BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted Monday at 10:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:30 PM WJLA had the urge to call this snow showers on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted Monday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:31 PM 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. 1-3... "hmm" or "hey" Otherwise this is solid. 10+ for FOLKS seems like a decent threshold. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:31 PM Just now, wxmeddler said: 1-3... "hmm" or "hey" Otherwise this is solid. 10+ for FOLKS seems like a decent threshold. That being said, hoping for a whole lot of folks later and this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Monday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:31 PM 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: What’s “folks” HECS? A 8-12” snow is a once every 4-5 years event lol Remind what you said a few days ago about the accuracy of the GFS versus the ECM in Canada with the Northern jet in various regimes, PNA/EPO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 10:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:31 PM 7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ya it’s not the euro so there that. I’d be buying this right now if I could. I’m sure I’ll get two flakes instead though. You mean the Euro that gave us 5.5-6" in its last run before the flakes started to fly? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Monday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:32 PM 4 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Rant:: Let's do 10:1 posts for snow maps. If you want to do Kuchera.. Fine.. I like Kuchera when we are borderline and it cuts down totals because 10:1 is unlikely, but it seems always overdone and it is annoying to keep seeing them. Do 10:1 maps and then we will let mets to do analysis on dendrites when we get close. You're right. But nobody is paying for WB so those Kuchie works of art can stay hidden 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Monday at 10:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:32 PM 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: People were saying the northern folks are due in actuality, give the snow to @North Balti Zen now! If we don’t get this storm I am making @North Balti Zenmove to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Monday at 10:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:33 PM Just now, mitchnick said: You mean the Euro that gave us 5.5-6" in its last run before the flakes started to fly? Lol Well there’s a difference in a 50 mile band miss and a actually storm forming hahah. Not like euro has a coastal showing 10-20 east of us and we hope it shifts west. It’s a whole different look at h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rosented1234 Posted Monday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:34 PM Not sure what happened there? Writing from phone. Sorry first time posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Monday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:34 PM Round two has arrived to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Monday at 10:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:35 PM 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. I just want Beethoven- then we know it’s a legit bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:37 PM Just now, TSSN+ said: Well there’s a difference in a 50 mile band miss and a actually storm forming hahah. Not like euro has a coastal showing 10-20 east of us and we hope it shifts west. It’s a whole different look at h5 They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted Monday at 10:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:37 PM 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: I just want Beethoven- then we know it’s a legit bomb Smiling Beethoven for HECS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 10:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:38 PM 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: I just want Beethoven- then we know it’s a legit bomb Hmmm, now that's a good idea. The new call is FOLKS for a good storm, Beethoven pic for HECS level. There it is 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 10:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:38 PM Just now, tplbge said: Smiling Beethoven for HECS. I got two versions ready. Been wanting to use the other so bad 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Monday at 10:38 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:38 PM Just now, stormtracker said: Hmmm, now that's a good idea. The new call is FOLKS for a good storm, Beethoven pic for HECS level. There it is Haha love it! Also looks like ensembles are showing more phasing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Monday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:39 PM 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol I hate them all. Just let it snow ya know? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 10:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:42 PM 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I got two versions ready. Been wanting to use the other so bad Gosh I’d love to see beethoven’s ass later 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Monday at 10:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:42 PM Don’t hate the look of the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Monday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:43 PM 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok here. I made a scale. Tell me if yall agree 3-6 yo! 4-10 guys 10+ FOLKS better? I dunno. lol. maybe 12+? This is a democracy. And I take it JAWS would be a HECS...however one defines that (> 12", I'd guess, in that ballpark). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Monday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:43 PM Just now, LP08 said: Don’t hate the look of the GEFS Better than 12z on the mean at least. This is only 100-120 hours out! Kinda nuts. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Monday at 10:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:44 PM Who coined HECS. DT coined SECS and MECS, but HECS was someone else. I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted Monday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:45 PM 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: Who coined HECS. DT coined SECS and MECS, but HECS was someone else. I think I did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Monday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:45 PM Just now, Deck Pic said: Who coined HECS. DT coined SECS and MECS, but HECS was someone else. I think Actually I wonder that too. I know it stands for "Historic East Coast Snowstorm", but how is that defined? I guess something that would make the Kocin-Uccellini list, perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted Monday at 10:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:46 PM 18 minutes ago, frd said: My location as well, forecast was 6 to 8. Total here was 3.5 inches. Saturday has potential, might even trend colder. Mount Holly states - It will still take several model runs to get a handle on this system. For now, will follow NBM PoPs and carry slight chance-chance PoPs over the area Friday night through Saturday, and even though forecast high temperatures are above freezing on Saturday, based on wet-bulb temperatures, the dominant p-type would be snow. High pressure returns on Sunday and Monday. its not over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Monday at 10:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:47 PM GEFS is going all in 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted Monday at 10:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:47 PM 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: Who coined HECS. DT coined SECS and MECS, but HECS was someone else. I think I think DT coined those way back in the early 2000’s, including HECS…someone here coined BECS I think for real rather of god biblical east coast snowstorm…maybe for the 2016 storm… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Monday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:48 PM 19 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Rant:: Let's do 10:1 posts for snow maps. If you want to do Kuchera.. Fine.. I like Kuchera when we are borderline and it cuts down totals because 10:1 is unlikely, but it seems always overdone and it is annoying to keep seeing them. Do 10:1 maps and then we will let mets to do analysis on dendrites when we get close. The most accurate I find are often the positive snow depth change. People dont like those because they are lightest of the bunch, but more realistic than the Kuchie maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Monday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:48 PM Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: The most accurate I find are often the positive snow depth change. People dont like those because they are lightest of the bunch, but more realistic than the Kuchie maps Noooooo they are not. Even in the most marginal of cases, they usually are too low. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Monday at 10:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:51 PM 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Noooooo they are not. Even in the most marginal of cases, they usually are too low. they’re only good in marginal setups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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