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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

It totally depends where the boundary sets up. It won’t work if the trough axis is centered too far west. Right now I like where it’s centered on the means. 

Agree. Normally, as I said, it's NE that wins. But this year I  actually am concerned about being too far north. The cold has been pressing and warm-ups delayed, so I'm not willing to overlook that possibility as well. It would be just my luck. Lol

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Regarding 12z Euro...I know it ends up Ice to rain, but I'll take my chances with a gulf wave approaching us from the TN valley with a 1045 high over upstate NY.  There are so many paths to a win there, basically anything other than it phasing early and bombing out to 989 in the lakes and I'll bet against that at this range.  

There’s cold on our doorstep on the euro, that’s for sure. Looks like a little break next week before winter levels up again.
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3 hours ago, mitchnick said:

Just in case you haven't looked lately, Cfs average forecast for February has gone from torch to average in the east. Trend has obviously been to go colder. We'll see.

cfs-mon_01_T2ma_us_1 (2).png

It’s strange, ever since mid December the significant warm up has been getting can kicked.

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