stormy Posted Monday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:48 PM I'm slightly interested. 2 identical runs are impressive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Monday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:52 PM 3 minutes ago, stormy said: I'm slightly interested. 2 identical runs are impressive. Oh my, we even have Stormy on board now. All systems go, start the bus! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:59 PM 15 minutes ago, IronTy said: I think he already did that a couple weeks ago. Maybe Reagan, can't remember for sure. He always would bring up that storm. It dropped like 8-10" in the DCA/BWI area and then had highs in the teens. Actually, for the first time, it may not be such a bad analogy tempwise but just a touch short on snow..or maybe not. We'll see. Reagan's inauguration was cold, but no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted Monday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:07 PM 36 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I got a very special message for you. Just keep your control freak shit up. . Your what does the 360 hour gfs say in 8 paragraphs is not the only conversation in here and far far from the best Gotta say….the control freak part is on point, but nothing will change. This has been allowed to happen for a few years now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:17 PM So much banter. Makes it hard to just read the actual January Medium/Long Range -maybe we should have a banter thread? Oh wait.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 06:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:18 PM Now THAT'S my idea of overrunning! Oh, how I wish. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025011318&fh=384&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=prateptype_cat-imp&m=gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Monday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:19 PM Guys, let’s get back on track. How much for Short Pump? 2 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Monday at 06:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:22 PM 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Guys, let’s get back on track. How much for Short Pump? Yeah, we need to get back to basics. So any Mets want to tell me how much for my backyard? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Monday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:27 PM We need a @stormtracker 18z euro PBP to calm the masses. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted Monday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:44 PM At 18z there GFS sped the wave up and the Euro slowed it down, GFS is likely wrong as usual . 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 06:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:51 PM 5 minutes ago, Heisy said: At 18z there GFS sped the wave up and the Euro slowed it down, GFS is likely wrong as usual . Result better with Euro or too early to know? Pivotal is slower that WB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:00 PM Heights lower on the east coast at the end of this run of the Euro means slp could be further south if model continued. Just speculation at this point. Next run could be different, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:02 PM Comparing 18z Euro 144hrs to 12z 150hrs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Monday at 07:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:04 PM Comparing 18z Euro 144hrs to 12z 150hrs.No snow on euro through 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 07:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:09 PM 1 minute ago, Ji said: No snow on euro through 144 Yeah, but there was no snow on the 12z Euro at 150hrs either, but ready to pop. You can see as Heisey posted the vort hangs back some. Being in the bullseye of sorts at this range is down right uncomfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Monday at 07:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:11 PM 9 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Comparing 18z Euro 144hrs to 12z 150hrs. Much better. Less avocado and slower s/w 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 07:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:14 PM 46 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: We need a @stormtracker 18z euro PBP to calm the masses. Was at the gym and grocery store. Seems like we didn't miss much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:15 PM It would be hilarious if the CMC led the way. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 07:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:17 PM Just now, stormtracker said: It would be hilarious if the CMC led the way. As long as the end result was what it showed on the 12z run, leed the way CMC. It's all yours baby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 07:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:21 PM I hate seeing anything different on subsequent runs after a good one because you never know where it will take you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:31 PM For everyone else who's paranoid, Eps 6hr precip 144hrs on 18z vs 12z at 150hrs. Pretty close really. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted Monday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:15 PM Technical question (I may be saying this wrong) What's the millibar numbers for say Mid-Atlantic Superstorms, the real snow busters? I see meteorologists mention systems by millibars/pressure a lot. And when do signals on monster storms generally reach agreement (time window)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Monday at 08:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:28 PM maybe you need to take a break then dude. Stop acting like my 3 yr old.We need to watch how we talk to our elders 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted Monday at 08:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:36 PM Wait, Joe Bartlo procreated? Say it ain't so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted Monday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:47 PM 10 minutes ago, LongRanger said: Wait, Joe Bartlo procreated? Say it ain't so! That’s a blast from the past. Sadly. Joe passed in 2007 at the age of 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 09:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:33 PM 2 hours ago, mitchnick said: I hate seeing anything different on subsequent runs after a good one because you never know where it will take you. GFS gonna break your heart. I'll be here for you. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted Monday at 09:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:48 PM Ya'll are hoping for that GFS weak overrunning solution when the real money is closer to the 18Z Euro that hangs most of the energy back in the base of the longwave and is thus available for a Gulf low rather than a weak slider that comes out in pieces. We've got some real cold air to work with this time, so stop worrying about the thermals. 9 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted Monday at 09:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:53 PM 54 minutes ago, LongRanger said: Wait, Joe Bartlo procreated? Say it ain't so! The very fun NE.Weather Snow Forecasting Contest makes direct reference to Joe Bartlo under the section “Who Can Enter” and includes some of his humorous postings (will sound non-sensical if u weren’t there) and ravings complete with his typos from back in the old bulletin board days of ne.weather where everyone fought with posts about who was right or wrong. Inside jokes in this section; “you had to be there” with Bartlo’s posts. Bartlo was a trip. The forecasting contest grew out of frustration with having to deal with newsgroup personalities like Bartlo who tried to hijack and ruin weather forecasting discussions. Not much monitoring back then in late ‘90s. The Contest jokingly honored him after he passed away. http://www.newx-forecasts.com And now, we return to our 21st century regular programming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 09:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:59 PM 10 minutes ago, csnavywx said: Ya'll are hoping for that GFS weak overrunning solution when the real money is closer to the 18Z Euro that hangs most of the energy back in the base of the longwave and is thus available for a Gulf low rather than a weak slider that comes out in pieces. We've got some real cold air to work with this time, so stop worrying about the thermals. Agree. Love what the 18z euro is showing. Looks like it’s loading up its bazooka and aiming it right at us. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Monday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:36 PM ICON with some ice on Saturday west of town. And a light event on Monday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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