SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Saturday at 02:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:30 PM 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: NAM seems really fast? Out of here pretty quick? Coastal taking over at hour 60. We have to hope it’s wrong about punching that dry slot through nova into dc. Baltimore likes this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 02:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:31 PM Weird run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 02:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:31 PM Why are we using 12K???? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Saturday at 02:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:32 PM 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: Yeah this nam basically canceled the storm for Nova What a model it is. Don't think it deserves the time we give to it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 02:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:32 PM WB 3K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Saturday at 02:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:33 PM 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Thru 60 *not finished yet* Has 0 snow where Euro has 1' + lol Wonder which one will be more accurate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 02:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:34 PM Continues to snow through 66, giving a bit more love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Saturday at 02:34 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:34 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Saturday at 02:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:35 PM 3k 12z NAM looked pretty tasted at 60 out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 02:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:35 PM Done at 69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 02:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:35 PM 3k thermals much better for DC than 12k. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Just now, yoda said: 3k 12z NAM looked pretty tasted at 60 out west Was just about to post that. Would be great. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Lol Nam is like a bonafide cold front crossing down this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Saturday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:37 PM I don’t by the 12k NAM basically removing all of the WAA thump that’s on practically every other model, including the 3k. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Saturday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:37 PM 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 3k is the one to care about soon I know its the NAMs at range but should NOVA be worried about the weird dry slot it shows with the WAA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Saturday at 02:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:38 PM More consistent then the euro in terms of the precip. 3k is not that different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted Saturday at 02:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:39 PM Just now, SnowenOutThere said: I know its the NAMs at range but should NOVA be worried about the weird dry slot it shows with the WAA? We've been screwed like this in the past... Hope it's not onto something 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Saturday at 02:39 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:39 PM Just now, Ravens94 said: More consistent then the euro. Curious what does this model give you vs the Euro? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted Saturday at 02:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:40 PM I wouldn’t freak about the NAM. It’s still the NAM and out of range and 3K is the good NAM anyway. That’s the one to focus on as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Saturday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:41 PM 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: We've been screwed like this in the past... Hope it's not onto something Yeah, kinda hard to take it too seriously though when all the good global models do not show this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Saturday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:42 PM First law of 12k NAM: if it's showing a lot of snow, believe in the power of being NAM'd Second law of 12k NAM: if it's showing not enough snow, it's dead wrong and a booty cheeks model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Saturday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:42 PM 3K NAM at the end of its run. Should be a bit more to come with nice ratios. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Saturday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:42 PM 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: We've been screwed like this in the past... Hope it's not onto something either way it still gets us to 7ish inches by the end of its run with at least 2-6 more with the coastal fluff so not even a bad run verbatim, but is a little worrying if it nudges any further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Saturday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:43 PM 4 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Curious what does this model give you vs the Euro? Does it matter? I said it's consistent I'd say the same thing weather it was here or not. GFS is also been pretty rock solid while the euro has been moving 30 miles a run back to where it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Saturday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:44 PM Just now, SnowenOutThere said: either way it still gets us to 7ish inches by the end of its run with at least 2-6 more with the coastal fluff so not even a bad run verbatim, but is a little worrying if it nudges any further north Agree 100%, but if anything, it nudged a little bit south vs. 6Z (talking about the 12k). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM Lock in that 3k right now. The trajectory of the ULL snows looks great for the entire forum. Turns a 6-8+ storm into an areawide 8-12. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM Just now, StormyClearweather said: Agree 100%, but if anything, it nudged a little bit south vs. 6Z (talking about the 12k). Yeah I saw that on the above loop of the 12km...it's actually shifted south vs. 06Z. Question..did the 3km NAM depict the same extreme dry-slot that is visible on the 12km? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM 7 minutes ago, LP08 said: I don’t by the 12k NAM basically removing all of the WAA thump that’s on practically every other model, including the 3k. Yeah, hard to take that depiction seriously when the 3k differs + every other model as well. Unless the (better) models show the same thing, that scenario seems unlikely right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Saturday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:49 PM 1 minute ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: Yeah I saw that on the above loop of the 12km...it's actually shifted south vs. 06Z. Question..did the 3km NAM depict the same extreme dry-slot that is visible on the 12km? It doesn't look that way to me. Just a break between the initial wave and the back-end stuff. Sorry for small size - file size limitations. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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