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The January 5/6 Thing


stormtracker
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17 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

The snow in the backside deform is what I’ve been saying would include some really solid snow growth and ratios. The mid level pass looks supportive. 

hoping a lot of us cash with the thumpy WAA slug then tack on more fluff with that piece. 

That is really looking like a nice end scenario in the last 24 hours. Hope that continues to juice up. 

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

That is really looking like a nice end scenario in the last 24 hours. Hope that continues to juice up. 

Agreed. Having 4-8" area wide OTG then that piece move through would give us longer duration and a nice bump to the totals. Just don't want to get stuck depending on that type of evolution to do most of the damage. 

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5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

That is really looking like a nice end scenario in the last 24 hours. Hope that continues to juice up. 

If you ignore p-type, the storm through 21z Monday is a fairly uniform 0.5” for most of us.  Then we tack on about 0.15” Monday evening on the backside.  
 

(18z GFS)

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Just now, MN Transplant said:

If you ignore p-type, the storm through 21z Monday is a fairly uniform 0.5” for most of us.  Then we tack on about 0.15” Monday evening on the backside.  

That .15 can be 3-4" for sure as we've seen with those kinds of evolutions. Someone mentioned the closed pass in 2/10/10, some areas were melting SLR's in the mid 20's+ IIRC. 

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Just now, mitchnick said:

Wouldn't be surprised if that northern stripe above the PA line doesn't extend east in future runs.

I WOULD be surprised if it didn't, agreed lol. That corridor where we are looks like a great spot for fronto banding judging by some of the h7 maps. Millville has been alluding to that last day or two. 

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