stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 GFS froze on me. Anyway, different out west. Close low kicked out faster and on the move right when it froze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Yeah, this run might be fun... 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 4:31 AM, stormtracker said: Yeah, this run might be fun... Expand Setting up for a nice one at 210 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Thought I’d get a break from tracking, but now the gfs is showing a 1040+ hp and a bowling ball ejecting east. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 4:32 AM, Solution Man said: Setting up for a nice one at 210 Expand I'm not sure. Seems suppressed so far...main vort is all the way in the back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 It's not gonna gt us there....but it's an interesting new wrinkle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 4:35 AM, stormtracker said: I'm not sure. Seems suppressed so far...main vort is all the way in the back Expand Despite some success, what is it with this winter and the held back vorts? Feels like we've seen saying this every event we've tracked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 4:37 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Despite some success, what is it with this winter and the held back vorts? Feels like we've seen saying this every event we've tracked! Expand There have been a lot...that answer is above my pay grade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 4:37 AM, stormtracker said: It's not gonna gt us there....but it's an interesting new wrinkle Expand You’re right, getting squashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 light ice to so rain, mainly NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Will need to see how things shake out on the models by the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 4:43 AM, 87storms said: Will need to see how things shake out on the models by the weekend. Expand Nah...next Wednesday, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 4:37 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Despite some success, what is it with this winter and the held back vorts? Feels like we've seen saying this every event we've tracked! Expand That's not really been the case overall. This right here is an atmospheric block(Rex type) with a quasi-stationary vortex 'stuck' underneath a ridge, same as what we see in the NA at times(which we love in that case). It alters(splits) the flow. This isnt a particularly long lasting one as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Early Feb has been a window with potential for awhile now. With a modeled +NAO however, timing is critical. There is cold HP to our north but it will be on the move eastward without any block in the flow in place. In this case the low tracks northward to our west as HP shifts towards/off the NE coast. The temporary damming allows for some mixed precip in the northern/western parts of the region on this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Def improvements in 00z euro with regards timing the bowling ball and high pressure 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Sold 1 3 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 5:51 AM, Ji said: Sold Expand Man I thought you were talking about end of next week, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 6:00 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Man I thought you were talking about end of next week, lol Expand It’s Feb 2nd, that’s just the snow map for the whole run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 6:00 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Man I thought you were talking about end of next week, lolFeb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 6:03 AM, Ji said: Feb 2 Expand Ah okay--the date at the top threw me off my bad, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 6:09 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Ah okay--the date at the top threw me off my bad, lolThe euro also kind of cancels the warm up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 6:20 AM, Ji said: The euro also kind of cancels the warm up Expand So another episode of can-kicking in the right direction, eh? I mean wow how refreshing is that? Lol Interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 0z Gem was set up for a hit of some kind at the end of its run, which is around the target time frame right after the end of January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 23 Author Share Posted January 23 yall want a new thread? this one is quite longer than we usually keep around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 10:48 AM, mappy said: yall want a new thread? this one is quite longer than we usually keep around here.Yes and a redskins victory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 23 Author Share Posted January 23 On 1/23/2025 at 10:51 AM, Ji said: Yes and a redskins victory Expand Ha, if I could make it so we win, I'd have done it all season. But I will make a new thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 23 Author Share Posted January 23 New thread pinned. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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