MDScienceTeacher Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 10:31 AM, MDScienceTeacher said: Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it Expand 0z EPS looks a little more supportive of a storm existing in this time frame on the coast than 12z EPS did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 10:31 AM, MDScienceTeacher said: Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it Expand Was about go Jaws and then the next few frames it just gets shredded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 10:41 AM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: 0z EPS looks a little more supportive of this time frame than 12z EPS did. Expand I cant really tell the difference btw the 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 10:47 AM, MDScienceTeacher said: I cant really tell the difference btw the 2. Expand I was looking at the 24 hour precip maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 10:45 AM, osfan24 said: Was about go Jaws and then the next few frames it just gets shredded. Expand I am not sure if the upper air pattern at that time frame really supports that outcome. It definitely does not look like the last couple of weeks where we had a raging 50-50 low, eating away at storms as they approach our region. To my untrained eye the jet stream looks more sw to ne in its configuration over our region, which I would think would support a coastal low. Then again I am not the expert on these 500 MB Maps.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 10:31 AM, MDScienceTeacher said: Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it Expand So close to being a monster storm for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Euro with the snow delivery NW of 95. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 11:37 AM, TSSN+ said: Euro with the snow delivery NW of 95. Expand That’s pretty good, I like seeing a more robust system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Gfs looks like an improvement. It gives us a little snow this weekend. It now fringes the area with the historic southern blizzard. Looks better for the lowlands atm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 11:39 AM, dailylurker said: Gfs looks like an improvement. It gives us a little snow this weekend. It now fringes the area with the historic southern blizzard. Looks better for the lowlands atm. Expand Not much interest on the GEFS for Sunday-Monday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 11:55 AM, CAPE said: Not much interest on the GEFS for Sunday-Monday. Expand The main player over the next 10 days honestly looks like the drought. I'm glad I got what I got when I got it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 11:55 AM, CAPE said: Not much interest on the GEFS for Sunday-Monday. Expand I’d rather take no snow than what the Euro shows now verbatim. 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:06 PM, mitchnick said: Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. Expand Whats the surprise, the analogs indicated this days ago. Most snowfall the next 15 days in VA. and below. Wasted cold for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:06 PM, mitchnick said: Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. Expand Too much of a good thing. We are the new New England minus the horrid accents. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:06 PM, mitchnick said: Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. Expand That’s still 8 days away………….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:11 PM, frd said: Whats the surprise, the analogs indicated this days ago. Most snowfall the next 15 days in VA. and below. Wasted cold for our area. Expand Not surprised, incredible and depressing. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:14 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: That’s still 8 days away………….. Expand You're right. Plenty of time to get historic for them. Lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Lol, the models still can’t agree on the potential Sunday night into Monday possibility, but some of you guys are depressed about what might happen after the undecided prior period? On to 12z… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:02 PM, stormtracker said: I’d rather take no snow than what the Euro shows now verbatim. Expand There are some differences in the advertised longwave pattern between the globals. Euro digs the trough more than the GFS and delays the eastward progress of the thermal boundary a bit. Shortwave energy and associated surface low track is further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:02 PM, stormtracker said: I’d rather take no snow than what the Euro shows now verbatim. Expand Warm rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 12:19 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, the models still can’t agree on the potential Sunday night into Monday possibility, but some of you guys are depressed about what might happen after the undecided prior period? On to 12z… Expand You are right, but the kind of agreement between operational models and ensembles is not typical and is normally only seen in slam dunks. For example, 2/6/10 and 1/16 were seen around a week out and held strong until game time with little waffling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 11:37 AM, TSSN+ said: Euro with the snow delivery NW of 95. Expand A little more to come after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Looks like EuroAI I just worked up my nerve to look at (lol) actually looks to bring a northern stream lobe down and pulls up some precip from the system next week. That's a new twist. Interestingly, the southern storm is rain and not snow. Hmmm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 So we got gfs a lil too far south and euro a lil too far NW for the cities.. im thinkin middle if the road lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 From NE subforum https://x.com/meteomark/status/1879062270723977690?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 1:09 PM, mitchnick said: From NE subforum https://x.com/meteomark/status/1879062270723977690?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-TxgMargarbage!!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 On 1/14/2025 at 6:12 AM, mitchnick said: Yep. We need a proverbial reshuffle, but it probably wouldn't make a difference with the Niña. Winter has spoken and dry is the word. This month is looking a lot like 1/77, but not quite as cold...not yet at least. Expand Depends on your location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Unlike the last storm, there is nothing to prevent it from trending NW as psu alluded to the other day. hardly any blocking over greenland, s/w energy hanging back west. That PV is pressing south, but one tiny shift the other way, the track is coming north. And you want a proverbial reshuffle? Careful now… you might get a SE ridge with that. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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