Weather Will Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 7 minutes ago, Ji said: Your date range is too early. You need a map from 36 hours later. 12z eps was robust Looks like the latest GFS guidance is holding back the energy for a late week run next week. Wintry icy mix mess.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Gfs like euro now delaying the storm to when it could be warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Yup....no clear trends yet on storms next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Yup....no clear trends yet on storms next week. Not even really any clear trneds for Sunday's event. GFS and ICON at 6z were a skunk while GEM, Euro, ICON, UK all gave a decent event at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Overall WB 0Z EPS shows cold and dry next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Yup....no clear trends yet on storms next week. Went from, clear and 25 degrees for the high Wednesday, to Rain and 42, in 1 run. They’re all over the place I think. They aren’t handling the cold push correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 WB 0Z EPS looks wetter last week of January and still below normal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Gotta focus on alleged storm 1 this Sunday first. I trust the storm that gives us the most snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6z gfs 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6z Icon essentially lost Sunday except for lt snow in central VA as opposed to the 3-5" on 0z. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6z Euro is stuck at 39hrs. Anybody past that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 EuroAI same on Sunday with between .2-.3" of qpf. Next week is a moderate hit with more qpf south and east. It actually has a follow-up storm a day or 2 later with very light qpf. What a variety of solutions. Lol 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The 6z GFS is a lot of fail. 6 degrees and then a rainer a few days later as it cuts. Reminds me of the Jan 2022 storm where it was Snow 2 inches, then rain and 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6z Euro moving again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I should have added, 6z Eps kept moving and looked almost identical to 0z, so odds are operational will be close to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Does the model inconsistency have anything to do with the serious cold air in place, or cold air coming? Just asking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 10 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: The 6z GFS is a lot of fail. 6 degrees and then a rainer a few days later as it cuts. Reminds me of the Jan 2022 storm where it was Snow 2 inches, then rain and 60. I wouldn’t get too worked up about the GFS. It’s been pretty inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Tuesday looks pleasant on the euro. Shirtless run after work? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, snowfan said: 6z gfs 979 right over our heads. I'll take the under. What a trash model it has become. I don't even look at it anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 21 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: The 6z GFS is a lot of fail. 6 degrees and then a rainer a few days later as it cuts. Reminds me of the Jan 2022 storm where it was Snow 2 inches, then rain and 60. Not for everyone its not. Inland runners are of course going to rain on you. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: 979 right over our heads. I'll take the under. What a trash model it has become. I don't even look at it anymore. Well, if you look at tracks of low pressure systems over the past say eight years during the winter months, there has been many inland trackers, coastal huggers and our favorite, "the cutter ". Not sure why this is, blocking, Atlantic ocean SSTs, etc. Have not seen many benchmark storms. Maybe others could chime in as to the reason. But yes, the GFS is lost totally. Sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6z GEFS for late next week 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6z GEFS for late next week 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 35 minutes ago, snowfan said: Tuesday looks pleasant on the euro. Shirtless run after work? It's like two days below normal before the 40's return. Not impressed lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I’m focused on the threat at d4.5 to try and get 3-5” Sunday. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Etta Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 4 hours ago, wdrag said: Good morning mid-Atlantic, Can someone alert me (or post a reply) if anyone there has been looking at Inauguration Day weather in of course DC. In particular I'm looking for information regarding this possibly being the worst wintry Inauguration Day since 1961 (Kennedy Inaugural storm). Seems to me--(my guess only) looks like Noon temps mid 20s with wind, a colder wind chill 10-15 and inch or 2 of snow still left on the ground? If that were true, did anyone review all the inauguration days for wintry conditions? Rain doesn't bother me for my information. Snow on the ground and temps below freezing are my interest. I see nothing in the headlines from LWX, but it might be buried somewhere--I just haven't taken the time to check. Thank you, Walt The Capital Weather Gang did a whole article on historical Inauguration weather yesterday. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2025/01/14/inauguration-day-forecast-dc-weather-cold-wind/ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Halfway through this winter and it is firmly out of ratter territory, after many of us expected a ratter. I’m happy with the way things ate going. And no we’re not going to get a MECS every other week. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I’m focused on the threat at d4.5 to try and get 3-5” Sunday. Same. There doesn't even seem to be any real consensus for Sunday, so thinking about something beyond that seems like chasing ghosts. And the Euro last night looked great for Sunday. Step back this morning, obviously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Halfway through this winter and it is firmly out of ratter territory, after many of us expected a ratter. I’m happy with the way things ate going. And no we’re not going to get a MECS every other week. Nah, we are going to get two per week! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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