January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[stormtracker]

Ok..Euro starting.   Wasn't too keen on our potential this weekend.  Let's see what we get on this run

[jayyy]

Ok..Euro starting.   Wasn't too keen on our potential this weekend.  Let's see what we get on this run

Run it back Randy

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, jayyy said:

Run it back Randy

I think the Euro is just gonna keep being stubborn

[Ralph Wiggum]

GEFS took a step back

[stormtracker]

Fuckin Euro is stuck at 18

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Fuckin Euro is stuck at 18

Damn, i need a nap before the snow starts. Please unstick it. 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

Damn, i need a nap before the snow starts. Please unstick it. 

Somebody needs to go to Europe and unplug it and plug it back in

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Somebody needs to go to Europe and unplug it and plug it back in

I’m out of frequent flyer miles. 

[stormtracker]

Stuck at hour 18.  They know.  They know wtf they are doing.

[HighStakes]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Stuck at hour 18.  They know.  They know wtf they are doing.

Torturing people who are already tortured?

[diatae]

Maybe take the cartridge out and blow on it? *waits*

[ravensrule]

Just now, diatae said:

Maybe take the cartridge out and blow on it? *waits*

No comment. 

[diatae]

Just now, ravensrule said:

No comment. 

Moth. Flame. 

[Skywalker03]

You all have been on fire in this thread all day -- I've legit lol'ed so many times.  Let's bring this next one home (I say as I watch the snow fall tonight).

[Ji]

I heard severe fail for next weekend
Dr no is back

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, Ji said:

I heard severe fail

Huh?

[dailylurker]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

I heard severe fail for next weekend
Dr no is back

Dr no froze to death in our new climo. Snow town, BABY!

[stormtracker]

4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Huh?

He's trolling.  It's still stuck at 18

[WVclimo]

They probably had to load a new color scale for the 48”+ contour

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, stormtracker said:

He's trolling.  It's still stuck at 18

I just saw someone on Twitter using SV and they posted this:

[stormtracker]

Ah..ok..yeah, that h5 map sucks

[stormtracker]

and just like that, it's rolling. lol

[stormtracker]

Yeah...can confirm..that's a real map.  Can't see precip maps..but does have a diffuse low that moves along some positively titled pos.  Don't know if it got any precip back to us.  Doesn't seem like it.  Oh well....only 1800 more runs to go!

[Stormchaserchuck1]

If temps are this warm during our super-awesome upper latitude cold pattern now, imagine how warm they will be when the pattern lifts out next week.. that's all I'm saying, analysis says it's probably a 34F storm for DC. High pressure in the Pacific also means that it could come in flatter or be closer to a nonstorm.. not having that +PNA piece is big for this one I feel, any which way it trends. 

Don't kill the messenger.. I'm just offering my analysis is all.. I feel our chances for this next one to be a big snowstorm is probably at 10-15% for DC and Balt, with the H5 having to trend a certain way from here for it to be snow. 

[Kmlwx]

Will be interesting to see how this plays out. As others have said - it's not like it's a day 10 threat or anything. The players that make differences for this are "on the field" and in range inside of 72 hours. 

[Kmlwx]

In fact - that northern stream stuff that may make or break this are onshore around 60 hours out. Won't take long until we have an idea of the goal posts...

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

If temps are this warm during our super-awesome upper latitude cold pattern now, imagine how warm they will be when the pattern lifts out next week.. that's all I'm saying, analysis says it's probably a 34F storm for DC. High pressure in the Pacific also means that it could come in flatter or be closer to a nonstorm.. not having that +PNA piece is big for this one I feel, any which way it trends. 

Don't kill the messenger.. I'm just offering my analysis is all.. I feel our chances for this next one to be a big snowstorm is probably at 10-15% for DC and Balt, with the H5 having to trend a certain way for it to be snow. 

Do I nee to tap the sign?  Don't make me tap the sign Chuck.

[stormtracker]

Euro keeps doing it's thing where it has the southwest vort dig SW for oil.   No-phase lookin ass

[jayyy]

If temps are this warm during our super-awesome upper latitude cold pattern now, imagine how warm they will be when the pattern lifts out next week.. that's all I'm saying, analysis says it's probably a 34F storm for DC. High pressure in the Pacific also means that it could come in flatter or be closer to a nonstorm.. not having that +PNA piece is big for this one I feel, any which way it trends. 

Don't kill the messenger.. I'm just offering my analysis is all.. I feel our chances for this next one to be a big snowstorm is probably at 10-15% for DC and Balt, with the H5 having to trend a certain way from here for it to be snow. 

Pretty sure you also said today’s storm wouldn’t pan out at first either. Let’s go day by day shall we

[stormtracker]

I think all of the models are going to have various issues and solutions with the timing.  Probably all the way up to like Wed and--

Wait a minute, what the fuck is wrong with us?  We're about to get snow that could approach double digits and we're really looking at the next thing?   We're just a weird bunch of people.