Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Looks very Euro'ish at 102hrs Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, StormyClearweather said: Except with far lighter QPF. But agree in general. We don’t pay attention to icon for qpf, or for much in general. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Verbatim light snow to sleet/ice then dry slot for DC metro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 10am Monday. 0Z ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Kuchie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, rjvanals said: ICON would get snow in here before sunset on Sunday Seems to be the trend. I think the euro had like a 5-6pm start time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Only thing should be taken somewhat seriously on the icon is the low track. It isn’t great with qpf and its snow maps always lower than any model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Kuchie That entire snow path is well north of everything I'm worried about Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Gfs may come 100 miles north and bullseye DC but you know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 5 minutes ago, T. August said: Seems to be the trend. I think the euro had like a 5-6pm start time Tracking around 8pm for last euro run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, Solution Man said: Tracking around 8pm for last euro run. You are correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, T. August said: You are correct I just want some snow, we need to get on the board forum wide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Gfs may come 100 miles north and bullseye DC but you know I'd take that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Great post. Helps ease the nerves around here. I still think DC will still mix with some ice but I think 00z Euro trends slightly south (DC bullseye or just north) and 00z GFS trends slightly north (Fredericksburg bullseye or just south of DC)Based on historical precedent of storms tending to be a bit north of where models depict them, I think that the latitude between DC and Baltimore may be best positioned for this one as they are far enough north for better thermals and south enough for heavier precip. The trend is overall nudging north over the past 24 hours. Not a huge jump but enough that I’d be much rather be in C MD than C VA currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Yall ready? Hoping the GFS comes in a little north and juiced. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yall ready? Hoping the GFS comes in a little north and juiced. Hoping the Euro comes in a little south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yall ready? Hoping the GFS comes in a little north and juiced. Let’s go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChillinIt Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, bncho said: Hoping the Euro comes in a little south. Hal Yea!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Yall ready? Hoping the GFS comes in a little north and juiced. Actually don’t want gfs to come north yet. We will have plenty of time 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I think gfs comes more north but not expecting a huge jump. Bulls eye probably gets close to dc latitude wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Can we keep the banter down with the wish casting, guessing, etc… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Ok...only out to 60. s/w out west seems more robust. Confluence is about the same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Norther shift coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Noteable differences out west with our s/w. seems a bit more amp'd. And out east with the confluence...pretty much the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 66. S/w stronger, confluence same, NA vortex a touch west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 s/w out west is definitely more amp'd and robust so far....nobody get excited. Too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: 66. S/w stronger, confluence same, NA vortex a touch west I'm at 81...it's def stronger. Just not sure what that means so far, especially since the confluence is the same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I'm at 81...it's def stronger. Just not sure what that means so far, especially since the confluence is the same Also a bit slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 84h, closed low about to go neg tilt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, Terpeast said: Also a bit slower Give Atlantic vort more time to move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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