stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, bncho said: He didn't say that we were in the best possible place. I'm glad somebody understood what I was saying. Do we really want to be in the best spot at 72 hours? I like where we are now because we're in the middle of the spray. Even so, I'd take the Euro in a heartbeat verbatim. Give me a solid warning criteria event vs gambling with sleet/dry slot issues. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Blend the GFS/CMC/EURO and we jack. 100% good where we sit right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Holy Fook the Euro....looking good for me here in Northern Neck of VA......but know this probably tics north the next 2 days...... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm glad somebody understood what I was saying. Do we really want to be in the best spot at 72 hours? I like where we are now because we're in the middle of the spray. Even so, I'd take the Euro in a heartbeat verbatim. Give me a solid warning criteria event vs gambling with sleet/dry slot issues. The Euro is about .45-.5 QPF for us with temps 24-25. That's a very nice event for us in metro DC. And yeah it gives us room for the inevitable creep northward between now and Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok, when it does the inevitable 100 mile shift north, remember my statement and yours. ill take my chances with 1.30 of warmer liquid than .45 of colder 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kcones88 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 8 minutes ago, IronTy said: Still loving me some euro This doesn't account for sleet, does it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm glad somebody understood what I was saying. Do we really want to be in the best spot at 72 hours? I like where we are now because we're in the middle of the spray. Even so, I'd take the Euro in a heartbeat verbatim. Give me a solid warning criteria event vs gambling with sleet/dry slot issues. Perfect, we want that right there where it is now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: The Brits like the souther track, but both are incrementally norther on the 12z runs. Would be nice if the storm explodes on the coast and I can get some backlash from the departing low. Your area looks way better than me with only .26 liquid eq. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, Ji said: ill take my chances with 1.30 of warmer liquid than .45 of colder You have lost your fucking mind. What's the use of 1.3 of warmer when .5 is wasted on non-snow? 5 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm glad somebody understood what I was saying. Do we really want to be in the best spot at 72 hours? I like where we are now because we're in the middle of the spray. Even so, I'd take the Euro in a heartbeat verbatim. Give me a solid warning criteria event vs gambling with sleet/dry slot issues. After all this time I should've realized that most active posters are in the southern half...lol See I'm rooting for a north trend. I mean 4-5" is pretty good and would look really nice and deep wintery with the arctic blast setting in. BUT, on the other hand...I and others have been fringed that way a lot the last 9 years... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: You have lost your fucking mind. What's the use of 1.3 of warmer when .5 is wasted on non-snow? Lost his mind? It’s been lost a long time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 You will never hear me complain about 7 inches of cold smoke. The Euro and UK are COLD. And whatever does fall is going to be around for weeks. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, Ji said: yea this is completely unacceptable agreed. Can't see the 12z yet, but previous euro runs want to relax the cold +tnh pattern past the 12th. We need deep snowcover now to avoid ugly above freezing days before the reload. 5" won't do it 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, stormtracker said: You have lost your fucking mind. What's the use of 1.3 of warmer when .5 is wasted on non-snow? He has FB weather page called wintry mix. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Of note, today's snow showers have trended north. Originally no further north than southern Delaware , now up into central Jersey. Not sure if that means anything for this storm? Models overdoing the block? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, LordBaltimore said: agreed. Can't see the 12z yet, but previous euro runs want to relax the cold +tnh pattern past the 12th. We need deep snowcover now to avoid ugly above freezing days before the reload. 5" won't do it Euro ensembles keep the trough in the east thru the end thanks to a reload. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I'll take the front end thump on the Euro that drops a foot of snow in 3 hrs over Richmond but shifted north 100 miles followed by the gfs back end ULL pasage. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You have lost your fucking mind. What's the use of 1.3 of warmer when .5 is wasted on non-snow? im just saying--if it shifted north 100 miles we get the best of both worlds. It still wont come close to mixing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, CAPE said: He has FB weather page called wintry mix. its not a weather page. Its a page for teachers to hope for days off. 73% of the followers are female lol 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 The EURO and GFS are on separate islands, about 100 miles apart. The Euro and UKIE are camped on the same island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 56 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: You’ll never find a bigger fan on the east coast of the United States than this guy when it comes to the Ukie. @Bob Chill time to will it south! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 7 minutes ago, kcones88 said: This doesn't account for sleet, does it? Euro is pretty cold so not much sleet or mixing over us. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Of note, today's snow showers have trended north. Originally no further north than southern Delaware , now up into central Jersey. Not sure if that means anything for this storm? Models overdoing the block? On 12/31/2024 at 6:49 PM, RevWarReenactor said: People laughed when I said every super cold pattern in the last 10 years hasn't produced anything. Lookin' good 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Ji said: im just saying--if it shifted north 100 miles we get the best of both worlds. It still wont come close to mixing I think we will see that north shift. We have to see if it comes true.. I mean, the trend this year, unfortunately, has been systems not getting wetter and better for our backyards in Loudoun.. I would like to see that different this time. I would rather be the northern edge than the southern edge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, Amped said: I'll take the front end thump on the Euro that drops a foot of snow in 3 hrs over Richmond but shifted north 100 miles followed by the gfs back end ULL pasage. If we could get that then we'd be in almost 18 inch territory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 21 minutes ago, rjvanals said: Is it me or does that look better for northern maryland then 6 z did 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, winter_warlock said: Is it me or does that look better for northern maryland then 6 z did It is a bit wetter on the northern side, you're correct. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 17 minutes ago, Ji said: ill take my chances with 1.30 of warmer liquid than .45 of colder It’s good to know that after all these years you are still an absolutely insane human being. 2 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 10 minutes ago, stormy said: The EURO and GFS are on separate islands, about 100 miles apart. The Euro and UKIE are camped on the same island. We know the drill they will either come back together again or they will cave to each other one of the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 18 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Perfect, we want that right there where it is now We’re not in the jackpot zone but I’ll take the free room and buffet and 100 free slot play 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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