Scraff Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 7:10 PM, Fozz said: You missed both the big ones in Feb 2010? Expand Just landed FL. And sadly missed the entire week of fun. All good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:33 PM, CAPE said: Even with the baroclinic boundary suppressed for midweek way down along the Gulf and SE coast with developing low pressure tracking off NC and then likely offshore from there, as advertised there is a strong jet streak that moves over the MA with some NS vorticity at h5. Decent mid level moisture advection combined with lift underneath the right rear quadrant of that jet streak could produce an area of light to moderate snow that is pretty far removed from the actual SE low. That seems to be what the GFS is depicting for places along/SE of I-95. Ofc I am a bit drunk and high so I could be wrong. Expand You're not wrong. You are definitely drunk and high. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:39 PM, stormtracker said: You're not wrong. You are definitely drunk and high. Expand Oh I am, but I also think I'm right about how it could snow up this way with a suppressed coastal low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:42 PM, CAPE said: Oh I am, but I also think I'm right about how it could snow up this way with a suppressed low. Expand I'm 2 drinks in. About to move to Rye. And then spark up with the bf. I'm a light weight, so I usually wait until close to bedtime. One puff and disaster for me. So I might wait. I can out drink him, but he wins with the weed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:43 PM, stormtracker said: I'm 2 drinks in. About to move to Rye. And then spark up with the bf. I'm a light weight, so I usually wait until close to bedtime. One puff and disaster for me. So I might wait. I can out drink him, but he wins with the weed. Expand Yeah I am the same with weed. And I usually pay for it the next day. Weed hangover blah feeling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:43 PM, stormtracker said: I'm 2 drinks in. About to move to Rye. And then spark up with the bf. I'm a light weight, so I usually wait until close to bedtime. One puff and disaster for me. So I might wait. I can out drink him, but he wins with the weed. Expand Drinking a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Good stuff. 16% typical. Great sipper with complex dark fruit notes. Puts you in a great place, much like drinking a 120. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:59 PM, CAPE said: Drinking a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Good stuff. 16% typical. Great sipper with complex dark fruit notes. Puts you in a great place, much like drinking a 120. Expand That 120 tho man...liquid gold. Even I have to slow sip that one. BF loves it, but he's wobbly after half of one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 So is this HH banter and Banter is football now? Anyway, B&B Old Fashioned here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18z EURO making no friends unless ya’ll want to go to New Orleans, Houston, or OBX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dabuckeyes Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:59 PM, CAPE said: Drinking a DFH Fruit-full Fort. Good stuff. 16% typical. Great sipper with complex dark fruit notes. Puts you in a great place, much like drinking a 120. Expand Wait….so the Dewpoint Fahrenheit Humidity is 16% at hour 120? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Those big over running events the models had a week ago are all gone for the most part. Unless you live on the gulf coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 6:46 PM, stormtracker said: I hope you'll turn on the TV and see the entire DMV with cars in ditches, airports closed, streets looking like a war torn third world nation, recitals and schools canceled, snowplows getting stuck as the area is getting destroyed with 2-3" per hour snow bands with lightning and thunder as temps are 12 degrees. and then it happens again 2 days later right before you come back. Expand And this storm gets captured for 14 days as terminal snow accums pile up and pile up. People have to climb out of their 3rd story windows just to enjoy a jebwalk. The snow is so damn deep all the cars are buried in snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/17/2025 at 11:43 PM, Chris78 said: Those big over running events the models had a week ago are all gone for the most part. Unless you live on the gulf coast. Expand Weird part is the 12z Eps snowfall is pretty decent considering the operational. Maybe a bone from the AI will show up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 If Ji and Jebman ever met, I think the world would explode. Most optimistic poster ever and the most pessimistic ever. 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 12:08 AM, osfan24 said: If Ji and Jebman ever met, I think the world would explode. Most optimistic poster ever and the most pessimistic ever. Expand Hahahahaha like the worst of severe storms forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 18z still have the end of the month events, but they are both weaker. 1st one is a period of light precip but 2nd one is probably. 3-.4". Good news is it is cold enough for snow, at least it is for the 2nd event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 End of the 18z euro H5 looked interesting, but there’s no real surface reflection though yet so idk . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 1:19 AM, Heisy said: End of the 18z euro H5 looked interesting, but there’s no real surface reflection though yet so idk . Expand If that lead wave over OH speeds up a bit and gives the main wave some breathing room, this could pop something on the surface 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 1:26 AM, JenkinsJinkies said: NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore. Expand What the outlook for January when they released the previous three month period? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 1:26 AM, JenkinsJinkies said: NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore. Expand That's what we thought in December and November. And what happened to that December torch? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 1:34 AM, bncho said: That's what we thought in December. Expand Exactly -it's almost like we need a separate thread scoring the three month outlook after each month has passed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 1:26 AM, JenkinsJinkies said: NOAA released its 3 month outlook for Feb-Mar-Apr, it favors above average temps in the east. Looks like we can’t score outside of January anymore. Expand Tell me something...how right were they about this month? Not very much. So, why are you taking that as a done deal? This winter is clearly not behaving the way many thought it would. I mean...is it that hard to be a little more positive? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 2:22 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Tell me something...how right were they about this month? Not very much. So, why are you taking that as a done deal? This winter is clearly not behaving the way many thought it would. I mean...is it that hard to be a little more positive? Came here to say this. Their January forecast was for above normal temps in late December lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 yet another different H5 look on the GFS. coastal develops closer to the coast..but it's a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Sooooo we toss the Canadian for Sunday but hug for now for Wednesday? Sounds good to me…lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 CMC tried it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:13 AM, LP08 said: Sooooo we toss the Canadian for Sunday but hug for now for Wednesday? Sounds good to me…lol Expand Eh...it's interesting, but I dunno anymore. prob too far NW. Again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 We still can’t get that unicorn overrunning event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Man, the south east would be crippled by the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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