ravensrule Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, stormtracker said: I got in the bed and the Euro was at 117. With that look, there was no way I was closing this fucking laptop Was anyone in the bed?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: Was anyone in the bed?. Don't answer. Make him go to a website. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 If we get 5 and Philly NYC get 20....I'd rather it not happen at allMy euro ensembles snow chart blew up tonight lol for next weekend Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 4 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 11 minutes ago, Ji said: If we get 5 and Philly NYC get 20....I'd rather it not happen at all My euro ensembles snow chart blew up tonight lol for next weekend Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Move to New York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 35 minutes ago, Ji said: If we get 5 and Philly NYC get 20....I'd rather it not happen at all My euro ensembles snow chart blew up tonight lol for next weekend Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk The signal on the EPS is about as strong as you get for a possible snowstorm at that range...even better than it was for this current threat when it was at that range. If we didn't have a warning level event 24 hours away we would be blowing up this thread right now. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The signal on the EPS is about as strong as you get for a possible snowstorm at that range...even better than it was for this current threat when it was at that range. If we didn't have a warning level event 24 hours away we would be blowing up this thread right now. You should have followed my lead in the snow prediction thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: You should have followed my lead in the snow prediction thread. I didn't know there was a thread for that...guess I should move my map there ETA: Oh do you mean the seasonal contest snow predictions? LOL probably. I'm glad I'm going to bust! I said the biggest possible cause of a positive bust would be in the PDO were to go through a phase flip by January...not even to positive but just out of supreme negative territory towards neutral and it did. I just didn't think that was going to happen...it literally never had before in any example where the PDO was that consistently negative in a cold enso year heading into winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I didn't know there was a thread for that...guess I should move my map there I meant for the season. My prediction BWI: 25.5" DCA:15.7" IAD: 26.9" RIC: 13.6" Tiebreaker (SBY): 10.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I meant for the season. My prediction BWI: 25.5" DCA:15.7" IAD: 26.9" RIC: 13.6" Tiebreaker (SBY): 10.2" Did Richmond and Salisbury just get out of the pool? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, psuhoffman said: Did Richmond and Salisbury just get out of the pool? Loll. Your guess is probably going to be surpassed by Monday night. DCA: 7.1" IAD: 9.6" BWI: 8.3" RIC: 6.3" SBY: 6.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: Loll. Your guess is probably going to be surpassed by Monday night. DCA: 7.1" IAD: 9.6" BWI: 8.3" RIC: 6.3" SBY: 6.7" A couple of those sites probably...but if this pattern produces just a fraction of what it is capable of those numbers will be dwarfed by reality in the next few weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: A couple of those sites probably...but if this pattern produces just a fraction of what it is capable of those numbers will be dwarfed by reality in the next few weeks. I would say a decent chance for all of them except for RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 24 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The signal on the EPS is about as strong as you get for a possible snowstorm at that range...even better than it was for this current threat when it was at that range. If we didn't have a warning level event 24 hours away we would be blowing up this thread right now. It's the "lifting out of strong -NAO" storm, and a great 50/50 low. I was too early to call it for a warmer storm and probably rain.. the 18z and 00z GFS ensembles backed way off the +WPO it was showing earlier today. Enough of a western -NAO ridge holds overhead too... it's not going to be as cold as the coming storm, but will at least be a close call for wintery wx. The 50/50 low suggests it has the potential be another major one.. I'm still not 100% sold on it not mixing though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 6z gfs shows a phase while the 00z gfs held it back. Lets see what Happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, Ji said: 6z gfs shows a phase while the 00z gfs held it back. Lets see what Happens this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 5 minutes ago, Ji said: 6z gfs shows a phase while the 00z gfs held it back. Lets see what Happens You get more than NYC so you must be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 6z gfs shows a phase while the 00z gfs held it back. Lets see what HappensNear blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 You get more than NYC so you must be happySee you at the poconos! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, Ji said: See you at the poconos! I get 17", not road tripping for 24", if I was getting 2 or 3 definitely. You're welcome to come up here though, its only a little over an hour. I stopped in the sheets in Leesburg on my way back from IAD this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 A little too close to warm air for my liking.. models are usually slightly cold bias at this range, unless you have a killer upper latitude index pattern like tomorrow's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 You get more than NYC so you must be happyThis week is giving me 09-10 vibes …it’s going to look nuts in the dmv by next Sunday l 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I get 17", not road tripping for 24", if I was getting 2 or 3 definitely. You're welcome to come up here though, its only a little over an hour. I stopped in the sheets in Leesburg on my way back from IAD this evening. On battlefield parkway! 2 miles from my house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 WB 0Z EPS looks great for this weekend!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EPS looks great for this weekend!!! Was just about to post that EPS looks like a clean miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 6Z gefs looks fantastic for this too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 7 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Was just about to post that EPS looks like a clean miller A. Too warm East of the Fall line 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, frd said: Too warm East of the Fall line Really? Was just going by the ensemble member low positions. Looks like a big cluster in spots that usually work for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 WB 0Z EPS looks cold for Saturday. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I know NWS is concentrating on tonight's storm, but this is quite bullish more than 5 days out: Friday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 33. Chance of precipitation is 30%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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