Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:11 AM, stormtracker said: I mean to say Canadian, not EuroYea the euro was absolute garbage lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Cape will like this trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 The next system is pressed a little more SE on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Heh, GFS is a nice little snow event now for Friday instead of a warm rain. Gotta love this model 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 @168 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:19 AM, Solution Man said: @168 looks good Expand Sort of falls apart after... but still some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:18 AM, stormtracker said: Heh, GFS is a nice little snow event now for Friday instead of a warm rain. Gotta love this modelYes it helped that it was phasing Shiite in California Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 looks like a 2-5 deal, more toward the east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 The only thing we can say at this point is that next week is a powderkeg...matches flying all around and yet none may ignite. A whole lot of words to say: We just can't know 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:23 AM, stormtracker said: The only thing we can say at this point is that next week is a powderkeg...matches flying all around and yet none may ignite. A whole lot of words to say: We just can't know Expand Gonna be a busy next week or so in here!! I love it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:21 AM, stormtracker said: looks like a 2-5 deal, more toward the eastSloppy ass storm with upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 WB 6Z GFS v 0Z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:34 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS v 0Z Expand Big shift north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:34 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS v 0Z Expand Not a bad spot a week out!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Pattern is volatile...we don't have the final solution for midweek yet. It was 3 days out before GFS locked into the weekend storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:42 AM, Weather Will said: Pattern is volatile...we don't have the final solution for midweek yet. It was 3 days out before GFS locked into the weekend storm. Expand Gfs Has been erratic this winter!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I'd rather it just go out to sea than watch what happens on the CMC with NC getting three feet and us getting 6 inches or whatever it is. Hopefully, it continues to adjust northward but seems unlikely. It's likely overamped like it usually is and the GFS or Euro is likely correct. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 10:23 AM, stormtracker said: The only thing we can say at this point is that next week is a powderkeg...matches flying all around and yet none may ignite. A whole lot of words to say: We just can't know Expand The roulette wheel thing part 2? Maybe the dart board thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 There are a few members on the 6z GEFS that get some snow up this way, and a few others are close. Its going to be a fight with Arctic cold HP entrenched. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 12:48 PM, CAPE said: There are a few members on the 6z GEFS that get some snow up this way, and a few others are close. Its going to be a fight with Arctic cold HP entrenched. Expand I'm hoping that at the beginning of the week at least it's stable irt wind direction. Just reserved a house near Worth Center, NY (Tug Hill) for 5 nights beginning Sunday in hopes of chasing a big LES event. Earlier models showed it being further south, so needed to adjust. Always a gamble when your 'storm' is 10 miles wide but if you nail it, oh boy is it awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 The trend on the GEFS is promising. Almost every member shifted west since the last run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 AI gets some precip into the area on the 24th, but we miss most of the qpf. After that, it has 2 or 3 coastals missing us to the south and east. But those are beyond even the AI's reliability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 1:22 PM, mitchnick said: AI gets some precip into the area on the 24th, but we miss most of the qpf. After that, it has 2 or 3 coastals missing us to the south and east. But those are beyond even the AI's reliability. Expand Much closer than 0z. Keep it comin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Webb says next week reminds him of 1/28/14. That was <1” at the three DC-Baltimore airports, ~3” at RIC, and almost 9” at ORF. FWIW. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 2:18 PM, WxUSAF said: Webb says next week reminds him of 1/28/14. That was <1” at the three DC-Baltimore airports, ~3” at RIC, and almost 9” at ORF. FWIW. Expand but what was it at GED or SBY? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 What are we doing about next week yall? Like do we think the number 2 storm can get to us or are we trying to get the GFS storm to get us? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 3:33 PM, stormtracker said: What are we doing about next week yall? Like do we think the number 2 storm can get to us or are we trying to get the GFS storm to get us? Expand we're trying for both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 3:33 PM, stormtracker said: What are we doing about next week yall? Like do we think the number 2 storm can get to us or are we trying to get the GFS storm to get us? Expand I've started to give up on the number 2 storm. Now if guidance gets closer than maybe...but even to my amateur eyes I'm not sure how it gets around that press (whatever you call it, lol). But we still have time, I think... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 GFS going the wrong way for storm 2. ETA: Well, it still misses...but I don't know if it's truly the wrong way. Orientation of precip was just different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 GFS looks very similar to me compared to 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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