pazzo83 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You must be a lot of fun at parties Howard was probably over-served at lunch again. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 24 minutes ago, mappy said: Oh my. anyway, how’s next week looking? Celebrating MECS-LK day with Mongolian cold and lots of vitriol 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 41 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Did not say they were i know it galls you otherwise you would Not have to jump in so quick Think sometimes Before you respond in an instigative manner . The adult is me, not thee Sir with all due respect...why do you come in here so on-edge all the time? Like nobody will even say anything to you, and you'll come in and say something aggressive. I mean no harm or offense, I'm just trying to understand. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 39 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Did not say they were i know it galls you otherwise you would Not have to jump in so quick Think sometimes Before you respond in an instigative manner . The adult is me, not thee This ain't philosphy. Maybe join here? https://thephilosophyforum.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Sir with all due respect...why do you come in here so on-edge all the time? Like nobody will even say anything to you, and you'll come in and say something aggressive. I mean no harm or offense, I'm just trying to understand. I’ve seen this script before, you’re wasting your time. Don’t even bother trying to get in the middle of it. We all want snow anyways, that’s what I come here for. Certain posters have been the same for years. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Fyi, today's weeklies just out maintain BN a lot the first 2 weeks, then keep us normal until the week of 2/17-24. That is a major can-kick from the last several days that had AN getting here starting the week of 2/3. Fwiw, AN precip the week starting 1/27 and then normal thru 2/24. What good are these weeklies? They've been so wrong lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 52 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Considering the amount of shit I take it’s warranted . Feel free to take credit if you have something to predict that comes out true and stays that way Maybe, but there are better and more humble ways to beat your chest and claim victory. Me? I don't know shit, so if I get something right it's by pure luck. That said...if my late-January triple phaser call were to work out, I'd be crowing from the rooftops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said: What good are these weeklies? They've been so wrong lately. Not wrt to temps. They have been decent. Precip, snow, and any other forecasts I haven't followed closely so I can't comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 WB 12Z Spire.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z Spire.... Do you think this has a legit chance to tranSPIRE? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Do you think this has a legit chance to tranSPIRE? I think everything is on the table for next week.... Mostly sunny, cold with a 30% of an MECS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z Spire.... How has that performed this winter 5-6 days out if you know? Thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 35 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I’ve seen this script before, you’re wasting your time. Don’t even bother trying to get in the middle of it. We all want snow anyways, that’s what I come here for. Certain posters have been the same for years. Excuse me, all i talk is science and snow. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: How has that performed this winter 5-6 days out if you know? Thanks No idea....but even the blind squirrel sometimes finds its nut! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z Spire.... I think i pay for that channel on cable, it's definitely not G rated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: No idea....but even the blind squirrel sometimes finds its nut! Hey i find mine every morning. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 WTF is the Spire? Is that the CRAS brought back to life!? Anyway, I’ll be sailing in the Caribbean next week. So if everyone gets MECS’y without me, have fun, but don’t you dare get HECSy or BECSy until after 1/25. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: WTF is the Spire? Is that the CRAS brought back to life!? Anyway, I’ll be sailing in the Caribbean next week. So if everyone gets MECS’y without me, have fun, but don’t you dare get HECSy or BECSy until after 1/25. Not waiting for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I see the Cras talked about a lot lately. But how about the DGEX? That’s the real OG. Spire might become that if it’s right as depicted 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Spire model is a scam like all other models developed by private weather analytics companies. They don't post anything about its internals online and it wouldn't surprise me at all if it's literally just IFS/GFS output that they downscale/postprocess with ml. They even use redflag buzzwords like "deep learning" on their site to let you know they're selling dung 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: I see the Cras talked about a lot lately. But how about the DGEX? That’s the real OG. Spire might become that if it’s right as depicted There was also an ETAxx that bombed out everything massively Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 minutes ago, LordBaltimore said: Spire model is a scam like all other models developed by private weather analytics companies. They don't post anything about its internals online and it wouldn't surprise me at all if it's literally just IFS/GFS output that they downscale/postprocess with ml. They even use redflag buzzwords like "deep learning" on their site to let you know they're selling dung lol that is almost certainly what they are doing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I have not heard @Ji pointing to the JMA either. I am ready for alignment of all the backup models to support a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 In all seriousness, is a minor event even possible Thursday late? I have heard whispers at one point. Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 21 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Hey i find mine every morning. LOL that comment you responded to was like a direct feed for a slam-dunk, classic @ravensrule response by the one and only!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 1 hour ago, mappy said: Oh my. anyway, how’s next week looking? I was trying to figure that out while on an ams break lol. In other news, Cantore is one of us. He was attending the “winter weather in a warming world” presentation this morning. Also briefly met Jason Samenow, who sat down next to me and my coworker (saw the name tag). I recognized the name from cwg. Tons of presentations and posters here. Heard the Bmore one was also pretty big. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 41 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z Spire.... Can you post the 18z Sprite when it comes out? Tryna see something. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 I've never heard of Spire Weather before, but based on their website, it looks like it's another AI modeling system (someone correct me if I'm wrong). It doesn't take much to run an AI model... Especially since the source code for panguweather, fourcastnet, and graphcast are available online for free: https://github.com/ecmwf-lab/ai-models My recommendation: If they don't evaluate or provide modeling specifications, don't use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Full on war going on in here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 23 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: I see the Cras talked about a lot lately. But how about the DGEX? That’s the real OG. Spire might become that if it’s right as depicted The DGEX had a 959 bomb on every run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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