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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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This is wild. I didn't think we'd see anything close to 2010 again given the ocean anomalies the last ~8 years. I would be so happy to be wrong if this lands and we're looking at another threat 7 days from now

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10 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

They postponed a game in philly a few years back for less snow.  That shipped has sailed.

I had tickets to that game. I was so mad. Missed the snow game then had to take a train back 2 days later from NYC where I had plans that week. 

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9 minutes ago, TSG said:

This is wild. I didn't think we'd see anything close to 2010 again given the ocean anomalies the last ~8 years. I would be so happy to be wrong if this lands and we're looking at another threat 7 days from now

As painful as this would be for me, hopefully it would shut the CC zealots up for a day. Not that CC isn't real because it is, but the over attribution is fuc(ing nauseating.

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1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

I had tickets to that game. I was so mad. Missed the snow game then had to take a train back 2 days later from NYC where I had plans that week. 

Was that the game that they had to reschedule after the miracle Giants win with the punt return D Jax? 2010-lost to the stinking Vikings on a Tuesday night as 9 pint faves and missed out on a bye and lost to Green Bay a week later in the wildcard game. Vick picked off in the endzone late smh

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

As painful as this would be for me, hopefully it would shut the CC zealots up for a day. Not that CC isn't real because it is, but the over attribution is fuc(ing nauseating.

For real.. it's so easy to blame everything on an easy cause. Fact is, we've had 41/46 Winter +NAO months since 2013, and a 7-consecutive year record breaking streak of -PNA by 175% for Feb-Mar. And 5/6 Winters before this of +WPO The mechanics of the pattern have been bad for cold/snow. Nice to see this wintery pattern set up in late November and last through January.. 

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2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Was that the game that they had to reschedule after the miracle Giants win with the punt return D Jax? 2010-lost to the stinking Vikings on a Tuesday night as 9 pint faves and missed out on a bye and lost to Green Bay a week later in the wildcard game. Vick picked off in the endzone late smh

Ya I was there 

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Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

For real.. it's so easy to blame everything on an easy cause. Fact is, we've had 41/46 Winter +NAO months since 2013, and a 7-consecutive year record breaking streak of -PNA by 175% for Feb-Mar. And 5/6 Winters before this of +WPO The mechanics of the pattern have been bad for cold/snow. Nice to see this wintery pattern set up in late November and last through January.. 

Yea...that would have produced a string of shitty, albeit colder, winters in the 1800s.

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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea...that would have produced a string of shitty, albeit colder, winters in the 1800s.

I think everyone has acknowledged we’ve been going through a convergence of a shit pacific and high latitude cycle which also happened in the 50s and 70s.  The last 8 years would have been a snow minimum in any era. But we’ve used regression models and analysis to determine we’ve lost about 15-20% of our snow climo. And the results the last 8 years fall within that measure worse than comparable bad cycles. 
 

So I guess the issue is whether you think 15-20% is a big deal.  I do!  We’ve had several marginal events that would have made a total dreg under 5” winter into a more easy to stomach year that at least had a decent snow or two. No one is saying these would have been snowy years. 

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