Chris78 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Meh. Goodnight. Not staying up for the Euro. To tired and high for this blah shit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, psuhoffman said: The trough is trending more positive every run. It’s going the wrong way. Ah well...time to punt this one away. Feels like if we were gonna see a positive change it would've been tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: When was the last time ATL got anything? Answer my own question, Dec of '22 they got 0.1. You have to go back to 2018 for an actual snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Heights flatter as it approaches our area. Trajectory of the 7H moisture field is east-northeast and too far south. Best chance in the sub for anything of significance is likely south of Rt50 and mainly the Eastern Shores of MD/DE/Part of VA. This wasn't a good run for many here. Not totally dead, but approaching if this keeps up. The 5H pattern was just not applicable for our latitude. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 37 minutes ago, stormtracker said: What do we do if the GFS/Euro don't budge? We waiting until tomorrow for COD (call of death)? I'd only COD if theres zero chance for any accumulation, the bomb was a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said: CWG says so too. I think our coldest historical stretch just started for 2 weeks but snowier is later. Cold is vital but can’t overwhelm, it’s cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, WEATHER53 said: I think our coldest stretch just started for 2 weeks but snowier is later. Cold is vital but can’t overwhelm, it’s cold No I mean the prime snow climo period based off of historical data. DC's window of opportunity is usually from MLK Day to President's Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 25 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nice little snow/ice event for ATL. Yall don't care, but not much to say at this point. I care because if that can gain enough latitude then its good place for us to have it passed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Heights flatter as it approaches our area. Trajectory of the 7H moisture field is east-northeast and too far south. Best chance in the sub for anything of significance is likely south of Rt50 and mainly the Eastern Shores of MD/DE/Part of VA. This wasn't a good run for many here. Not totally dead, but approaching if this keeps up. The 5H pattern was just not applicable for our latitude. What’s interesting on the gfs is how similar it is to 3 days ago before the trough started going more neutral/negative. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, JenkinsJinkies said: No I mean the prime snow climo period based off of historical data. DC's window of opportunity is usually from MLK Day to President's Day. Yes that’s what I mean. Best snow IS at end of and after our coldest period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Anyway Its a snow pattern until it isn’t. Thunder to usher it in, Then thunder snow squall. Then 4-8+. Then………. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 37 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: When was the last time ATL got anything? 1993? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 When is the next window? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: When is the next window? Day 15-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said: 1993? Boxing Day Storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, snowmagnet said: Boxing Day Storm 2014.. they had their comutageddon https://www.ajc.com/news/atlanta-news/atlanta-snowmaggedon-2014-the-january-snow-storm-that-paralyzed-atlanta/KTEPKGS2RNHBTEOCIOFVSKNWFE/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Gfs didn't look bad. It's worth watching for us east of DC. My expectations are for a cloudy, wintery Saturday with some snow in the air. An inch or two would be a bonus. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 So, when's the next threat? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, when's the next threat? Monday Jan 20th 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, when's the next threat? hard to say but one thing looks solid is the repeated re-load of the cold. guess we got that in our knickers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 18 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, when's the next threat? EuroAI https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ec-aifs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025010800&fh=312 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 19 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, when's the next threat? MLK weekend generally looks like it has potential. EPS has a favorable longwave pattern and snow maps have a decent signal for that range. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Not sure why we're punting saturday already. Some models still give us 1-3. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: MLK weekend generally looks like it has potential. EPS has a favorable longwave pattern and snow maps have a decent signal for that range. See above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 If we can get a refresher this weekend and then a bigger threat the following weekend or so, that's all we can reasonably ask for around here in an "average " winter imho. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Not sure why we're punting saturday already. Some models still give us 1-3. Nobody punted yet. I'm giving it until 12z today. We normally see positives trends with each run if this thing is gonna turn around. Sometimes we've gone 1 step forward, 2 steps back. Not really encouraging. Some mods even skunk us, so yeah. Obviously we keep watching, but I'm gonna divest after 12z if nothing changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 29 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, when's the next threat? 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: MLK weekend generally looks like it has potential. EPS has a favorable longwave pattern and snow maps have a decent signal for that range. Agree. NS looks to be a shred factory for a while until then. 50/50 set up too far Sw is a big part of the issue. Too much of a good thing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I started a thread for the weekend so this can be for the MLK blizzard discussion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Nobody punted yet. I'm giving it until 12z today. We normally see positives trends with each run if this thing is gonna turn around. Sometimes we've gone 1 step forward, 2 steps back. Not really encouraging. Some mods even skunk us, so yeah. Obviously we keep watching, but I'm gonna divest after 12z if nothing changes. we would crap our pants for 1-3". guess we are getting spoiled being a snow town again. I'll take an inch or 2 with snow falling and not being at work..another reason to punt dry January a little longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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