H2O Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I mean..here's the thing. It's model spray and we're kinda in the middle at this point. I'm not mad at that. 0z could have suppression from hell or conversely a Daniel Jones level confluence and we will be saying Congrats Carbondale. But it doesn't instill much confidence when run to run jump of 80-100 miles takes place. And the introduction of mixed enters the fray. I ain't panicked but can't say I like this jump. Is it a blip? Gotta wait and see. Pepperridge Farms remembers when its better to see jack zone in Columbia SC 5 days out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, RVAman said: Resulting to drugs to comfort yourself? Hmmm. Why are you so upset? This could easily shift south. Just have fun with it. We are all friends here. Oh and go Commanders! That was for Randy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmvpete Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 6 minutes ago, HighStakes said: If anyone is lucky enough to get 6-8 inches of snow with a solid coating of ice that would be incredible. With the post storm cold and other storm chances there would be snow cover for the entire month of January. Who could complain about that? ^This. There's been one instance in wake of the 2016 blizzard (January 2019 from what I see on xm-ACIS) when Dulles exceeded Winter Storm Warning criteria. To get that event in any capacity would be a win for snow lovers (like me hah). 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, BristowWx said: Why are you so upset? This could easily shift south. Just have fun with it. We are all friends here. Oh and go Commanders! That was for Randy. I’m not upset. I apologize if I came across that way. The frustration comes from Richmond constantly experiencing getting fringed. I hope you guys understand that. We are thirsty down here. Our climo used to be decent and recently it’s gone down hill. Didn’t mean to attack anyone or come across as bitter. The shift north on the euro isn’t good for us or NOVA because it seems as if it starts that movement it keeps going. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: You should have a redder tag. I'm going to create an ultra platinum tag for him. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 18z panels. Definitely introduces some full-on misses to the north. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmvpete Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm going to create an ultra platinum tag for him. I don't get enough practice posting in here to see what is too much haha. I'll try to shorten my posts more! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 We should be climo jealous of Jon Jon out in Davis, WV. bet he gets destroyed regardless of what happens to the rest of us. 2ft of powder and below 0. Now that’s winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, wxmvpete said: I don't get enough practice posting in here to see what is too much haha. I'll try to shorten my posts more! They are actually great and extremely informative. Also it breaks it down nicely for us weenies. Please continue as much as possible. 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, wxmvpete said: I don't get enough practice posting in here to see what is too much haha. I'll try to shorten my posts more! Don't shorten the posts! Many of us are eager to learn more. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, T. August said: 18z panels 49/50 give my yard at least 2+”. Don’t know if I’ve ever seen that high a percentage on an ensemble at these leads. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, T. August said: 18z panels. Definitely introduces some full-on misses to the north. Mean 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Can we stop with the bickering and banter 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 WB 18Z EPS probs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 24 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: It's actually kinda is. It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, wxmvpete said: I don't get enough practice posting in here to see what is too much haha. I'll try to shorten my posts more! Post long, short, medium, or extra long. Just post cause we need more smart people posting and less dumb(myself included in that group) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, T. August said: 18z panels. Definitely introduces some full-on misses to the north. 47 looks like a real winner. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, mitchnick said: Mean Looks like a classic N+W event we used to get a lot in the past. I’d take it as long it doesn’t keep trending north (which is still a possibility) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, wxmvpete said: I don't get enough practice posting in here to see what is too much haha. I'll try to shorten my posts more! Keep em coming, great post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, wxmvpete said: I don't get enough practice posting in here to see what is too much haha. I'll try to shorten my posts more! Keep it coming man. Not that other red taggers haven't done it since, but your discussion brought me back to 12/09 & 2/10 when CoastalWx came into the Mid Atlantic thread on Eastern before those storms and talked dirty about both impending blizzards. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Ice would be fun. Maybe we get that if temps stay below 28 or so. Ice storm warning sounds ominous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now getting a chance to sit down and dig in, but @wxmvpete already did his excellent writeup. I don’t have much to add. Keep it coming! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 WB latest EPS extended, fun times ahead, below normal temps and normal to above normal precip. Just need some luck.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Ice would be fun. Maybe we get that if temps stay below 28 or so. Ice storm warning sounds ominous. Would be nice if @NorthArlington101 (or any other person who paid for model runs) could post the freezing rain/sleet accumulation maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, wxmvpete said: I don't get enough practice posting in here to see what is too much haha. I'll try to shorten my posts more! Sir that was an excellent post (now I'm just an amateur at this, so take that for what you will, lol). Would love to hear your insights more! In a sea of emotional weenies one more knowledgeable voice wouldn't hurt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB latest EPS extended, fun times ahead, below normal temps and normal to above normal precip. Just need some luck.. This extended period of cold and snow oppurtunities was discussed today by BAMM WX. Appears that Canada will reload later in the month with additional cross polar flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Would be nice if @NorthArlington101 (or any other person who paid for model runs) could post the freezing rain/sleet accumulation maps I posted the sounding earlier… I think it’s really all sleet despite what this says, but who am I to question WxBell. It also dumps almost all of this in 3 hours. Don’t think it would accrete as much as help glaciate anything. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Looking like next 4 weeks below normal!!! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I posted the sounding earlier… I think it’s really all sleet despite what this says, but who am I to question WxBell. It also dumps almost all of this in 3 hours. Don’t think it would accrete as much as help glaciate anything. Oh wow, I was expecting maybe a tenth of an inch or something. Even if just half (or frankly a quarter) of that was legit freezing rain that could accrete it definitely could help in giving me an extra long winter break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 https://x.com/burgwx/status/1874606351701475799?t=Si4ZRrKNNJ68cDEWkY2Row&s=19 Post over at twitter seemed informative in the two ways this might go a little too far north for our liking @OSUmetstud mentioned he believed that the second way outlined in the post seems more likely than the first FWIW and in the second outcome it would most likely just help the coastal get going so we wouldn't necessarily lose out on snow from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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