January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

I'm 2 drinks in.  About to move to Rye.  And then spark up with the bf.  I'm a light weight, so I usually wait until close to bedtime.  One puff and disaster for me.  So I might wait.  I can out drink him, but he wins with the weed.

Yeah I am the same with weed. And I usually pay for it the next day. Weed hangover blah feeling.

[CAPE]

12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I'm 2 drinks in.  About to move to Rye.  And then spark up with the bf.  I'm a light weight, so I usually wait until close to bedtime.  One puff and disaster for me.  So I might wait.  I can out drink him, but he wins with the weed.

Drinking a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Good stuff. 16% typical. Great sipper with complex dark fruit notes. Puts you in a great place, much like drinking a 120. 

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Drinking a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Good stuff. 16% typical. Great sipper with complex dark fruit notes. Puts you in a great place, much like drinking a 120. 

That 120 tho man...liquid gold.  Even I have to slow sip that one.  BF loves it, but he's wobbly after half of one.

[clueless]

So is this HH banter and Banter is football now? Anyway, B&B Old Fashioned here. 

[NorthArlington101]

18z EURO making no friends unless ya’ll want to go to New Orleans, Houston, or OBX. 

[Dabuckeyes]

33 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Drinking a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Good stuff. 16% typical. Great sipper with complex dark fruit notes. Puts you in a great place, much like drinking a 120. 

Wait….so the Dewpoint Fahrenheit Humidity is 16% at hour 120?

[Chris78]

Those big over running events the models had a week ago are all gone for the most part. Unless you live on the gulf coast. 

[Jebman]

5 hours ago, stormtracker said:

I hope you'll turn on the TV and see the entire DMV with cars in ditches, airports closed, streets looking like a war torn third world nation, recitals and schools canceled, snowplows getting stuck as the area is getting destroyed with 2-3" per hour snow bands with lightning and thunder as temps are 12 degrees. and then it happens again 2 days later right before you come back.

And this storm gets captured for 14 days as terminal snow accums pile up and pile up. People have to climb out of their 3rd story windows  just to enjoy a jebwalk. The snow is so damn deep all the cars are buried in snow. 

[mitchnick]

17 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Those big over running events the models had a week ago are all gone for the most part. Unless you live on the gulf coast. 

Weird part is the 12z Eps snowfall is pretty decent considering the operational. 

Maybe a bone from the AI will show up.

[osfan24]

If Ji and Jebman ever met, I think the world would explode. Most optimistic poster ever and the most pessimistic ever.

[wasnow215]

5 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

If Ji and Jebman ever met, I think the world would explode. Most optimistic poster ever and the most pessimistic ever.

Hahahahaha like the worst of severe storms forming. 

[mitchnick]

18z still have the end of the month events, but they are both weaker. 1st one is a period of light precip but 2nd one is probably. 3-.4". Good news is it is cold enough for snow, at least it is for the 2nd event.

[Heisy]

End of the 18z euro H5 looked interesting, but there’s no real surface reflection though yet so idk




.

[Terpeast]

5 minutes ago, Heisy said:

End of the 18z euro H5 looked interesting, but there’s no real surface reflection though yet so idk




.

If that lead wave over OH speeds up a bit and gives the main wave some breathing room, this could pop something on the surface

[JenkinsJinkies]

NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore.

[wasnow215]

6 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore.

What the outlook for January when they released the previous three month period?

[bncho]

10 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore.

That's what we thought in December and November. And what happened to that December torch?

[wasnow215]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

That's what we thought in December.

Exactly -it's almost like we need a separate thread scoring the three month outlook after each month has passed

[Maestrobjwa]

1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore.

Tell me something...how right were they about this month? Not very much. So, why are you taking that as a done deal? This winter is clearly not behaving the way many thought it would. I mean...is it that hard to be a little more positive?