January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

just too much interference between the 2 streams

So far, seems like it'll be like 18z

[stormtracker]

It's gonna have a storm..but will be thermally fucked like 18z is what I'm thinking so far

[Ji]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's gonna have a storm..but will be thermally fucked like 18z is what I'm thinking so far

dont look at the Canadian for storm 2

[LP08]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

dont look at the Canadian for storm 2

lol…

 

 

 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

dont look at the Canadian for storm 2

Don't look at the GFS for storm 2

[Ji]

i have a feeling the euro is going to do something dumb tonight and just destroy everything that we thought would happen for next week

[midatlanticweather]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Don't look at the GFS for storm 2

Ya! Mix to rain seems likely late in the week by the way it looks to me

 

[NorthArlington101]

sure

[Deck Pic]

14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

houston and new orleans snow might be more fun... since you just like the tracking just pretend you live there! get a VPN or something

tracking southern weather is a yawner unless it is a 1 in 500 year snow event.  If Orlando was forecast to get an inch, I'd pay attention

[brooklynwx99]

I couldn't tell you what the CMC is doing. the beacon of consistency

[Deck Pic]

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

i have a feeling the euro is going to do something dumb tonight and just destroy everything that we thought would happen for next week

It will look like GFS for Sunday. But it won't have anything great next week.  sliders and northern stream blotchy pac men.  

I'm not worried about cold and dry though.  We'll get something next week/weekend

We may have to wait until PD3 for a big one.

[Ji]

19 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's gonna have a storm..but will be thermally fucked like 18z is what I'm thinking so far

i havent seen any model show what the gfs is showing lol

[WEATHER53]

The onset of the cold coincides with the great onslaught if 1994. 8 for a high at DCA and around zero by dark. 
1982 and 85 put up impressive numbers same time also 

How our arctic express looking ?

[Deck Pic]

3 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

The onset of the cold coincides with the great onslaught if 1994. 8 for a high at DCA and around zero by dark. 
1982 and 85 put up impressive numbers same time also 

How our arctic express looking ?

it's being overdone probably.  We can't get 1994 numbers.  I think in 1984 IAD hit -18 with little snowcover.  Thats never happening again

This is from the national blended model for DCA.  I could see it being a bit colder one or two of those days, but I think low of 8, high of 18 is probably more realistic than 1994 cold...we'll see 

Monday: Midnight high

Tuesday: 23/10

Wednesday: 21/10

Thursday: 30/12

 

[midatlanticweather]

I say - we need a new thread! We gotta shake the bad wacky mojo and get some good stuff! Keep it clean - focused and snowy!  

 

[pazzo83]

44 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

it's being overdone probably.  We can't get 1994 numbers.  I think in 1984 IAD hit -18 with little snowcover.  Thats never happening again

This is from the national blended model for DCA.  I could see it being a bit colder one or two of those days, but I think low of 8, high of 18 is probably more realistic than 1994 cold...we'll see 

Monday: Midnight high

Tuesday: 23/10

Wednesday: 21/10

Thursday: 30/12

 

Very unlikely that DCA will get below zero again in our lifetimes.

[Deck Pic]

6 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

Very unlikely that DCA will get below zero again in our lifetimes.

maybe there will be a little ice age that even fossil fuels cant stop.  That's our best shot

[LordBaltimore]

18 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

maybe there will be a little ice age that even fossil fuels cant stop.  That's our best shot

There's been a non-negligible chance of a nuclear war every single year for awhile now. People talk about 2100 but I'd say > 50% we get something black swan like that makes predictions useless

[Fozz]

1 hour ago, Deck Pic said:

maybe there will be a little ice age that even fossil fuels cant stop.  That's our best shot

Getting another subzero in DCA will take an eruption much worse than Pinatubo. Or God forbid, nuclear war.

[USCG RS]

59 minutes ago, Fozz said:

Or God forbid, nuclear war.

Would anyone even be around to record it. Ie, would that be within our lifetimes anyway....

[USCG RS]

3 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

sure

WNC had Helene. Maybe it's ENC turn? 

But... Like you said.   Sure 

[Fozz]

37 minutes ago, USCG RS said:

WNC had Helene. Maybe it's ENC turn? 

But... Like you said.   Sure 

This is where we’d want it 5 days out 

[stormtracker]

Still not where we want it, but the GFS is moving toward southern coastal storm idea.  Def not GEM like, but precip def jumped NW from 0z.  Quite a storm just off the coast

[Ji]

Still not where we want it, but the GFS is moving toward southern coastal storm idea.  Def not Euro like, but precip def jumped NW from 0z.  Quite a storm just off the coast

Woah

[Ji]

Still not where we want it, but the GFS is moving toward southern coastal storm idea.  Def not GEM like, but precip def jumped NW from 0z.  Quite a storm just off the coast

That looks more like the Canadian than the euro. I wish it was 162 hours out and not 102. Time running out

[stormtracker]

Just now, Ji said:

That looks more like the Canadian than the euro. I wish it was 162 hours out and not 102. Time running out

I mean to say Canadian, not Euro

[Ji]

I mean to say Canadian, not Euro

Yea the euro was absolute garbage lol

[Ji]

Cape will like this trend

[stormtracker]

The next system is pressed a little more SE on the GFS

[stormtracker]

Heh, GFS is a nice little snow event now for Friday instead of a warm rain.  Gotta love this model