JakkelWx Posted Tuesday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:32 PM 12z GEFS surprisingly juiced for 1/11. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM OK, more than I thought on the 102 hour panel. GEFS mean. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM Not bad. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM 28 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I'm curious how many of us have moved north to get more snow in years past...i'm one of those who did moving from Woodbridge to Leesburg back in 04 I grew up in northern Calvert and got shafted many times while occasionally getting the jackpot (for example Blizzard of '79). Getting a few inches of slush then driving rain and spiking to 50 in the March '93 storm was the last straw. When I got a fed gov job, I picked the N&W burbs and settled in Germantown in 1994 My fam are all still there and have fun with me when they win - like the 12 they just got. They had a field day with me on Jan 25, 2000 when they got 20" and I got 7! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted Tuesday at 04:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:39 PM I’d gladly take a 2-4 incher on a Saturday. Excellent brunch potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Tuesday at 04:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:40 PM Ukmet is like what storm for anyone. Not even the south gets basically anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Very close to canceling my emergency Friday flight, but gonna give it another 36 hours. Why not. Hope ya'll at get the extra 3-5 to freshen up the snowpack for my return on Monday. Need to make a snowman. Or throw a snowball off my balcony. Do something snowy. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM lol I can’t with these models anymore 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted Tuesday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:44 PM 10 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: 12z GEFS surprisingly juiced for 1/11. That is a hell of a misleading scale though lol typically dark green is like .5-.75 precip 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somecallmetim Posted Tuesday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:47 PM 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Very close to canceling my emergency Friday flight, but gonna give it another 36 hours. Why not. If you'd be willing to take one for the team and cancel today so the 00Z runs bring it back, that would be huge. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Tuesday at 04:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:49 PM Just now, somecallmetim said: If you'd be willing to take one for the team and cancel today so the 00Z runs bring it back, that would be huge. sorry - no dice. taking ya'll down with me on this one. Just to make sure this post isn't entirely banter, here are the 12z GEFS members. Still a bomb or three in the mix - but safe to say the median outcome is a more SE oriented light/mod snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM Just now, NorthArlington101 said: sorry - no dice. taking ya'll down with me on this one. Just to make sure this post isn't entirely banter, here are the 12z GEFS members. Still a bomb or three in the mix - but safe to say the median outcome is a more SE oriented light/mod snowstorm. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM So close to abuse of power over here.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Tuesday at 04:52 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:52 PM Just now, stormtracker said: So close to abuse of power over here.... What? That wasn't even negative. I think ya'll are good for the 3-5". Trust me. Marg in hand this morning. I'm relaxed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Tuesday at 04:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:53 PM Just now, NorthArlington101 said: What? That wasn't even negative. I think ya'll are good for the 3-5". Trust me. Marg in hand this morning. I'm relaxed Stay down there. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted Tuesday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:54 PM 10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: lol I can’t with these models anymore Looks like someone got too happy with their magic eraser. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM 16 hours ago, weathercoins said: Lmao at them Tweeting this. Insane thing to write outside of this message board. https://x.com/fox5dc/status/1876422265123860495?s=46 Anyone ask them how their blizzard is lookin? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted Tuesday at 04:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:57 PM 14 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: lol I can’t with these models anymore Is this photoshopped? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:18 PM Euro remains the same so far...at 27 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Tuesday at 05:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:20 PM 35 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: That is a hell of a misleading scale though lol typically dark green is like .5-.75 precip I was thinking the same thing. I was like YES where do I sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 05:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:22 PM All in all, about the same so far...northern vort digs a little bit more...but sw vort is just a tad farther west. Still looks like it's gonna have positive tilted tail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:23 PM h5 presentation improved just a bit, nothing major...heights are a tad higher out front. Just not sure it'll be impactful down the line so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM Ya just really hate to see that northern vort outrunning the southern one, which is doing...all in all, no doubt the height rise is better out front. Keep expectations in check. Still has that other SW to NE tail look. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM Just now, stormtracker said: Ya just really hate to see that northern vort outrunning the southern one, which is doing...all in all, no doubt the height rise is better out front. Keep expectations in check. Still has that other SW to NE tail look. Ugh It really is so close to something much more substantial. The smallest differences have big time downstream implications. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Tuesday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:32 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ya just really hate to see that northern vort outrunning the southern one, which is doing...all in all, no doubt the height rise is better out front. Keep expectations in check. Still has that other SW to NE tail look. Ugh If the NS SW isn’t going to dig in behind we would have been better if it just wasn’t there at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:32 PM so precip is increasing from our SW and starts light snow around 12z Sat, and just flies through by like 17z or so. Doesn't seem like much of anything at all. I'd be surprised if it's more than 2" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: so precip is increasing from our SW and starts light snow around 12z Sat, and just flies through by like 17z or so. Doesn't seem like much of anything at all. I'd be surprised if it's more than 2" In some ways it’s a better run with a worse result. Closer to giving us a coastal result but because of that kills the moderate idea from 6z as it dries up the n/s energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM ATL gets more snow than we do. looks like an inch or so for us. Bob chill seems like in the 2-4 band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Tuesday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:35 PM MJO passes through phase 1 with some amplitude then into phase 2 later in the month. Which is great. That is a nice signal for sustained cold. If we miss the next storm we will have other chances this month. Maybe after a relaxation? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Tuesday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:35 PM 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If the NS SW isn’t going to dig in behind we would have been better if it just wasn’t there at all. I think at this point we can't really count on that NS just going poof, can we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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