TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: You were just a little premature in posting that Even better lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: regardless of verbatim runs, at this point I'm accepting that I might mix or flip. Hopefully 90%+ liquid is snow first. I mean, we always should living here. But dude made like it was 3 hours of pure sleet. GFS did not show this. Could in the future tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I want to caution that this is just one run, and as a reminder, this is a global model that may not have the best resolution for working out the ptype details per soundings. The mesos will help us with that starting tomorrow afternoon-ish. If this holds, should be "mostly" snow for the DC/Balt metros. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, TSSN+ said: Even better lol Approved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Just now, bncho said: Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. ok 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, that happens all the time. Congrats TSSN Hey thanks lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 CMC looks decent according to this site https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html, though does have IAD and DCA mix for a time before flipping to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? Yes. Pivotalweather.com has them every 3 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. I think its SUPERCLOSE per the soundings I just looked at for DC. There is a warm nose, but it skirts the freezing line and never actually crosses over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. Are you using p-type maps or soundings? sometimes the p-type maps vary depending on how they are calculated (even from website to website). You need to look at soundings. It might get close if rates are vey low but look above at red tagger posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I mean, we always should living here. But dude made like it was 3 hours of pure sleet. GFS did not show this. Could in the future tho yeah....I didnt see his post. We might have to sweat the mix line, but that's like every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? Just read the last two pages and every single one of your questions is answered. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? sure are. From 90 to 99 its all snow. Maybe some freezing rain at 102 but precip is pretty light. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, Kmlwx said: Are you using p-type maps or soundings? sometimes the p-type maps vary depending on how they are calculated (even from website to website). You need to look at soundings. It might get close if rates are vey low but look above at red tagger posts. I was using maps because WB doesn't have soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 12 and 18z Monday for DC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Annapolis jackpot 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Just now, bncho said: I was using maps because WB doesn't have soundings. So wait...you did all that using MAPS and not even checking soundings? Brah.... 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, bncho said: I was using maps because WB doesn't have soundings. theres the problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: CMC looks decent according to this site https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html, though does have IAD and DCA mix for a time before flipping to heavy snow. Oh man it's beautiful. That would be a lot of QPF I would think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Snow starts slightly later on 12z CMC in DC metro... around midnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Oh man it's beautiful. That would be a lot of QPF I would think. Do not need to worry about QDF on that run, would be a fun winters morning even if it gets a bit icy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Daytime snow, too. Those are so much better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, bncho said: yk what I should just shut up you are right to think it because it could happen especially inside the beltway...but before that everyone feasts like Henry VIII on white gold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Soundings are close at DCA at 96 on 12z CMC, but it is still snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Looks all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Pound town 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Me thinks that CMC snow map will be lovely to look at. Its fridgid at the surface too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Pound town over .8 qpf for us! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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