mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, TSSN+ said: Euro at 144 Good to finally have this nailed down. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Do you have the vort or 500mb maps? Can’t quite tell from the surface map if that’s going out to sea or gonna climb the coast Not like it matters because I’m sure next run will be totally different but here ya go 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Not like it matters because I’m sure next run will be totally different but here ya go That’s significantly more promising than 12z. That vort over Missouri was in Ohio at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: yeah, this really isn't warm. can see a cutter beating the gradient down for a colder system following up That's a great look that would roll forward into a pretty decent potential. We've seen this before....roll that forward 5-7 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 That’s significantly more promising than 12z. That vort over Missouri was in Ohio at 12z. It’s odd it’s actually not the same time frame we’ve been tracking for round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Significant shift north on eps 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 9 minutes ago, Heisy said: It’s odd it’s actually not the same time frame we’ve been tracking for round 2 . It’s unlikely the timing and amplitude if all the waves gets resolved at range. To noisy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 One thing the GFS and Euro agree on is that the high temp around Baltimore on Tuesday will be 12/13 degrees, and that we drop below 20 Monday morning and don't climb back to 20 until Thursday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 47 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Good to finally have this nailed down. Roulette wheel continues. See you at 0z 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChillinIt Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Well the usually off the coast NAVGEM just moved way NW for Sunday eve... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 hour ago, Solution Man said: That is some straight up BS right there WTF This right here had me bust out laughing in front of my wife. Wtf kind of output is this BS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 16 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: This right here had me bust out laughing in front of my wife. Wtf kind of output is this BS? Funny I said the same thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Significant shift north on eps So, if you go back to older runs the second potential event we were tracking is at 180 hrs+. That 18z euro changed things up dramatically with strengthening that wave. I mean maybe that happens. I was more inclined to hope for more energy to be dumped out west and have the N stream come down and phase with it. I’m not in love with the spacing with that shortwave at 144 hours, but who knows?!Like Psu said this pattern may be tough for models to gauge. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 18z AI lost ALL qpf other than Sunday, which was a little lighter. Artificial intelligence my arse! https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501160000 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 I’m going to sleep, I want to see at least 200 new posts when I wake up. 2 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 lol couldn't have seen this coming 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 18z AI lost ALL qpf other than Sunday, which was a little lighter. Artificial intelligence my arse!https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151800&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501160000The change was the wave dropping down from the northern steam, it got stuck out west. Seems a lot of waves keep doing that lately lol… Going to bed myself too, i want 500 posts . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Just listened to JB and he had it all for today's missive. 2-4", locally 3-6" this weekend....JFK...Reagan...the 1899 storm...some 1840s inauguration reference...I lost track after that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’m going to sleep, I want to see at least 200 new posts when I wake up. lol my kids are still awake (they literally just went to bed) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 51 minutes ago, IronTy said: Just listened to JB and he had it all for today's missive. 2-4", locally 3-6" this weekend....JFK...Reagan...the 1899 storm...some 1840s inauguration reference...I lost track after that. I'm willing to bet the 1840s inauguration reference was about Mr. "I don't believe in overcoats" President William Henry Harrison making that speech in a chilly rain and croaking a month later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: I'm willing to bet the 1840s inauguration reference was about Mr. "I don't believe in overcoats" President William Henry Harrison making that speech in a chilly rain and croaking a month later... It’s now thought it was actually the water supply getting contaminated by sewage and he died of a bacterial infection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: lol couldn't have seen this coming This is the first year in the last 9 where we've actually gotten POSITIVE can-kicks! It's very refreshing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
32º Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 hours ago, LeesburgWx said: This right here had me bust out laughing in front of my wife. Wtf kind of output is this BS? Know that the ECMWF showed a similar result two days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Couldn’t sleep…End of the icon was going places…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 13 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: It’s now thought it was actually the water supply getting contaminated by sewage and he died of a bacterial infection. Oh fr? You don't say...I had never heard that! But it makes sense (also didn't realize he was already kinda old when he was elected). History lesson for today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Clown Model is running... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 CMC looks like it wants to hammer us… but not confident enough to 100% call it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 The GFS, while it looks primed to give us plenty of snow, is a weird-ass solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 GFS is later week and it looks like it may amplify too early. Lets see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: CMC looks like it wants to hammer us… but not confident enough to 100% call it. Ugh.. don’t think it’s gonna make it north enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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