January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?

[Deck Pic]

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Sunday WB 0Z EURO: updated with 24 hour map.

 

Noice.  Here is 0 to 105.   I dont know about Saturday.  PSU hoffman gets a fat inch.  could happen

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

Bad run....good night....

Wait how far ahead are you? Lol

[Deck Pic]

3 minutes ago, jon_snow said:

Hey guys, what are we looking at here? Is this a 1-2 punch on Sunday and then again Wednesday? I have a flight to Mexico on Thurs, wondering if that's in jeopardy.

I dont know.  But I hope so.

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Bad run....good night....WB 0Z EURO compared to 12Z.

Like I said...I  still hate the Euro.

[Deck Pic]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Wait how far ahead are you? Lol

The precip/snow maps have been running way ahead of some of the others.  So you can kind of see if the run sucks

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Deck Pic said:

The precip/snow maps have been running way ahead of some of the others.  So you can kind of see if the run sucks

This run makes no sense considering both the Ukie and Gem. Plenty of time to break more hearts. Focus on Sunday because whatever happens then will have an effect on next week.

[stormtracker]

Luckily we got like 28 more runs to go for the models.   I'm going to be happy and focused on Sunday!  Go Euro

[Deck Pic]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

This run makes no sense considering both the Ukie and Gem. Plenty of time to break more hearts. Focus on Sunday because whatever happens then will have an effect on next week.

Of course,  The day 8 storm is in fantasy land.  Any solution is possible.

We're now getting striped with like 0.35" during the day on Sunday for like 7-8 hours.  This looked like complete ass a couple days ago.  We take.  Leave the HECS chasing for when there is nothing modeled

[jon_snow]

Did we just go from historic to nothingburger in 1 run? Euro brutal

[feloniousq]

3 minutes ago, jon_snow said:

Did we just go from historic to nothingburger in 1 run? Euro brutal

Yes, because you were worried about your flight to Mexico 

[Deck Pic]

9 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

Of course,  The day 8 storm is in fantasy land.  Any solution is possible.

We're now getting striped with like 0.35" during the day on Sunday for like 7-8 hours.  This looked like complete ass a couple days ago.  We take.  Leave the HECS chasing for when there is nothing modeled

if it's 13-14 redux we get 3-6" from this.  We basically maxxed almost every oppty including anafrontal

DC might start a little mixy or have trouble sticking, but shouldnt last too long. killer cold. 

 

[yohan]

1 hour ago, bncho said:

@Jiis this "satisfactory"????

so far out, does this really verfiy

[yohan]

its literally insane of what we are monitoring on East coast daily compared to mainly southern Cali in what they are experiencing every day

[TowsonWeather]

You can tell who's new around here by how shocked they are that a phasing storm this far away disappears on the models from one run to the next.

[Jebman]

2 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Ya know, I still don't get enough credit and props for naming the Euro Doctor No.   Can I claim royalties from my own board?

How much you need?

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EPS this am compared to yesterday for the 22nd.

[32º]

1 hour ago, TowsonWeather said:

You can tell who's new around here by how shocked they are that a phasing storm this far away disappears on the models from one run to the next.

I am counting on the ECMWF ice on the 25th to disappear.

[wdrag]

Good morning mid-Atlantic,

Can someone alert me (or post a reply)  if anyone there has been looking at Inauguration Day weather in of course DC.  In particular I'm looking for information regarding this possibly being the worst wintry Inauguration Day since 1961 (Kennedy Inaugural storm).  Seems to me--(my guess only) looks like Noon temps mid 20s with wind, a colder wind chill 10-15 and inch or 2 of snow still left on the ground?  If that were true,  did anyone review all the inauguration days for wintry conditions?  Rain doesn't bother me for my information.  Snow on the ground and temps below freezing are my interest. I see nothing in the headlines from LWX, but it might be buried somewhere--I just haven't taken the time to check.  Thank you,  Walt

[Ji]

WB 0Z EPS this am compared to yesterday for the 22nd.

This is silly. Why not compare it to the most recent runs. 00z and 12z

[Weather Will]

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

This is silly. Why not compare it to the most recent runs. 00z and 12z

WB 12Z EPS

[Ji]

WB 12Z EPS

Your date range is too early. You need a map from 36 hours later. 12z eps was robust

[Another Field]

1 hour ago, wdrag said:

Good morning mid-Atlantic,

Can someone alert me (or post a reply)  if anyone there has been looking at Inauguration Day weather in of course DC.  In particular I'm looking for information regarding this possibly being the worst wintry Inauguration Day since 1961 (Kennedy Inaugural storm).  Seems to me--(my guess only) looks like Noon temps mid 20s with wind, a colder wind chill 10-15 and inch or 2 of snow still left on the ground?  If that were true,  did anyone review all the inauguration days for wintry conditions?  Rain doesn't bother me for my information.  Snow on the ground and temps below freezing are my interest. I see nothing in the headlines from LWX, but it might be buried somewhere--I just haven't taken the time to check.  Thank you,  Walt

President Ronald Reagan’s second inauguration on January 21, 1985, was super cold. The morning low was -4°F and by noon, it had risen to only 7°F. Wind chill values during the afternoon ranged from -10°F to -20°F. Due to this, the public swearing-in ceremony was moved indoors to the Capitol Rotunda, and the inaugural parade was canceled.

Barack Obama’s first inauguration on January 20, 2009, was also fairly cold. Daytime high around 30°F, morning low of 19°F and 28°F at noon during the oath. Wind at 13 mph gusting 23.  IIRC There was no snow on Inauguration Day itself, though some had fallen in the days prior and was cleared. .

[Weather Will]

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

Your date range is too early. You need a map from 36 hours later. 12z eps was robust

Looks like the latest GFS guidance is holding back the energy for a late week run next week.  Wintry icy mix mess....

[Ji]

Gfs like euro now delaying the storm to when it could be warmer

[Weather Will]

Yup....no clear trends yet on storms next week.

[DDweatherman]

3 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Yup....no clear trends yet on storms next week.

Not even really any clear trneds for Sunday's event. GFS and ICON at 6z were a skunk while GEM, Euro, ICON, UK all gave a decent event at 0z. 

[Weather Will]

Overall WB 0Z EPS shows cold and dry next week.  

[Siberian-Snowcover-Myth]

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Yup....no clear trends yet on storms next week.

Went from, clear and 25 degrees for the high Wednesday, to Rain and 42, in 1 run. They’re all over the place I think. They aren’t handling the cold push correctly. 

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EPS looks wetter last week of January and still below normal temps.

[Solution Man]

Gotta focus on alleged storm 1 this Sunday first. I trust the storm that gives us the most snow.