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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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  On 1/21/2025 at 8:30 PM, csnavywx said:

Ditto -- really tired of coddling it. It's over -- they lost. On every conceivable metric possible. No that does not mean snow disappears. Transient regional responses mean that weird shit can happen, and should be *expected* to happen. As it turns out, warming the IO and N. Pac this rapidly has consequences downstream that may run counter to the global trend on a seasonal timeframe.

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Thank you for this, and for stating it diplomatically.  I had some thoughts as well but refrained because I'd probably get too far into the "politics" of all that.  But on a scientific note, which is totally legitimate, my understanding of climate change/global warming (whatever one decides to call it...same thing!) is that one consequence involves more EXTREMES.  It doesn't mean cold disappears or that you won't get snow in the deep south, etc.  Those extremes can involve abnormal cold (and snow) in places that don't normally experience it.  I'm sure it's been this cold in the deep south and Gulf areas before...the difference in this case is there also happens to be a significant system moving through while that cold is in place.  So they're getting dumped on rather than getting effectively a "blue norther" of cold and dry.  If it was just anomalous cold, you wouldn't hear quite as much about what's happening there.

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  On 1/21/2025 at 11:10 PM, mitchnick said:

Nothing imminent is all you can sensibly say.

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With what happened in the South today and all the fringing that happened on the 6th I think it’s understandable to ask, when is it going to be our turn? Every time we’ve had a good pattern in the last few years that produces snow there’s always some small thing that pops up at the last second and causes it to underperform.

Parts of Louisiana and Texas now have more snow than DC. If that remains the case for the rest of this season I am not looking forward to the inevitable hurricane of butthurt from the weenies.

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  On 1/21/2025 at 11:19 PM, JenkinsJinkies said:

With what happened in the South today and all the fringing that happened on the 6th I think it’s understandable to ask, when is it going to be our turn? Every time we’ve had a good pattern in the last few years that produces snow there’s always some small thing that pops up at the last second and causes it to bust

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Par for the course. Growing up here I remember tons of busts and lengthly periods of cold without snow. It happens. 

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