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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?


mappy
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Just looking at the way the whole pattern evolves looping the h5 across guidance I think the second wave next week (the one the gfs is keying on) has the best chance to ride the coast north, but the first wave have the bigger upside in terms of snowfall for 95 (colder antecedent airmass). But fun times. The Sunday teaser is totally dependent on where the boundary sets up exactly and the track of that vort. It’s a narrow win zone so that won’t be nailed down either until the final 48-72 hours. 

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  On 1/15/2025 at 5:19 PM, psuhoffman said:

Just looking at the way the whole pattern evolves looping the h5 across guidance I think the second wave next week (the one the gfs is keying on) has the best chance to ride the coast north, but the first wave have the bigger upside in terms of snowfall for 95 (colder antecedent airmass). But fun times. The Sunday teaser is totally dependent on where the boundary sets up exactly and the track of that vort. It’s a narrow win zone so that won’t be nailed down either until the final 48-72 hours. 

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Seems to me that, if the Sunday thing turns out, then that affects the ability of the next wave to turn the corner. Either way, we have quite a few shots coming up, which is pretty much all we can ask for!

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