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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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I actually love this run for one reason - it's sloppier and still get's the job done with the phase and popping the sfc low in a decent spot along the coast. It shows that there is *some* room for error here with a win still possible board-wide. 

Regardless, 0Z will be telling on whether the GFS is making up for it's horrendous h5 forecasting for this previous storm or if it's still out to lunch. 

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

What’s “folks” HECS?  A 8-12” snow is a once every 4-5 years event lol 

MECS/HECS level.  But if yall want me to lower the criteria, I can.   Again, listen...8-12 is fucking great.     I save the key work for 12 or more.  But that's just me.

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2 minutes ago, Alfoman said:

I actually love this run for one reason - it's sloppier and still get's the job done with the phase and popping the sfc low in a decent spot along the coast. It shows that there is *some* room for error here with a win still possible board-wide. 

Regardless, 0Z will be telling on whether the GFS is making up for it's horrendous h5 forecasting for this previous storm or if it's still out to lunch. 

Me too, and I love that the low is actually "west-er" because it starts to set up a middle ground of SLP tracks that still work well. 

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Not mad at it.   We know we have potential for way better.  Or we "settle" for this.   I'll take half a loaf over none.

Ya it’s not the euro so there that. I’d be buying this right now if I could. I’m sure I’ll get two flakes instead though. 

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4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

You live in the hills and 10-12" is HECS like?  Hey, I respect it.  We all have our criteria.    

Like I said, somebody will have the pretty maps soon.  SV sucks ass and the snowfall could be more impressive than I see

Today was underwhelming up here today. 

Hoping Saturday is better.

We shall see.

Glad DC got the goods today! 

You all were due .

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Just now, Dendrimer77 said:

Let the man break out "folks" whenever the hell he damn well pleases! Ha

Ha, it's all good.  I'm not mad about it.  I just like when we all bond and have a good time.  That's why I made that our war/rally cry.  I'm open to a consensus on what it should mean.   I might just shut up and just throw up accumulation numbers.   

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Rant:: Let's do 10:1 posts for snow maps. If you want to do Kuchera.. Fine.. I like Kuchera when we are borderline and it cuts down totals because 10:1 is unlikely, but it seems always overdone and it is annoying to keep seeing them. Do 10:1 maps and then we will let mets to do analysis on dendrites when we get close. 

 

 

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Just now, Chris78 said:

Today was underwhelming up here today. 

Hoping Saturday is better.

We shall see.

Glad DC got the goods today! 

You all were due .

My location as well, forecast was 6 to 8. Total here was 3.5 inches. 

Saturday has potential, might even trend colder. 

Mount Holly states -    

It will still take several model
runs to get a handle on this system. For now, will follow NBM PoPs
and carry slight chance-chance PoPs over the area Friday night
through Saturday, and even though forecast high temperatures are
above freezing on Saturday, based on wet-bulb temperatures, the
dominant p-type would be snow.

High pressure returns on Sunday and Monday.
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1 minute ago, frd said:

My location as well, forecast was 6 to 8. Total here was 3.5 inches. 

Saturday has potential, might even trend colder. 

Mount Holly states -    

It will still take several model
runs to get a handle on this system. For now, will follow NBM PoPs
and carry slight chance-chance PoPs over the area Friday night
through Saturday, and even though forecast high temperatures are
above freezing on Saturday, based on wet-bulb temperatures, the
dominant p-type would be snow.

High pressure returns on Sunday and Monday.

Unfortunately you and I have to hope for different things since we're about 4 hours apart in location 

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