January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[wdrag]

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

The man, the myth, the legend! Walt Drag! The OG posters know this man well.  

All yours down there... thank you for all and you have to like your'e in the game for something the next week or two! 

[psuhoffman]

Just looking at the way the whole pattern evolves looping the h5 across guidance I think the second wave next week (the one the gfs is keying on) has the best chance to ride the coast north, but the first wave have the bigger upside in terms of snowfall for 95 (colder antecedent airmass). But fun times. The Sunday teaser is totally dependent on where the boundary sets up exactly and the track of that vort. It’s a narrow win zone so that won’t be nailed down either until the final 48-72 hours. 

[mattie g]

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Just looking at the way the whole pattern evolves looping the h5 across guidance I think the second wave next week (the one the gfs is keying on) has the best chance to ride the coast north, but the first wave have the bigger upside in terms of snowfall for 95 (colder antecedent airmass). But fun times. The Sunday teaser is totally dependent on where the boundary sets up exactly and the track of that vort. It’s a narrow win zone so that won’t be nailed down either until the final 48-72 hours. 

Seems to me that, if the Sunday thing turns out, then that affects the ability of the next wave to turn the corner. Either way, we have quite a few shots coming up, which is pretty much all we can ask for!

[stormtracker]

12 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

@stormtracker are you done your prostate exam so you can give us the Euro pbp?. 

Just got home.

[Benjamn3]

I hated my last prostate exam.

 

Strangest Dentist I have ever been to. 
 

[stormtracker]

Panels for Sunday about to drop.  Some light rain approaching the area Saturday afternoon

[mitchnick]

Ukie Sunday 

[WeatherQ]

15 minutes ago, wdrag said:

All yours down there... thank you for all and you have to like your'e in the game for something the next week or two! 

Haven’t seen your name since NWS Philly on Arch Street back when I interned before the Mount Holly move when Chet and Dean were there!  Hello Sir 

[SnowenOutThere]

UKMET has a good event Sunday with around 3 inches areawide

[stormtracker]

Euro kinda dry so far

[stormtracker]

Alright the relevant panels are about to come up.  The suspense!

[stormtracker]

Light snow approaching at 15z.  Hope it juices up a bit

[stormtracker]

Starts snowing at 18z...need more juice baby!

[87storms]

2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Ukie Sunday 

Dc getting more snow than Frederick is believable tbh

[stormtracker]

Looks decent, especially DC S and E. 1-4"  more toward to south

[NorthArlington101]

little drier than 06z

[stormtracker]

On to the next mirage.  S/w is a best more stretched out wester

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

On to the next mirage.  S/w is a best more stretched out wester

It’s a miss. Not even close. 

[stormtracker]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

It’s a miss. Not even close. 

Yeah seeing that on the snowfall maps.  Was just about to post

[mitchnick]

Ukie Tuesday night. This is the closest it gets.

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Yeah seeing that on the snowfall maps.  Was just about to post

Looks like something trying post 192

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

It’s a miss. Not even close. 

Waiting to see if it has a later storm like the GFS

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Looks like something trying post 192

Not looking good so far..could be wrong

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Waiting to see if it has a later storm like the GFS

Just a tease. Lots of precip to the south, nothing ever makes it up 

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Looks like something trying post 192

Nothing

[mitchnick]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Just a tease. Lots of precip to the south, nothing ever makes it up 

But I bet it's cold.

[stormtracker]

Onward and upward to 18z in this game of model roulette!  

[stormtracker]

Just now, mitchnick said:

But I bet it's cold.

5 here on Tuesday AM

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Onward and upward to 18z in this game of model roulette!  

Trust me Jenna is coming, it's just a matter of when. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, mitchnick said:

But I bet it's cold.

Like a 2 day cold period yawn. Drought be droughtin