January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[stormtracker]

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Let’s end this conversation please.

 

[Heisy]

12z euro was really close with the bowling ball, needed a better timed TPV push


.

[psuhoffman]

 

20 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Let’s end this conversation please.

But for it to end some of the same posters who complain whenever anything that supports warming is even hinted at...need to stop making blatant anti warming posts.  It's a two way street...if they don't want us talking about how its getting warmer...they can't keep making posts implying its not.  

[psuhoffman]

10 minutes ago, Heisy said:

12z euro was really close with the bowling ball, needed a better timed TPV push


.

I'm fine with where it was on that run...noise level changes for that range would have made it a hit.

Now back to posting about snow in New Orleans and arguing over the accuracy of thermometers 

[CAPE]

3 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

 

But for it to end some of the same posters who complain whenever anything that supports warming is even hinted at...need to stop making blatant anti warming posts.  It's a two way street...if they don't want us talking about how its getting warmer...they can't keep making posts implying its not.  

Anti-science people on a science based weather forum. Too funny.

[JenkinsJinkies]

I wonder if we’re going to end up like 21-22 where the metros nickel and dime their way to within striking distance of climo but something causes the last event of the season to underperform and it ultimately stops short.

[psuhoffman]

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
11:00 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2025

MDZ003>005-502-VAZ027>031-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-220300-
/O.CAN.KLWX.CW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-250123T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KLWX.CW.Y.0008.250122T0500Z-250122T1600Z/
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Hampshire-Morgan-
Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Eastern Grant-Eastern Mineral-
Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek,
Eldersburg, Westminster, Cumberland, Strasburg, Woodstock,
Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah,
Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Romney, Paw Paw, Martinsburg,
Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Moorefield, Petersburg, Antioch,
Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville,
and Fort Ashby
1100 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2025

...Cirrus Warning IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 11 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Cirrus expected.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland,
  northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia.

* WHEN...From 1 pm today to 11 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Dull hazy sky conditions with the risk of severe boredom if precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Bring electronic devices or card games to avoid boredom.

 

[CAPE]

Oh damn not that again

[CAPE]

Just now, psuhoffman said:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
11:00 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2025

MDZ003>005-502-VAZ027>031-WVZ050>053-055-502-504-220300-
/O.CAN.KLWX.CW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-250123T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KLWX.CW.Y.0008.250122T0500Z-250122T1600Z/
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Hampshire-Morgan-
Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Eastern Grant-Eastern Mineral-
Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek,
Eldersburg, Westminster, Cumberland, Strasburg, Woodstock,
Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah,
Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Romney, Paw Paw, Martinsburg,
Charles Town, Shepherdstown, Moorefield, Petersburg, Antioch,
Keyser, New Creek, Ridgeville, Russelldale, Headsville,
and Fort Ashby
1100 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2025

...Cirrus Warning IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 11 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Cirrus expected.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland,
  northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia.

* WHEN...From 1 pm today to 11 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Dull hazy sky conditions with the risk of severe boredom if precautions are not taken.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Bring electronic devices or card games to avoid boredom.

 

Only dangerous if you smoke it.

[AdamHLG]

Sorry my iPad is messed up. Deleted.



Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pro

[mitchnick]

12z AI weakened Monday to lt snow or flurries. Later next week, northern stream fails to appear but heavy rain may turn to snow for some with u/l passage. Again, lots of potential but we could really use some help from up north.

[psuhoffman]

15 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Only dangerous if you smoke it.

[Jebman]

4 hours ago, MountainGeek said:

@Jebman - I don't even know where to begin - you are in freaking Texas!!! 

We're not talking a dusting here, folks. Oh no. You are going to get a "parade of plumes", a "bomb cyclone Tex-Mex fiesta" dropping white gold on cacti and tumbleweeds like it's trying to rewrite the state's weather legacy. Houston? Gone. Galveston? Forget it. Buda? It’s a snow and ice-encrusted snowy winter wonderland now.

Models were SCREAMING about this for days, but who believed it? It’s Texas! The land of brisket, 100-degree football games, and air conditioners melting asphalt. Yet here we are. You will be buried in widespread 2" and locally higher amounts!!! Texas meteorologists are blinking like deer in headlights.

DFW will shut down based on cold air alone. San Antonio is desperately trying to learn what the heck a snowplow is. Cars will be sliding around like penguins on Crisco. And you know the media will be losing its mind. "Historic Winter Blast!" “Arctic Apocalypse!” Jim Cantore might as well camp out on the Alamo steps at this point.

Stock up on popcorn and watch Texans attempt to drive in this mess. A shoutout to the heroes who’ve never seen snow but are still trying to shovel their driveways with BBQ spatulas. @Jebman - this is your time - your moment - you alone can TEACH THEM HOW TO SHOVEL!!!!

This cold will be dug in like a tick on a hound dog. Congrats Texas -- you’re the new Alberta for a week!! 

Buda got an inch of snow. We are now about 34 percent above normal for the season! Texas style keg party incoming. It was fun watching the aggregates blow right past the streetlights! YOU ARE NEXT, MID ATLANTIC!

 

Wow Mtn Geek! This is a hilarious writeup! I think you and GeorgeBM should collab on a massive blizzard story for Feb 1 on this thread!

[Ji]

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Anti science people on a science based weather forum. Too funny.

this is a snow lovers board. science is secondary

[WesternFringe]

New Orleans cams are amazing rn

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/louisiana/neworleans/bourbonstreet/?cam=catsmeow2

[MacChump]

wild how it's tapping into that gulf of america moisture

[LordBaltimore]

13 minutes ago, Ji said:

this is a snow lovers board. science is secondary

Never seen someone passed up for a grant by snow. Never had a paper rejected by snow. Never spent months coding snow that doesn't work. Science sucks. Snow rules

[JenkinsJinkies]

The Deep South is scoring, when is our next window of opportunity?

[csnavywx]

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

 

But for it to end some of the same posters who complain whenever anything that supports warming is even hinted at...need to stop making blatant anti warming posts.  It's a two way street...if they don't want us talking about how its getting warmer...they can't keep making posts implying its not.  

Ditto -- really tired of coddling it. It's over -- they lost. On every conceivable metric possible. No that does not mean snow disappears. Transient regional responses mean that weird shit can happen, and should be *expected* to happen. As it turns out, warming the IO and N. Pac this rapidly has consequences downstream that may run counter to the global trend on a seasonal timeframe.

[mitchnick]

21 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

New Orleans cams are amazing rn

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/louisiana/neworleans/bourbonstreet/?cam=catsmeow2

People are acting like idiots. It's as if they've never seen snow before. 

[wxdude64]

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

That there is a heavy smoker!

[clskinsfan]

My son in Charleston says the local mets are going nuts. Calling for 5-10 down there. That is insane. 

I think OC ends up getting a nice hit out of this. The models have trended better for them recently. 

[Heisy]

Just saw the Ai, yea Mitch that’s really close to what we want to see





.

[Jebman]

2 hours ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I am in Nassau Bahamas where its 85 degrees out and here I am tracking snow up in the MA for my return.

GFS is disappointing. I paid $26.95 for the internet package to be disappointed.

I am jealous. You are 85 degrees and I am only 33 degrees with some snow on the ground here in SOUTH Texas.

Mid Atlantic WILL get more snow!

[Jebman]

48 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

The Deep South is scoring, when is our next window of opportunity?

You guys WILL score more heavy snow.

[StormyClearweather]

Just saw two 9" reports come in from Lafayette. Wild for them. Hell, that'd be wild for many of us these days. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

51 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

People are acting like idiots. It's as if they've never seen snow before. 

Out of fairness, most of them haven't tho?

[Ralph Wiggum]

25 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Just saw the Ai, yea Mitch that’s really close to what we want to see





.

That window has been on the radar for at least 4 days now. Big ones, early, etc

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

CHEMTRAILS!!! 

[CAPE]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

this is a snow lovers board. science is secondary

We know you don't care about the science. All you crave is model generated digital blue over your yard every run, and become performative when you don't get it.