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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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3 minutes ago, Amped said:

Gfs is a big improvement at 500mb. Digs the energy south instead of west and builds more ridging over the SE

just too much interference between the 2 streams

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44 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

it's being overdone probably.  We can't get 1994 numbers.  I think in 1984 IAD hit -18 with little snowcover.  Thats never happening again

This is from the national blended model for DCA.  I could see it being a bit colder one or two of those days, but I think low of 8, high of 18 is probably more realistic than 1994 cold...we'll see 

Monday: Midnight high

Tuesday: 23/10

Wednesday: 21/10

Thursday: 30/12

 

Very unlikely that DCA will get below zero again in our lifetimes.

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18 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

maybe there will be a little ice age that even fossil fuels cant stop.  That's our best shot

There's been a non-negligible chance of a nuclear war every single year for awhile now. People talk about 2100 but I'd say > 50% we get something black swan like that makes predictions useless

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1 hour ago, Deck Pic said:

maybe there will be a little ice age that even fossil fuels cant stop.  That's our best shot

Getting another subzero in DCA will take an eruption much worse than Pinatubo. Or God forbid, nuclear war.

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Still not where we want it, but the GFS is moving toward southern coastal storm idea.  Def not GEM like, but precip def jumped NW from 0z.  Quite a storm just off the coast

That looks more like the Canadian than the euro. I wish it was 162 hours out and not 102. Time running out
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