mitchnick Posted yesterday at 06:03 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:03 AM 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Everything is suppressed ...and everyone is depressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 06:07 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:07 AM ...and everyone is depressed. We need to beef up Sunday like 18z gfs. We suck at snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 06:12 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:12 AM 2 minutes ago, Ji said: We need to beef up Sunday like 18z gfs. We suck at snow Yep. We need a proverbial reshuffle, but it probably wouldn't make a difference with the Niña. Winter has spoken and dry is the word. This month is looking a lot like 1/77, but not quite as cold...not yet at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 06:14 AM Share Posted yesterday at 06:14 AM Just looked at the Gefs snowfall, and thru 330hrs, big step back from 12z and prior runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted yesterday at 09:19 AM Share Posted yesterday at 09:19 AM Next week folks. Need to keep a serious eye on models, and stay frosty. We could even see some frozen right down here in Buda TX. You all REALLY need to keep a serious weather eye on the models next 8 days. Remember, the Jebman called it. Remember that as you clamber out of your windows to get out the damn house come Jan 22 or so. THIS COULD BE VERY BAD. Or GOOD, depending on your point of view, lol. Carry on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted yesterday at 10:12 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:12 AM The GFS brought snow back for Sunday into Monday. Little further south, but at least it still had the same idea as the 18Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted yesterday at 10:31 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:31 AM Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted yesterday at 10:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:41 AM 12 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it 0z EPS looks a little more supportive of a storm existing in this time frame on the coast than 12z EPS did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted yesterday at 10:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:45 AM 13 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it Was about go Jaws and then the next few frames it just gets shredded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted yesterday at 10:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:47 AM 1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: 0z EPS looks a little more supportive of this time frame than 12z EPS did. I cant really tell the difference btw the 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted yesterday at 10:48 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:48 AM Just now, MDScienceTeacher said: I cant really tell the difference btw the 2. I was looking at the 24 hour precip maps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted yesterday at 10:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:59 AM 13 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Was about go Jaws and then the next few frames it just gets shredded. I am not sure if the upper air pattern at that time frame really supports that outcome. It definitely does not look like the last couple of weeks where we had a raging 50-50 low, eating away at storms as they approach our region. To my untrained eye the jet stream looks more sw to ne in its configuration over our region, which I would think would support a coastal low. Then again I am not the expert on these 500 MB Maps.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted yesterday at 11:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:18 AM 46 minutes ago, MDScienceTeacher said: Big storm for the 22nd incoming.. again a little south at this timeframe, but I will take it So close to being a monster storm for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Euro with the snow delivery NW of 95. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Just now, TSSN+ said: Euro with the snow delivery NW of 95. That’s pretty good, I like seeing a more robust system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Gfs looks like an improvement. It gives us a little snow this weekend. It now fringes the area with the historic southern blizzard. Looks better for the lowlands atm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 13 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Gfs looks like an improvement. It gives us a little snow this weekend. It now fringes the area with the historic southern blizzard. Looks better for the lowlands atm. Not much interest on the GEFS for Sunday-Monday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not much interest on the GEFS for Sunday-Monday. The main player over the next 10 days honestly looks like the drought. I'm glad I got what I got when I got it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not much interest on the GEFS for Sunday-Monday. I’d rather take no snow than what the Euro shows now verbatim. 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. Whats the surprise, the analogs indicated this days ago. Most snowfall the next 15 days in VA. and below. Wasted cold for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. Too much of a good thing. We are the new New England minus the horrid accents. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Incredible/depressing how all ensembles are jumping all over a SE major snowstorm. That’s still 8 days away………….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 4 minutes ago, frd said: Whats the surprise, the analogs indicated this days ago. Most snowfall the next 15 days in VA. and below. Wasted cold for our area. Not surprised, incredible and depressing. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: That’s still 8 days away………….. You're right. Plenty of time to get historic for them. Lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Lol, the models still can’t agree on the potential Sunday night into Monday possibility, but some of you guys are depressed about what might happen after the undecided prior period? On to 12z… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 47 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I’d rather take no snow than what the Euro shows now verbatim. There are some differences in the advertised longwave pattern between the globals. Euro digs the trough more than the GFS and delays the eastward progress of the thermal boundary a bit. Shortwave energy and associated surface low track is further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 21 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I’d rather take no snow than what the Euro shows now verbatim. Warm rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, the models still can’t agree on the potential Sunday night into Monday possibility, but some of you guys are depressed about what might happen after the undecided prior period? On to 12z… You are right, but the kind of agreement between operational models and ensembles is not typical and is normally only seen in slam dunks. For example, 2/6/10 and 1/16 were seen around a week out and held strong until game time with little waffling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 hour ago, TSSN+ said: Euro with the snow delivery NW of 95. A little more to come after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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