Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 8:43 PM, mitchnick said: People are acting like idiots. It's as if they've never seen snow before. Expand Out of fairness, most of them haven't tho? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 9:10 PM, Heisy said: Just saw the Ai, yea Mitch that’s really close to what we want to see . Expand That window has been on the radar for at least 4 days now. Big ones, early, etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 7:14 PM, psuhoffman said: Expand CHEMTRAILS!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 8:09 PM, Ji said: this is a snow lovers board. science is secondary Expand We know you don't care about the science. All you crave is model generated digital blue over your yard every run, and become performative when you don't get it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 8:30 PM, csnavywx said: Ditto -- really tired of coddling it. It's over -- they lost. On every conceivable metric possible. No that does not mean snow disappears. Transient regional responses mean that weird shit can happen, and should be *expected* to happen. As it turns out, warming the IO and N. Pac this rapidly has consequences downstream that may run counter to the global trend on a seasonal timeframe. Expand Thank you for this, and for stating it diplomatically. I had some thoughts as well but refrained because I'd probably get too far into the "politics" of all that. But on a scientific note, which is totally legitimate, my understanding of climate change/global warming (whatever one decides to call it...same thing!) is that one consequence involves more EXTREMES. It doesn't mean cold disappears or that you won't get snow in the deep south, etc. Those extremes can involve abnormal cold (and snow) in places that don't normally experience it. I'm sure it's been this cold in the deep south and Gulf areas before...the difference in this case is there also happens to be a significant system moving through while that cold is in place. So they're getting dumped on rather than getting effectively a "blue norther" of cold and dry. If it was just anomalous cold, you wouldn't hear quite as much about what's happening there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 9:23 PM, StormyClearweather said: Just saw two 9" reports come in from Lafayette. Wild for them. Hell, that'd be wild for many of us these days. Expand Trust me, @Ji would find a way to complain it's not enough! (Just joking, all in fun!) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Drifter Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 9:53 PM, CAPE said: We know you don't care about the science. All you crave is model generated digital blue over your yard every run, and become performative when you don't get it. Expand Science is only right until proven wrong! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:05 PM, Snow Drifter said: Science is only right until proven wrong! Expand Yeah I keep waiting for someone to prove the earth isn't a sphere. Seems really flat when I look out my window. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 9:10 PM, Heisy said: Just saw the Ai, yea Mitch that’s really close to what we want to see . Expand Not much faith on this end until we start to at least get some hits on operationals, the AI, or ensemble support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Can you guys believe this is Florida? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:09 PM, CAPE said: Yeah I keep waiting for someone to prove the earth isn't a sphere. Seems really flat when I look out my window. Expand Kyrie Irving called, he would like a word! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:13 PM, Fozz said: Can you guys believe this is Florida? Expand Damn, I remember back in the day when Florida would measure "snow" in grams, not inches!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:11 PM, mitchnick said: Not much faith on this end until we start to at least get some hits on operationals, the AI, or ensemble support. Expand Also by that time the AI has removed all the cold air in the CONUS. Euro evolution is much different keeps the northeast quite cold in that time frame but dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:15 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Also by that time the AI has removed all the cold air in the CONUS. Euro evolution is much different keeps the northeast quite cold in that time frame but dry. Expand 18z Gfs looking interesting at 156hrs, but that sw vort wants to stay put. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:13 PM, Fozz said: Can you guys believe this is Florida? Expand This guy lost me at 7" of snow LOL where is your snow board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:20 PM, mitchnick said: 18z Gfs looking interesting at 156hrs, but that sw vort wants to stay put. Expand blows. ULL sitting back there spinning like me after a bag of edibles. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:33 PM, Kevin Reilly said: This guy lost me at 7" of snow LOL where is your snow board? Expand Been some pseudo-official 5.5” reports near Pensacola. Not saying it’s impossible, but… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:20 PM, mitchnick said: 18z Gfs looking interesting at 156hrs, but that sw vort wants to stay put. Expand Finally starts moving...on February 1st. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:42 PM, stormtracker said: Finally starts moving...on February 1st. lol Expand What's going on out there that causes these southern shortwaves to just meander and meander like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:43 PM, Maestrobjwa said: What's going on out there that causes these southern shortwaves to just meander and meander like that? Expand Trapped by High Pressure to the north and nothing to push it along. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:09 PM, CAPE said: Yeah I keep waiting for someone to prove the earth isn't a sphere. Seems really flat when I look out my window. Expand I recommend Isaac Asimov's essay "The Relativity of Wrong." It's a fantastic short work and I'm sure you (and everyone else here) would love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:42 PM, stormtracker said: Finally starts moving...on February 1st. lol Expand Well, it had to wait for the cold to get put of the way you know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:46 PM, mitchnick said: Well, it had to wait for the cold to get put of the way you know. Expand And that's exactly what it did. Rainstorm incoming I believe...well I should say, it's def gonna be rain..i meant to say if it climbs the coast or sails out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 It misses! Yay..looked like a hell of a rainstorm at first 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 500mb is a non-snow friendly mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 10:50 PM, stormtracker said: It misses! Yay..looked like a hell of a rainstorm at first Expand Dodged that bullet. Probably swing around us and hit Pensacola. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 So I can take it snow is off the table for at least the next 2 weeks? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 11:06 PM, JenkinsJinkies said: So I can take it snow is off the table for at least the next 2 weeks? Expand Nothing imminent is all you can sensibly say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 11:10 PM, mitchnick said: Nothing imminent is all you can sensibly say. Expand With what happened in the South today and all the fringing that happened on the 6th I think it’s understandable to ask, when is it going to be our turn? Every time we’ve had a good pattern in the last few years that produces snow there’s always some small thing that pops up at the last second and causes it to underperform. Parts of Louisiana and Texas now have more snow than DC. If that remains the case for the rest of this season I am not looking forward to the inevitable hurricane of butthurt from the weenies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/21/2025 at 11:19 PM, JenkinsJinkies said: With what happened in the South today and all the fringing that happened on the 6th I think it’s understandable to ask, when is it going to be our turn? Every time we’ve had a good pattern in the last few years that produces snow there’s always some small thing that pops up at the last second and causes it to bust Expand Par for the course. Growing up here I remember tons of busts and lengthly periods of cold without snow. It happens. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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