Ralph Wiggum Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 50 minutes ago, Ji said: starting to worry(thanks to Mitchnik)...that year is 13-14 without the snow My thought is even if it turns out bitter cold but dry (which I don't think happens), when things eventually relax someone cashes in big-time. Probably NE as always but if things are displaced way South with the PV and cold push, we can dream and assume the payback event(s) are ticketed for our subs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Some That is a HUGE jump from 0z 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, psuhoffman said: That is a HUGE jump from 0z Yep, double the amount, very significant run to run output. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That is a HUGE jump from 0z it is man.....lets go 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 26 minutes ago, IronTy said: That gives me pause, I'll believe 17F and heavy snow in SoMD when I see it. There is your temp contrast holy smokes!!! Talk about dynamite available. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 32 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: And the euro had those exact adjustments... that NS SW is digging down into the Dakotas and it has a bit more SER and BOOM Looks the the Scandy ridge also works to nudge our developing NAO which in turn help (in tandem with the PNA/EPO ridge) to drive the s/w souther and into the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 13 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said: What is the most likely outcome this far out? Sunny and 35 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Sunny and 35 Drink your milk Ralphie 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 30 minutes ago, IronTy said: That gives me pause, I'll believe 17F and heavy snow in SoMD when I see it. That’s some prime IronTy tent camping weather!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 52 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: This is awesome. I love being in the bullseye nine days out! 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Drink your milk Ralphie Thanks, but I'll stick to Ovaltine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 51 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Talk about cold smoke. 12 while snowing I’m not sure when but to my memory the coldest I can remember around me where we got more than 3” was 15F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I’m not sure when but to my memory the coldest I can remember around me where we got more than 3” was 15F PD2 had a period of snow after the initial part where it was dumping and about 13-15 degrees if I remember right? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Thanks, but I'll stick to Ovaltine. A crummy commercial? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 8 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I’m not sure when but to my memory the coldest I can remember around me where we got more than 3” was 15F Think here Presidents Day 2003? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I said this is a good snow pattern We should get some snow out of this. Whether it’s “FOLKS” worthy or not is up to some timing/phasing luck and positioning of the thermal gradient in the right spot. GFS was pretty damn close as @psuhoffmanmentioned. ECMWF was on the money. Should be a fun 7-10 days of tracking once again. Winter is still rolling along. We still have February to go too. 17 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Kevin Reilly said: Think here Presidents Day 2003? You are 2nd to identify that and 20-25 yesrs ago seems the right length of time to my memory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 54 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: BTW, the euro doesn't fully phase, it splits the energy and still pulls that off, that was not even the max solutions...it left a little meat on the bone believe it or not. BUT looking further out...look what the op euro just did in the long range also...its starting to show up on more and more guidance. There is a LOT of uncertainty where we are heading after next week. I’ve been waiting for the Euro to bring back the promised blizzard for next week. Hopefully we can hold it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, Scraff said: Damn it Euro! Thanks. FOLKS for everyone. FUCKS for me! Stupid Caribbean cruise. ETA: The 28th? I’m in for that!. Pardon my French above. Supposed to leave for my cruise on the 31st! Dulles got to do some work ... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 19 minutes ago, mattie g said: This is awesome. I love being in the bullseye nine days out! It's a lock dude. Celebrate. for the next 6 hours 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 28 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: That’s some prime IronTy tent camping weather!! And in my own backyard! If we got a 20F blizzard there would certainly be more than one type of tent pitched that day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 15 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: PD2 had a period of snow after the initial part where it was dumping and about 13-15 degrees if I remember right? Almost the entire storm was in the teens. Low teens for a long time. That huge High settled Saturday afternoon after the initial burst of snow pushed south. Temps dropped the entire day. By the time the heavy snow started in the very early a.m. of Sunday temps were in the teens then fell several more degrees. Some northern areas got down to 9 or 10 I believe. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's a lock dude. Celebrate. for the next 6 hours For about 10 hours. Cheer up Mattie! At least its in the 5 day threat period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 The Euro has over a foot in Vicksburg, MS. Would be historic for the Gulf coast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Nbd at this point, but EuroAI pushes 24th off the coast to our south. Sunday still on course. Looks wetter too. Having trouble pulling up Sunday temps so I can't comment on them yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, Shad said: low 20s and sleet.....that would be painful! 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: The euro shows sleet in the northern neck Someone always taints. Busy day today. But the Euro looks amazing. I would be happy just with the light event on Sunday with the fireplace rolling and divisional playoff games on the tube. Solid winter imo. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Also no one mentioned it but the Euro was lining us up again in the long range at the end of the month imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 12 minutes ago, HighStakes said: Almost the entire storm was in the teens. Low teens for a long time. That huge High settled Saturday afternoon after the initial burst of snow pushed south. Temps dropped the entire day. By the time the heavy snow started in the very early a.m. of Sunday temps were in the teens then fell several more degrees. Some northern areas got down to 9 or 10 I believe. Yep! We had very heavy snow with a foot on the ground at 11 degrees. In PD1 in Calvert, the first few inches fell with temps in single digits and was still in low teens as the blizzard got cranking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Yep! We had very heavy snow with a foot on the ground at 11 degrees. In PD1 in Calvert, the first few inches fell with temps in single digits and was still in low teens as the blizzard got cranking. If memory serves, BWI bottomed out at 5 degrees on the Sunday morning PD1 hit. Great memory there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 18 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nbd at this point, but EuroAI pushes 24th off the coast to our south. Sunday still on course. Looks wetter too. Having trouble pulling up Sunday temps so I can't comment on them yet. Has anyone been tracking the EURO AI performance versus the regular model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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