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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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The next strong signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The next string signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

didn’t you guys just get dumped on? lmao

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The next string signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

Yeah it’s def not shit the blinds, but we may be in a little waiting period.


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20 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

didn’t you guys just get dumped on? lmao

I only got 4”. The northern 3rd of our area didn’t do so good.
 

I average 40, LONG way to go to even get close to climo. But it’s been a better season than I expected so far I’ll admit that. Further south they are half way to climo from that one storm yes, but cold regimes are so rare down here anymore we kind of can’t afford to waste them only getting one decent event. 

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Please don’t do that to ur blinds 

Most winters my blinds are brown for a reason.

Jan 18-23 probably the next time frame with potential outside some clipper type snow

Sometimes in really good winters though things pop up out of no where in medium/late range, we’ll see


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47 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The next strong signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

I mean overall...couldn't we say our "prime climo" doesn't usually start until around then anyway (I always view it as Jan 15th-PD) I feel like this week was an early bonus :lol: Of course, that being said...no telling what Februrary could look like, so hopefully second half of Jan we can gwt another chance.

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2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Kinda feel like once we see that we know where the rest of the run is gonna go...

Depends there are other paths. If the NS wave hangs back more it being out of the way could allow a better solution.  But those playing nice was the best option.  

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1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

The next strong signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

Question is will it be perpetually 12-15 days away?

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1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

The next strong signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. 

Not great. So much for those above average precip predictions for January. Gonna be behind if Saturday is a dud and really behind if the next 12 plus days have nothing.

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Bah humbug.  It ain't lookin to good vs 18z.   Don't shoot the messenger.   Where's jgwentworth?  I have a held back vortmax, but I need it now.

18z looked bad though lol
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9 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

Not great. So much for those above average precip predictions for January. Gonna be behind if Saturday is a dud and really behind if the next 12 plus days have nothing.

12 days brings us to the 19th. That gives us 12 days at the end of the month to get to AN precip  *if* nothing pops up  before then. That is plenty of time, the month is far from over. See late Jan 1987 as an example.

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