. Entire state of VA is snow at 72. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z UKIE nudged souther looks like Dang it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: UKIE is cold. Entire state of VA is snow at 72. Not exactly what ya wanna see up here...shoot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Improvement from 0z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Ukie also has no wraparound snow at all like the other models have. After 81 it's done 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Ukie better than 0z. Looks little just a slightly later onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: UKIE is cold. Entire state of VA is snow at 72. QPF slightly higher vs 00z too. DC went from 0.45” to 0.55”. All snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z UKIE nudged souther looks like It’s a little north. By like 25 miles or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Good to see the southern ticks on the latest runs. Hope the euro holds. 15min til the most important run of our lives.... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, clskinsfan said: So warning level for most on GFS/GEM/ICON...almost down to advisory on Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Crazy to say seeing how far south it is, but the UK nudged a bit north if anything. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Its a Chill jackpot on the Ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Remember we only use 10-1 when it shows the most snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, yoda said: I don't think I've seen DC get less than 6 inches on a Kuchera snowfall map for any model in the last 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, yoda said: I can live with that...as long as the south trend as stopped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 It's refreshing to see the primary stay along the KY/TN line on a lot of the guidance now. That plus a robust 700 mb low passing to our south help us win in the snowfall department. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Hope euro. Comes a lil northThis is usually when the last minute north ticks start. We have 48 hrs to make up ground. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: I can live with that...as long as the south trend as stopped. Gradient over Northern Delware is crazy, from Wilmington, DE to Dover,DE is night and day. 1.7 versus 7.7 Yikes ! Hope the UKIE is wrong for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Definitely north of last night's. Last night really was a big move south lol. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 All 0z runs tonight is your best bet to start trying to understand the final outcome. We are not quite there yet in my opinion and past experience following models and past set ups including this potential set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, Chris78 said: Definitely north of last night's. Last night really was a big move south lol. Yeah it looks good to me. 78 hr panel has a classic look to it, developing coastal and a band of snow right over us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I’m a big believer in the overrunning but not the coastal. The low usually jumps too far northeast and we miss out. We can get substantial backlash but only in like 1 out of every 5 B transfer set ups . The overrun hit is like 4+ out of every 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Moved towards euro / gfs / cmc. All I wanted to see out of the Ukie. The setup upstairs looks good. Not worried about short pump seeing more than us ultimately. Big run coming up shortly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Precip on the doorstep at 3z...starts shortly after It would be way more fun for this to get going at 10pm as opposed to 3am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said: I’m a big believer in the overrunning but not the coastal. The low usually jumps too far northeast and we miss out. We can get substantial backlash but only in like 1 out of every 5 B transfer set ups . The overrun hit is like 4+ out of every 5 When there's a good block our region behaves more like northern Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 The Varsity King has begun. I'm looking for a hold or just a tiny bump north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: The Varsity King has begun. I'm looking for a hold or just a moderate bump north Fixed (shameless imby-ism) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 WB 15Z NBM 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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