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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

What was your original hunch? Lol

Read up a few posts.B)

I thought the Euro took a step towards the GFS on its 12z run, and that it might get closer to phasing that energy in just behind the southern shortwave on the 18z run.

Instead it comes in overtop, suppresses the developing southern low and kicks it off the SE coast.

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1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Read up a few posts.B)

I thought the Euro took a step towards the GFS on its 12z run, and that it might get closer to phasing that energy in just behind the southern shortwave on the 18z run.

Instead it comes in overtop, suppresses the developing southern low and kicks it off the SE coast.

Have no clue how I looked right at that post and missed that point--my bad, lol

And ah well...if this one is indeed cooked, getting 1/2 threats in a week to hit ain't so bad :lol:

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1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Have no clue how I looked right at that post and missed that point--my bad, lol

And ah well...if this one is indeed cooked, getting 1/2 threats in a week to hit ain't so bad :lol:

Friday's squall'y day is underrated.  I actually think that was more exciting weather-wise than yesterday lol, at least up here where I received about 0.5" after 8am.

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The next string signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

didn’t you guys just get dumped on? lmao

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The next string signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

Yeah it’s def not shit the blinds, but we may be in a little waiting period.


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20 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

didn’t you guys just get dumped on? lmao

I only got 4”. The northern 3rd of our area didn’t do so good.
 

I average 40, LONG way to go to even get close to climo. But it’s been a better season than I expected so far I’ll admit that. Further south they are half way to climo from that one storm yes, but cold regimes are so rare down here anymore we kind of can’t afford to waste them only getting one decent event. 

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47 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The next strong signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

I mean overall...couldn't we say our "prime climo" doesn't usually start until around then anyway (I always view it as Jan 15th-PD) I feel like this week was an early bonus :lol: Of course, that being said...no telling what Februrary could look like, so hopefully second half of Jan we can gwt another chance.

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