January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[bncho]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Looks good but still north overall just wet too. Crushed! 

And by a miracle, DC stays snow.

[BornAgain13]

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Nasty looking ice storm if anything. Your area looks like it would be spared the worst. 

Not according to the CMC lol

[Buddy1987]

CMC doing a good job illustrating the cold air damming setup, even with primary to the west northwest. Freezing rain down the spine of the apps into Asheville. 

[midatlanticweather]

8 minutes ago, VA Mad Man said:

But can the GFS hold serve for 90+ hours?

 

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

No

[mattie g]

Canadian says we CAD. Hard.

[bncho]

I'm happy with the GEM. 6 inches of just snow IMBY. Mason-Dixon line is cashing in a lot of money, though.

[Imgoinhungry]

When is the last time DC got 6+ inches of snow?


.

[TSSN+]

Almost just like 18z euro 

 

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z Can

[winter_warlock]

3 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

 

  I actually  remember that episode of Seinfeld.    About the rental car !!lol

[Terpeast]

Love the CAD on the CMC. Sign me up. 

IAD sounding show a warm nose at 800-825 mb flirting dangerously close to 0C, but stays colder than that. Too early for these details ofc

[stormtracker]

180.  Gulf low...not sure we can get the heights to rise out front in time

[Ji]

[mitchnick]

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

180.  Gulf low...not sure we can get the heights to rise out front in time

I'm starting to wonder whether that weekend would be to soon to look for something. Wouldn't the block by that time be a tad overpowering and not give the wave enough space to amplify?

[winter_warlock]

If the ukie shows anything similar to gfs and cmc  I'll go to bed a happy man

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

If the skies shows anything similar to gfs and cmc  I'll go to bed a happy man

Did you mean the euro? Lol

[winter_warlock]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Did you mean the euro? Lol

I meant ukie

[winter_warlock]

I gotta work.  At 6 am so I wont be up for the euro

[stormtracker]

Next potential unimpressive verbatim.  But all the players are still on the field.

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Next potential unimpressive verbatim.  But all the players are still on the field.

Ya im going to focus on the first storm before worrying about anything after. 

[Chris78]

Looks great but can it hold for 4 days? I'm along the pa border and a little nervous for the north trends.

[Solution Man]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Next potential unimpressive verbatim.  But all the players are still on the field.

Appreciate your PBP

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Ya im going to focus on the first storm before worrying about anything after. 

As you should.  I'm just out here giving bootleg pbp on future events.   We can stop the north trend now tho

[Ji]

Next potential unimpressive verbatim.  But all the players are still on the field.

Getting so tired of energy being sucked into the desert sw man:

I just want to see on run where it all comes out

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

As you should.  I'm just out here giving bootleg pbp on future events.   We can stop the north trend now tho

CMC just looks like 18z euro and gfs still catching up. 0z euro will matter the most to see if it keeps going north or holds or bumps a little back south. 

[T. August]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

CMC just looks like 18z euro and gfs still catching up. 0z euro will matter the most to see if it keeps going north or holds or bumps a little back south. 

I’d argue the ICON and Canadian are both north of the euro, at least at the sfc. Just a guess but it wouldn’t surprise me if the euro came north a bit at 0z.

[EHoffman]

I've seen this north trend story before...

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z GEFS: edit 10am Tues.

 

 

[midatlanticweather]

5 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

I've seen this north trend story before...

Timing and that 50/50 all becoming bigger factors.. if this slows we are not going to maximize snow. I think Friday also holds some weight on how the 50/50 works out! Give it time.