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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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37 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Despite some success, what is it with this winter and the held back vorts? Feels like we've seen saying this every event we've tracked!

That's not really been the case overall. This right here is an atmospheric block(Rex type) with a quasi-stationary vortex 'stuck' underneath a ridge, same as what we see in the NA at times(which we love in that case). It alters(splits) the flow. This isnt a particularly long lasting one as modeled.

1737968400-di82yw4Fmnw.png

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Early Feb has been a window with potential for awhile now. With a modeled +NAO however, timing is critical. There is cold HP to our north but it will be on the move eastward without any block in the flow in place. In this case the low tracks northward to our west as HP shifts towards/off the NE coast. The temporary damming allows for some mixed precip in the northern/western parts of the region on this run.

1738422000-6NYG9yhiC3M.png

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