WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM 2 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said: Capital Weather Gang article mentions the possibility of frontal enhancement in its latest article as "There are also some indications that the jet stream pattern and localized fronts may help intensify snow over our region". Has 35% of 3-6 for DC, 35% 6+ for DC, 20% 1-4 because mixing issues, and 10% chance of 1-4 for DC due to missing to the south. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/01/02/dc-region-snow-storm-forecast-ice-winter-weather/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=wp_weather 0”=5% 1-3”-20% 4-6”-60% 7 or greater 15% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:45 PM 18 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Now that's covering your azz. They said nothing other than we can’t forecast 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Thursday at 08:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:48 PM 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I think LWX is smart to call out potential for sleet/freezing rain because that will have bigger impacts on the Monday morning commute than an all snow event. Anytime we're flirting with the mix/changeover line, it has to be addressed and made known to the public. Absolutely 100% agree, but it's not showing up in the grid forecasts. Everything I'm seeing is all snow. It's almost like they're talking directly to us nerds or something, i.e. "Stop focusing on the snow maps." 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 08:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:52 PM Where is the energy located now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted Thursday at 08:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:55 PM 4 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Absolutely 100% agree, but it's not showing up in the grid forecasts. Everything I'm seeing is all snow. It's almost like they're talking directly to us nerds or something, i.e. "Stop focusing on the snow maps." Yes, but if the storm were to take a further north course say as currently modeled continues nudging north you do introduce the possibility of sleet, freezing rain and mixed precipitation. You often do get a warm nose of air upstairs off of the Atlantic that's normal climo stuff around here especially if the storm center is nearby while transferring to another low off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted Thursday at 08:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:59 PM 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Can we like...not post these maps before they're finished running? I know it's just a panel more here and it's the NAM, but others have been doing the same with the snow maps. Those were point in time maps, not cumulative, so why would it matter if the model is still running? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Thursday at 09:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:02 PM 9 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: 0”=5% 1-3”-20% 4-6”-60% 7 or greater 15% DCA official measurement T-1”=10% 1-3”-20% 3-5.9” - 45% 6" or greater - 25% 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 09:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:12 PM 8 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: DCA official measurement T-1”=10% 1-3”-20% 3-5.9” - 45% 6" or greater - 25% I’m going to venture that if, just if, BWI and IAD and Andrew’s come in at 7” then DCA will be 4.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:17 PM Icon significant north move 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted Thursday at 09:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:18 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 09:18 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 09:18 PM Imma just see myself out before the panic comes in from....the ICON. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted Thursday at 09:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:20 PM Wow- way north. May as well track to Canada now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 09:20 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 09:20 PM So anyway, the 18z NAM looked like it was gonna be a shellacking. Looked like most of the other 12z suite . Yeah, it's the NAM...just looking at it for any trends etc 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Thursday at 09:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:21 PM If the GFS follows the ICON, the meltdown to ensue will be brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Thursday at 09:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:23 PM Just now, LeesburgWx said: If the GFS follows the ICON, the meltdown to ensue will be brutal Think about the chaos that would happen if the Euro went north and think about the fights if the Euro went south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted Thursday at 09:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:23 PM 60s in VA beach Monday according to the ICON....was low 40s this mornings run......not a good sign, hopefully its just the ICON 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted Thursday at 09:24 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:24 PM It doesn’t even really look north, just warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 09:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:27 PM 1 minute ago, konksw said: It doesn’t even really look north, just warmer. Icon thermals suck anyway. And it’s the icon. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Thursday at 09:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:28 PM 6 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: If the GFS follows the ICON, the meltdown to ensue will be brutal Yet pre discussed, referenced and even anticipated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Thursday at 09:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:29 PM Rgem says relax. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted Thursday at 09:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:29 PM Apparently todays earlier Euro was the most important run only until the king ICON came out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted Thursday at 09:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:30 PM Quality. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted Thursday at 09:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:31 PM Do I always have to be the one to request data when a run goes bad? Not a peep about the 12z eps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Thursday at 09:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:32 PM The ICON is what I have been trying to communicate in the last 24 hours. Accurate? Who knows 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Thursday at 09:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:32 PM ICON is not even north. Just a few hours slower. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Thursday at 09:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:32 PM 1 minute ago, snowfan said: Quality. Germans can't afford their electricity prices these days so they've disabled half the cores in their weather processors. Cut em some slack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted Thursday at 09:33 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:33 PM 5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Icon thermals suck anyway. And it’s the icon. doesn't seem like it's picking up any CAD signal. We know how strong that can be in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Thursday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:34 PM 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Not a peep about the 12z eps... What about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:34 PM 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Rgem says relax. Ya it looked solid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted Thursday at 09:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:35 PM 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: What about it? I would like to see it please. I'm only assuming it was bad since nobody posted it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts