January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[mitchnick]

Nothing on the Euro AI for us next week.

[stormtracker]

GFS still with that close call at 120 hr 

[mattie g]

11 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

GFS still with that close call at 120 hr 

I’m telling you…we get a hit of some sort over the next week after tomorrow’s bust.

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, psuhoffman said:

This is really late, last 24 hours I've been on the road a lot.  But this would have been pretty much the same map I would have put out last night if I was able too.  Nothing has really changed.  The high or low end of these ranges will depend on banding which will be a nowcast thing.  The little bit of a gap between the 4-8" zones accounts for the little bit of a "jump" that will happen between the initial SW induced boundary wave and the coastal.  4-6" will be way more common in the 4-8" zone but I do think some isolated 8" totals will pop up somewhere in those 2 areas.  As the deform band with the coastal gets going it will cut off the moisture transport to the west and the precip with the initial wave will die.  This does create a bit of a gap, but I don't think it will be nearly as bad as some of the high resolution models were showing.  It's nice that the first threat of both high probability "windows" hit, makes it easier to track if the next few waves miss.  I don't think we are done yet though...as the pattern relaxes I bet we get another wave similar to this to hit.  And it still possible one of the waves this week trends north. 

 

I hate to say this, but...all this was supposed to be in the other thread, lol