SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 ICON 500mb panel at 120 is pretty sweet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: ICON 500mb panel at 120 is pretty sweet. Looks like it's gonna a deliver a little something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, stormtracker said: Looks like it's gonna a deliver a little something It does. Nothing crazy...but it's....something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2" mofos! 4 up to the MD border 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 2" mofos! 4 up to the MD border It's a nice light event and it would be great to score our 3rd accumulating event of the winter before the Siberian express. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 2" mofos! 4 up to the MD border Corrections have begun and the steps forward going forward,,, classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 2" mofos! 4 up to the MD border WxBell map 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Not one change on the GFS so far. Almost exact copy. But it's early. 60hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 56 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Looking way out, I continue to see signs the pattern is not progressing to the typical Nina Feb hellscape I expected. Actually...if the 3 features I marked here are correct...that trough will end up more southeast than it is on guidance right now. Love your posts since you add insight and reasoning. Can you elaborate on the above? I think the -EPO will be fighting the SE and western Atlantic Ridge in this setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GFS hates us. Nothing like the ICON..some paltry shit just to our south. A little something good for Cape I think? More over the northern neck..and I mean like 1-3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GFS has the bowling ball back off SOCAL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Got some differences out west. Little bowling ball over Baja California (wasn't there at 6z) with some energy dropping down...might phase into it..or squash it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Well, it's wildly different out west. Little bowling ball getting smashed and out in front of this new shit out west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Interesting...bunch of moisture (light) over all of Tx, most of OK and CO and most of the south that wasn't there at 6z. Just light stuff tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 looks like it's prob gonna wash out. I dunno wtf I'm looking at or doing here, so imma shut up until i see something good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 lol, i said i was gonna shut up, but congrats on your ice storm New Orleans and south AL and GA. ATL snowstorm! SC getting da business (for their criteria). This is funny. And painful. Where yall at? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GGEM still different, but looks like a modest hit early Monday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: GGEM still different, but looks like a modest hit early Monday Yup..gets a little action to us. Nickle and dime-ing all the way baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GGEM still different, but looks like a modest hit early Monday 1" for me...more to the NW...like 2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, Interstate said: Hey... you know some people on here go out to the .0001 place when measuring snow. That's good for an additional 2-4" if we use Kuchera ratios generously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 GFS is gonna smoke southern-central VA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Looking way out, I continue to see signs the pattern is not progressing to the typical Nina Feb hellscape I expected. Actually...if the 3 features I marked here are correct...that trough will end up more southeast than it is on guidance right now. First time I’ve seen blue all season up in the cold spot region. If that holds, 7/8 days later out dominant cold would end 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 13 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup..gets a little action to us. Nickle and dime-ing all the way baby Where's our dollar coin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: GGEM still different, but looks like a modest hit early Monday Wonder why. Big change for 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 36 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Love your posts since you add insight and reasoning. Can you elaborate on the above? I think the -EPO will be fighting the SE and western Atlantic Ridge in this setup Thanks. If you look at the plot I posted, those features all dump a LOT of cold into the went central US, and will exert pressure trying to press the trough east. The trough near Hawaii pushes the WPO EPO ridge poleward and east slightly, this mitigates the risk of something cutting off into the southwest typically. The ridge over the top combined with the TPV displaced south where it is dumps a ton of arctic air into western Canada and then the US and its going to press. I think the SER there is overdone. The big difference between that plot and when we had a horrible SER are the troughing in the pacific under the northern latitude ridge, and the -AO over the top. Those 2 features change the equation a lot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Y’all out here wish for more weekend snow…..you’re fellow snow removal contractors would love to spend time with family at least one weekend this month. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Wonder why. Big change for 12 hours. Didn't the GFS kind of score the coup on this progression for quite a few runs? It's being its typical dumbass self right now, but Euro, GGEM, and ICON all bring this energy out and don't hold back in the SW like they did. GFS showed this first IIRC? Note: I may be wrong, haven't been tracking for the last several days outside of a cursory peek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 14 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: First time I’ve seen blue all season up in the cold spot region. If that holds, 7/8 days later out dominant cold would end Uh oh, JB would be exonerated. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Didn't the GFS kind of score the coup on this progression for quite a few runs? It's being its typical dumbass self right now, but Euro, GGEM, and ICON all bring this energy out and don't hold back in the SW like they did. GFS showed this first IIRC? Note: I may be wrong, haven't been tracking for the last several days outside of a cursory peek. It often shows something first, because it jumps all over the place run to run, but how is that useful since you don't know which solutions it spits out are right and wich are the crazy tangents. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Didn't the GFS kind of score the coup on this progression for quite a few runs? It's being its typical dumbass self right now, but Euro, GGEM, and ICON all bring this energy out and don't hold back in the SW like they did. GFS showed this first IIRC? Note: I may be wrong, haven't been tracking for the last several days outside of a cursory peek. I think you're right, or mostly right, without digging into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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