winter_warlock Posted Friday at 01:07 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:07 AM 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB EURO last five runs. Solid.... Pretty consistent in my opinion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 01:07 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:07 AM 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: Solid As a mofo rock. We are gonna find out if the update fixed it or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted Friday at 01:14 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:14 AM 1 hour ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: That is true, I have to say! During the 2016 blizzard, I was up most of that night, maybe catching a nap here and there in amongst Jebwalks, taking photos, and regular snowfall measurements. What's funny is that I was a bit worried someone would have called the cops on me, wondering why there was some whacko wandering around in the snow with a yardstick and a camera around his neck in the middle of the night!!! I hope you guys get absolutely DEMOLISHED by snow, wind and brutal Vodka cold! 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Friday at 01:22 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:22 AM Check out this map @brooklynwx99 posted in the nyc forum: Notice the 18z euro is a bit faster with the s/w, allowing for more interaction with the tpv. Also notice the height lines press further south over the eastern lakes SE canada. I think this is why it’s colder and snowier for DC than the other 12z/18z models, and at the same time pushing the precip shield further north and east, allowing NJ/NYC to get in on some of the action. Something to monitor until game time. If we see this again at 0z, it’s probably onto something. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Friday at 01:25 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:25 AM 21 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I’m inside that 5 contour. Just me…and 1 million others. What exactly is the 5 contour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Friday at 01:29 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:29 AM 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Check out this map @brooklynwx99 posted in the nyc forum: Notice the 18z euro is a bit faster with the s/w, allowing for more interaction with the tpv. Also notice the height lines press further south over the eastern lakes SE canada. I think this is why it’s colder and snowier for DC than the other 12z/18z models, and at the same time pushing the precip shield further north and east, allowing NJ/NYC to get in on some of the action. Something to monitor until game time. If we see this again at 0z, it’s probably onto something. I can buy that. Especially since it's from the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 01:36 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:36 AM 6 minutes ago, bncho said: I can buy that. Especially since it's from the Euro. Exactly. Plus it has been rock solid for days. If it was any other model we probably toss. But not the Euro. Cannot toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 01:38 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:38 AM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Exactly. Plus it has been rock solid for days. If it was any other model we probably toss. But not the Euro. Cannot toss it. Weren't you saying my snow squalls tomorrow were the best storm we'd see all week not 3 hours ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 01:39 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:39 AM Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Weren't you saying my snow squalls tomorrow were the best storm we'd see all week not 3 hours ago? Bro. There was a after that post. Go look again.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted Friday at 01:46 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:46 AM 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Damn that Kuchera euro...is this shit really gonna happen? I'm skeptical. Are you saying we shouldn’t take one run of a deterministic model 3 days out verbatim? eta: Is there a way to block users by location? Like from PA for example? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Friday at 01:47 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:47 AM That ECMWF dual banding structure is literally so textbook. There will be some impressive amounts with this one so long as the synoptic pattern holds firm. The WAA snows could very well come in like a wall. This is one of the best way we score around here. 17 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted Friday at 01:53 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:53 AM Those with a bit more knowledge than me, were a bit too close now to be using ensembles right? Glad the EPS mean is solid don’t get me wrong, but that’s to be expected with the OP euro looking so good for days now. Feels like 72ish hours out we should be relying mainly on OPs? GFS / EURO over GEFS / EPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Friday at 01:55 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:55 AM 8 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Are you saying we shouldn’t take one run of a deterministic model 3 days put verbatim? Yes…yes he is 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Friday at 01:57 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:57 AM 9 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: Are you saying we shouldn’t take one run of a deterministic model 3 days out verbatim? eta: Is there a way to block users by location? Like from PA for example? Lol No, just one person at a time. I already blocked a few who came in here from the NY forum (not brooklyn, he’s good) 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 02:02 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:02 AM 26 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Exactly. Plus it has been rock solid for days. If it was any other model we probably toss. But not the Euro. Cannot toss it. Please don’t jinx us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted Friday at 02:02 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:02 AM 11 minutes ago, jayyy said: Those with a bit more knowledge than me, were a bit too close now to be using ensembles right? Glad the EPS mean is solid don’t get me wrong, but that’s to be expected with the OP euro looking so good for days now. Feels like 72ish hours out we should be relying mainly on OPs? GFS / EURO over GEFS / EPS? A wise man once posted this. Could have sworn it was you! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted Friday at 02:04 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:04 AM 3 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: A wise man once posted this. Could have sworn it was you! That's not accurate. I think eps should be favored through day 3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Friday at 02:06 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:06 AM 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Please don’t jinx us Y'all are locked in...chill. Just hoping the N extent can continue to expand for us in my locale so we all do the snow dance come Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 02:06 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:06 AM 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Please don’t jinx us I dont think you love the Euro depiction anyways right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 02:08 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:08 AM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: I dont think you love the Euro depiction anyways right? What? It’s great. The heck you talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted Friday at 02:08 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:08 AM 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: That's not accurate. I would add Euro and CMC to Days 1-3, but I think it is pretty good. How would you make it ‘accurate’? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 02:09 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:09 AM 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: What? It’s great. The heck you talking about? Oh you are just over the border from Manchester. Nevermind. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 02:10 AM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:10 AM Alright, let's kick of the 0z with the NAM appetizer. So far, our s/w is a bit more amp'd out front. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 02:16 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:16 AM Confluence is going to be better this run. Can tell already. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 02:20 AM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:20 AM 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Confluence is going to be better this run. Can tell already. Honestly, there really isn't much difference. And this is from someone who'd benefit. It's literally like one ass hair difference so far 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 02:23 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:23 AM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Honestly, there really isn't much difference. And this is from someone who'd benefit. It's literally like one ass hair difference so far Its pretty substantial. Look at the 540 and 522 line: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Friday at 02:24 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:24 AM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Its pretty substantial. Look at the 540 line: It's an asshair, like Randy said. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 02:25 AM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:25 AM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Its pretty substantial. Look at the 540 and 522 line: Not really seeing it as substantial. There is a small difference IMO. I'll wait it out, I could be totally wrong. Vort continues to be a bit more amp'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 02:27 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:27 AM 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: It's an asshair, like Randy said. Its a 30 mile asshair though...:) 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Friday at 02:28 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:28 AM 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Not really seeing it as substantial. There is a small difference IMO. I'll wait it out, I could be totally wrong. Vort continues to be a bit more amp'd Good observation by clskinsfan, even the tiniest differences in confluence can create big shifts with snowfall. We’re talking about <50 mile shifts. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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