yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, yoda said: Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, pazzo83 said: DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. He usually thinks that always about the GFS tbh lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks I like that idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. Wait. So DT is hugging the Euro? Shocking.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 7 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: DT just posted that he thinks the GFS is out to lunch. Of course, he doesn't comment on the Euro showing a 12" jackpot over Chincoteague, which is equally out to lunch. Cmc is the only sane one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: so on SV...Northern crew got noticeably drier As always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, Ji said: it seems alot more south It is. It’s bad for up my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, nj2va said: La la lock it up. The subforum is staring down a WSW event. Not up my way on that. Would be another wsw fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, Deck Pic said: I dont care about the PA thing. Your location actually makes sense to be with us. It's just that you should realize you will overperform in a colder solution There will be secondary banding that modelling isn't picking up. A secondary QPF maxima. You know this. If the models give you like .60 cold QPF, I'd probably swing for the fences in your backyard and go 8-12" Maybe? No reason you should know this but it is closing in on six years since a warning level event for northern Maryland outside of mtpsu. I’ve seen this a LOT in that timeframe - this area gets dried out and missss the goods to the south. Jan 3/4,2022 which was half a foot or so in Columbia and 6-10 from DC to Ji-land etc was less than an inch for my area of northern Baltimore county. Whatever dynamics go under “always goes north” haven’t been the dominant player for awhile. in any event, congrats to central VA up to DC on a nice set of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Not up my way on that. Would be another wsw fail. Splitting the difference between GFS / Euro is probably the best bet at this point. Would be 6+ for mostly everyone. We’re pretty close to game time but still a good 60+ out. Expecting this to nudge north a tiny bit by Sunday. Said this yesterday, but I expect the latitude around Winchester due east toward Baltimore to be in a prime position for this one (north enough for all snow, south enough for qpf) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, yoda said: Can we go back to discussing the 00z EPS snow mean and it being noice? Thanks Thank you Yoda. I leave for an hour and come back to hopefully see a lot more about the inbound snow, p-type and how much IMBY... Instead there's an endless diatribe about geography nonsense that should be in banter. Geeze gang - it's going to snow. Cut it out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yohan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 can we now lock in that the DMV is the bullsey of the even of 5/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 WD 6Z ICON zoom (10-1) and Pivotal kuchera zoom Image 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I have some thoughts on the storm after analyzing some overnight trends and digging deeper into things at the office. I will have more input with a longer, informative post after I assess the 12z runs later today. Heading home for some sleep. I want to leave people with this: There will be several spots I believe that see 8-12" of snowfall from this somewhere along and north of US50. This is a small call on my part early on and I have a hunch the 12z runs will maintain my thought process. A couple models this evening are trending in that direction. See you guys later today! 15 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 06z ICON moved souther a bit and juiced up a little bit IMHO, especially in MD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Wide view comparison 06z ICON 00z ICON 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Zoomed in comparison 06z ICON 00z ICON 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 WB 6Z RGEM goes south this run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 WB 12K NAM end of run, not storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6z GFS coming in souther. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 WB 12K NAM end of run, not storm...That looks unfortunate Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 @Ji look at 78 on 06z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I will accept hr 90 as well @CAPE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Nice run WB 6Z GFS! 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Zoomed in PW Kuchera 06z GFS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Wow insane wetSent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 GFS is adjusting towards the other guidance. Less amplified/weaker with the initial low and earlier secondary development. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Let's lock that up and call it a winter Till next weekend Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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