Paleocene Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Stronger HP/good CAD (snowpack??!) and we will get smoked by this. But we play the track gamble game along 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Has anyone here looked at verification scores for the GFS vs 6 hour lagged Euro. Clearly the Euro is a better model but hopefully the 12z GFS has the advantage of additional obs. Please, it's critical for my happiness over the next 90ish or so minutes and I'm too sleep deprived to do it myself. We need this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Looks like 10-15 inches South to North across the forum I’d sign up for that 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Our areas is like 10-15...more as you go from SW to NE...bmore does better than DC. Philly is just beatdown 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, stormtracker said: Our areas is like 10-15...more as you go from SW to NE...bmore does better than DC. Philly is just beatdown Awesome, still plenty of time to have this get us better. Best part is that the GFS still has the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Now if only we could get some consistency and something other than the GFS showing this... 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said: Awesome, still plenty of time to have this get us better. Best part is that the GFS still has the storm Not sure we should be punting 10-15 inches since Philly would get 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 14 minutes ago, EstorilM said: Haha I remember the old days on the Accu forums (probably joined there 15+yr ago) where a storm like this (to be fair, I think everyone reacted the same way on these forums) would be a HOT thread. Heck probably even 300+ hours out. Saturday precip onset would only be like ~144hr out, that's easily mid-range IMO, definitely worth a thread. I mean yeah, wait for the downstream stuff to clear out and things to settle, next piece of energy to come onshore, etc etc. but still. Once within 72 hrs rugpull chances start to diminish if it hasn’t been significantly walked back yet. After the last 9 years you’d think more people would’ve learned that lesson. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Let’s see what the Canadian shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 964 low at 138hr my god 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: PHL-NYC crushed. Crazy Crazy delicate and complicated all-or-nothing setup. Won't take much to turn this threat back into a HECS (gfs op is still kind of alone) or a slider off HSE and glancing blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 This covers our portion of the storm. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, rjvanals said: Not sure we should be punting 10-15 inches since Philly would get 30 I only have 4 inches right now ... I need more. And I hate seeing Philly to BOS getting clobbered. And 964 mb off NYC is just wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 12Z 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 CMC has a good look at H5 so far. I don't get it faster like the other models, so we'll all see in real time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 How about another model show this other than the JV GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Kinda crazy this is only like 5 days away and not really showing up on the other globals Edit: may have spoke too soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Seriously, get the energy to fuse at the right time and it’s a nuclear detonation right off the coast. Everyone cashes in. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I got the CMC to 120 - looked well put together. Not sure if it’s a folks or will slide away, but definitely looks markedly improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, DDweatherman said: How about another model show this other than the JV GFS? From what I recall the GFS did well with today’s storm, in all fairness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Not sure how it looked at 0z. But anyway I would think this run will end up good/improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 GFS 10:1 from the NYC Thread 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I got the CMC to 120 - looked well put together. Not sure if it’s a folks or will slide away, but definitely looks markedly improved. Yeah, you're faster....take it away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, LeesburgWx said: GFS 10:1 from the NYC Thread I aint mad at it. Don't care what other people get...just give me mine. We'd all be happy with that down here. And there would be room for improvement in future runs if this thing is indeed real 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Trof SEEMS a little too positively tilted to make a run at I-95 like the GFS did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: From what I recall the GFS did well with today’s storm, in all fairness. For that statement to be true I need about 5 more inches of snow this afternoon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, you're faster....take it away Couple inches for us on the GGEM, 126 there's a 997 on the outer banks. Slides out from there, but much improved. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, you're faster....take it away I only get it to 120 on the Canadian site I look at. Take it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I think the main takeaway is that the GFS has some support..maybe not the nuke it produced, but with the phasing out west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Looks like 3-5 inches on Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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