Ji Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 2:38 PM, stormtracker said: Now we talking Expand there are 80,000 people that just know the euro as dr no now lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 2:48 PM, mattie g said: Just bringing this over here so I have my bases covered: Expand Always take the sure thing. Generally speaking, though... Sunday isn't yet a sure thing even at this range lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 2:02 PM, Allsnow said: Ridge rolls over and traps the sw energy Expand Well, if the AI model was programmed with Euro data which has had a history of burying energy in the SW, weenie speculation says the AI model may erroneously tend toward that bias too. I'll weenie myself to save others the trouble. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 2:54 PM, Terpeast said: Always take the sure thing. Generally speaking, though... Sunday isn't yet a sure thing even at this range lol Expand Oh...no doubt! But the midweek window has a TON of upside and I kinda want in on that. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 2:54 PM, Ji said: there are 80,000 people that just know the euro as dr no now lol Expand Exactly. If all 80,000 just gave $5 royalty fee, I'd recuperate half the money I bet on our team for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 2:58 PM, mattie g said: Oh...no doubt! But the midweek window has a TON of upside and I kinda want in on that. lol Expand For some reason I'm all aboard that train and sour on the Sunday thing. I want to believe, but the flucuations on an event just 3 days ago has me doubtful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 2:57 PM, mitchnick said: Well, if the AI model was programmed with Euro data which has had a history of burying energy in the SW, weenie speculation says the AI model may erroneously tend toward that bias too. I'll weenie myself to save others the trouble. Expand In theory, it should learn that if the Euro was overdoing the burying of energy in the Southwest then the next panels shouldn't leave that energy behind. It'll be super interesting to see what ultimately plays out given how steady the Euro AI has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 3:00 PM, stormtracker said: For some reason I'm all aboard that train and sour on the Sunday thing. I want to believe, but the flucuations on an event just 3 days ago has me doubtful. Expand I don't want to pass on 3-6" if we can get it because it seems to me that the midweek thing is even more up in the air, but it would be hard to watch if North Carolina gets blasted next week while we smoke cirrus at 5F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 ICON looks a bit more juicy at 120, lets see where it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 One more northern jump like that with the ICON and we will be in business....nice trends so far with the 12z suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Pretty big change on the ICON at 132, no nearly as much holding back of the Energy out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 3:26 PM, Shad said: ICON looks a bit more juicy at 120, lets see where it goes Expand It's a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 3:29 PM, stormtracker said: It's a miss Expand someone once told me the trend is your friend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Right direction compared to 12 hours ago. Good trend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 3:31 PM, Shad said: someone once told me the trend is your friend? Expand Amazing the ICON is a miss with no follow up and the GFS is a wound up low 2 days after. Wheel's a spinning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 3:35 PM, stormtracker said: Amazing the ICON is a miss with no follow up and the GFS is a wound up low 2 days after. Wheel's a spinning Expand Eh the weekend rule works better anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 GFS on some ol' bullshit with the next potential... i mean the Wed thing that other models tried to focus on. Still haven't got to its late week thing yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Through 108, i think the CMC is going to try again for the midweek thing. Big change out west again with the energy not being held back as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 GFS wonky as hell today. Sticking at certain panels, skipping some. Guess it's gotta process the late week blizzard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 4:18 PM, LP08 said: Through 108, i think the CMC is going to try again for the midweek thing. Big change out west again with the energy not being held back as much. Expand It’s trying to turn the corner. Big ass storm either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 4:18 PM, LP08 said: Through 108, i think the CMC is going to try again for the midweek thing. Big change out west again with the energy not being held back as much. Expand On 1/16/2025 at 4:21 PM, WxUSAF said: It’s trying to turn the corner. Big ass storm either way. Expand It has a 1005mb SLP SE of HSE at 144 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 lol, GFS about to be a cutter. Went from Miller A to this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just comical differences in H5. This fucking model man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 GFS is so bad....for what its worth CMC and ICON look pretty similar at 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Damn. CMC has a monster storm for the south. Don't think it's going to turn the corner tho. Damn shame. ATL to greensville to CLT getting a beat down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 gets some light stuff up here, but heading out to sea. It's a beaut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 4:25 PM, stormtracker said: Damn. CMC has a monster storm for the south. Don't think it's going to turn the corner tho. Damn shame. ATL to greensville to CLT getting a beat down Expand Scrapes us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Big Improvements on the CMC......this Euro run is going to be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 On 1/16/2025 at 4:25 PM, stormtracker said: gets some light stuff up here, but heading out to sea. It's a beaut Expand Really close, boom potential is there. This is the storm the euro crushed us with on its 12z run 2-3 days ago. Glad to see it coming back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Yeah, this will be a crucial Euro update. Just like they all will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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