Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted Friday at 06:08 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:08 AM 2 minutes ago, T. August said: Euro ens. 0z top 18z bottom. Includes .5-1” from tomorrow in the northern areas. RIC almost doubled their totals. Definite southward shift in means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted Friday at 06:09 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:09 AM 10 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: How many minutes is the cut off? 15 seconds? 30 Seconds? It doesnt matter. YOU DO NOT live in the Mid Atlantic. Sorry I need to know the rate of speed in order to process this information. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 06:11 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:11 AM 00z EPS snow mean was a definite south movement, agreement with 00z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Friday at 06:15 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:15 AM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Honestly bro. I dont care. The cutoff is what it is. And I know you and me agree about a lot of things on here. He is not in the Mid Atlantic. And we might score this storm. Wont change my thoughts on it. I think you'll do well. Honestly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 06:30 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:30 AM Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted Friday at 06:31 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:31 AM 1 minute ago, yoda said: Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 06:32 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:32 AM Just now, pazzo83 said: DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. He usually thinks that always about the GFS tbh lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted Friday at 06:33 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:33 AM 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks I like that idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Friday at 06:33 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:33 AM 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. evergreen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 06:33 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:33 AM 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. Wait. So DT is hugging the Euro? Shocking.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Friday at 06:37 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:37 AM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Wait. So DT is hugging the Euro? Shocking.... DT's unwavering loyalty to the Euro for the last 30 years is kind of admirable and impressive tbh. That's a long time to never break. Good marriages are built on shakier foundations. 4 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Friday at 06:41 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:41 AM 21 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: Yeah 40South would be a good name for the sub tbh The staff doesnt really like me very much. I have a better chance of 24-36" from this storm than getting this forum renamed after my old board. Otherwise I'd suggest it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted Friday at 06:43 AM Share Posted Friday at 06:43 AM 7 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. Of course, he doesn't comment on the Euro showing a 12" jackpot over Chincoteague, which is equally out to lunch. Cmc is the only sane one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted Friday at 07:16 AM Share Posted Friday at 07:16 AM 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: so on SV...Northern crew got noticeably drier As always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted Friday at 07:18 AM Share Posted Friday at 07:18 AM 1 hour ago, Ji said: it seems alot more south It is. It’s bad for up my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted Friday at 07:19 AM Share Posted Friday at 07:19 AM 1 hour ago, nj2va said: La la lock it up. The subforum is staring down a WSW event. Not up my way on that. Would be another wsw fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted Friday at 07:25 AM Share Posted Friday at 07:25 AM 1 hour ago, Deck Pic said: I dont care about the PA thing. Your location actually makes sense to be with us. It's just that you should realize you will overperform in a colder solution There will be secondary banding that modelling isn't picking up. A secondary QPF maxima. You know this. If the models give you like .60 cold QPF, I'd probably swing for the fences in your backyard and go 8-12" Maybe? No reason you should know this but it is closing in on six years since a warning level event for northern Maryland outside of mtpsu. I’ve seen this a LOT in that timeframe - this area gets dried out and missss the goods to the south. Jan 3/4,2022 which was half a foot or so in Columbia and 6-10 from DC to Ji-land etc was less than an inch for my area of northern Baltimore county. Whatever dynamics go under “always goes north” haven’t been the dominant player for awhile. in any event, congrats to central VA up to DC on a nice set of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted Friday at 07:32 AM Share Posted Friday at 07:32 AM Not up my way on that. Would be another wsw fail. Splitting the difference between GFS / Euro is probably the best bet at this point. Would be 6+ for mostly everyone. We’re pretty close to game time but still a good 60+ out. Expecting this to nudge north a tiny bit by Sunday. Said this yesterday, but I expect the latitude around Winchester due east toward Baltimore to be in a prime position for this one (north enough for all snow, south enough for qpf) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted Friday at 07:40 AM Share Posted Friday at 07:40 AM 1 hour ago, yoda said: Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks Thank you Yoda. I leave for an hour and come back to hopefully see a lot more about the inbound snow, p-type and how much IMBY... Instead there's an endless diatribe about geography nonsense that should be in banter. Geeze gang - it's going to snow. Cut it out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yohan Posted Friday at 08:53 AM Share Posted Friday at 08:53 AM can we now lock in that the DMV is the bullsey of the even of 5/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 09:17 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:17 AM WD 6Z ICON zoom (10-1) and Pivotal kuchera zoom Image 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Friday at 09:20 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:20 AM I have some thoughts on the storm after analyzing some overnight trends and digging deeper into things at the office. I will have more input with a longer, informative post after I assess the 12z runs later today. Heading home for some sleep. I want to leave people with this: There will be several spots I believe that see 8-12" of snowfall from this somewhere along and north of US50. This is a small call on my part early on and I have a hunch the 12z runs will maintain my thought process. A couple models this evening are trending in that direction. See you guys later today! 15 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 09:25 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:25 AM 06z ICON moved souther a bit and juiced up a little bit IMHO, especially in MD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 09:28 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:28 AM Wide view comparison 06z ICON 00z ICON 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 09:31 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:31 AM Zoomed in comparison 06z ICON 00z ICON 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 09:45 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:45 AM WB 6Z RGEM goes south this run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 09:47 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:47 AM WB 12K NAM end of run, not storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Friday at 09:54 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:54 AM 6z GFS coming in souther. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Friday at 09:54 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:54 AM WB 12K NAM end of run, not storm...That looks unfortunate Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 09:55 AM Share Posted Friday at 09:55 AM @Ji look at 78 on 06z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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