January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[Heisy]

GFS is trying to get things going late here….i realize this is far out, nothing else to really look at




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[mitchnick]

Gem has that trough stuck in the sw. Where have we seen that before? 

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

GFS is trying to get things going late here….i realize this is far out, nothing else to really look at




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S&E again with the system. Ughh

[Heisy]

Man Mitch cmc looks secsy




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[mitchnick]

Just now, Heisy said:

Man Mitch cmc looks secsy




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Just gunna post. It's bringing something out of the GOM. Where it goes???

[rjvanals]

Canadian system looks like snow to a mix S/E of 95

[Heisy]

Just gunna post. It's bringing something out of the GOM. Where it goes???

Big hit, the good news I take from both of these runs is they are very similar to the euro AI progression


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[mitchnick]

Gem is a gem.

[rjvanals]

Canadian has been performing best recently imo did well on the Monday system and was showing a modest hit for last night in the mid range 

[JenkinsJinkies]

4 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

Canadian system looks like snow to a mix S/E of 95

Good thing it’s 9 days out

[WxUSAF]

9 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Gem is a gem.

6-12” with more to come at the end 

[Blizzard of 93]

10 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Gem is a gem.

Indeed

[bncho]

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Indeed

Already 9-12" of snow in DC. Probably another 9-18" after.

[Heisy]

Canadian system looks like snow to a mix S/E of 95

It’s getting colder as the storm is progressing since the HP is building in as the storm commences


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[Steve25]

23 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

S&E again with the system. Ughh

I say this with all seriousness, do you really want the GFS showing big hits 7-10+ days out? Almost feels like the kiss of death recently. Just look for signs of cold air with storm activity in the vicinity at this range. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

If this plays out 2025 joins the ranks of 2016 and 2003

[Shad]

Be cool to have a 4 day period with multiple waves affecting the region with 6-12 inches......  would make for one of the best Januarys in the last 20 years

[Kevin Reilly]

3 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Weenie handbook says when too much cold overwhelms the pattern and we are dry and cold, when the pattern relaxes is when we cash in. That's actually pretty true, all joking aside.

This is the epitome of a normal Mid Atlantic Winter we or most are accustomed to. 

[Kevin Reilly]

3 hours ago, Heisy said:

Yeah, front clears around the 20th, left over energy is redeveloped in the SE with cold air in place, still near day 10 though just for entertainment purposes


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This is where we root for the SE Ridge to pop and push the storms northwest.

[Kevin Reilly]

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

6z GEFS & 0z GEPS are looking quite impressive for the 7 day period from the 20th to the 27th.

Screams normal climo here.

[Blizzard of 93]

7 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Screams normal climo here.

Not for a 7 day period.

When things are bad, the ensembles have no issue painting 1 inch over the course of a week.

The signal is there for a window.

[Heisy]

12z GEFS trend, can tell it’s moving towards leaving energy behind the front. Solid step




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[stormy]

GFS has the same system which is always good, but has the Atlantic ridge weaker and the system is suppressed.

[Heisy]

@mitchnick

Euro looking very similar to the cmc so far




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[Heisy]

Let’s see if we can get separation with the trailer wave


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[mattie g]

58 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

6-12” with more to come at the end 

…plenty more.

This is going to be fun and frustrating in equal measure to track for the next couple/few weeks!

[Heisy]

Looks like euro trapped energy out west, but still close enough, we track


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[mitchnick]

Just now, Heisy said:

Looks like euro trapped energy out west, but still close enough, we track


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Ughh. Hate the Euro. Lol

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, Heisy said:

Looks like euro trapped energy out west, but still close enough, we track


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Not bad for this range.

[Superstorm]

Not bad for this range.

That’s not bad at all.


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