psuhoffman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 5:42 PM, mappy said: I hope so. Today was the first time I’ve even mentioned my total lol Expand You complain less than anyone else about snow. I’m almost positive he was referring to someone else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I'll take the Cmc pre 240 hours and the gfs post 240. That would be a January to remember 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 My take lots of potential on the map in another week....patience young Jedi's...too early to tell if we will bullseye or whiff.... but with cold air aplenty we are in the game. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 5:42 PM, mappy said: I hope so. Today was the first time I’ve even mentioned my total lol Expand He was definitely talking about someone else. Do you know anyone in Monkton?. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 5:45 PM, psuhoffman said: You complain less than anyone else about snow. I’m almost positive he was referring to someone else. Expand I’m positive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I would just have to laugh if I’d verified like this, thankfully it won’t cause next run will be completely different. 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 D10 on the Euro with a moderate hit DC and major hit central VA - temps in the single digits. Fun times ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 3:45 PM, frd said: Arriving from Siberia to your house soon. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1878439902720753747 Eric Webb @webberweather <The brutally cold arctic air mass that enters the CONUS a week from now originates over Siberia about 10 days earlier & starts out at -30C to -40C.> Expand That will definitely pop the southeast ridge and a storm track right up the Eastern Seaboard just hope not too close and even west of us changes afoot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 5:45 PM, psuhoffman said: You complain less than anyone else about snow. I’m almost positive he was referring to someone else. Expand He definitely was. It was almost me. But I have FIVE POINT FOUR inches @mattie g so not exactly me 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 6:01 PM, TSSN+ said: I would just have to laugh if I’d verified like this, thankfully it won’t cause next run will be completely different. Expand This is SE weenie approved. I'll see myself to the door, thanks. You guys will have the last laugh when I stare sadly out the window at cold rain while you shovel when it moves north. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 6:03 PM, Kevin Reilly said: That will definitely pop the southeast ridge and a storm track right up the Eastern Seaboard just hope not too close and even west of us changes afoot! Expand Should be interesting model runs in the days ahead, and I look forward to cold smoke scenarios 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 5:30 PM, WEATHER53 said: Mongolia has kept it up and still is. We were predicted to get frigid once before and we got quite cold instead so let’s see if this batch hits us right on. It looks like rollover cold which puts Dakotas at -30 for lows and is modified by about 30 when it gets here but that would still be extremely cold here, highs 15-20 and lows 0 to 5 Expand Ouch that is a direct hit on Austin. I don't even want to think about how cold that would be, a reprise of Feb 2022 I hope not. We lost all our plants and I was hauling water like an Oklahoma Sooner for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 5:42 PM, mappy said: I hope so. Today was the first time I’ve even mentioned my total lol Expand Yeah he said you don’t bring it up in every single (expletive) post, so he had no idea you were the lowest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Wow the Euro and GFS are cold. Even adjusting for the models overdoing the cold in the long run it’ll still be really cold. You love to see it. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 6:01 PM, TSSN+ said: I would just have to laugh if I’d verified like this, thankfully it won’t cause next run will be completely different. I honestly don’t get the point of posting 14 day clown maps. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 EPS continues to delay the retrogression at range. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 6:50 PM, psuhoffman said: EPS continues to delay the retrogression at range. Expand we've seen the Pacific jet get stronger time and time again as we head into the medium range so the retrogression might just be overdone 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 6:55 PM, brooklynwx99 said: we've seen the Pacific jet get stronger time and time again as we head into the medium range so the retrogression might just be overdone Expand I wonder if that would actually push the pna ridge further east so instead of a west-central trough, it’ll be situated closer to the east. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I'm psyched. We have legit potential for something special. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 6:58 PM, Terpeast said: I wonder if that would actually push the pna ridge further east so instead of a west-central trough, it’ll be situated closer to the east. Expand https://x.com/burgwx/status/1878092406022967591 Tomer had stated he thinks the trough axis was going to move West in time ( ie. Feb ) and we would experience retrogression, however now I am wondering with newer data does it stay situated closer to the East , as you mentioned. This would add to our window of potential snow events. Meanwhile Bamwx posted that the + TNH pattern may persist in Feb. https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/1878076865157476541 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 7:17 PM, frd said: https://x.com/burgwx/status/1878092406022967591 Tomer had stated he thinks the trough axis was going to move West in time ( ie. Feb ) and we would experience retrogression, however now I am wondering with newer data does it stay situated closer to the East , as you mentioned. This would add to our window of potential snow events. Meanwhile Bamwx posted that the + TNH pattern may persist in Feb. https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/1878076865157476541 Expand I like those maps, but Bamwx is a fraud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 7:17 PM, frd said: https://x.com/burgwx/status/1878092406022967591 Tomer had stated he thinks the trough axis was going to move West in time ( ie. Feb ) and we would experience retrogression, however now I am wondering with newer data does it stay situated closer to the East , as you mentioned. This would add to our window of potential snow events. Meanwhile Bamwx posted that the + TNH pattern may persist in Feb. https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/1878076865157476541 Expand The guy, Mike, on Bamwx does a nice job explaining things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 7:27 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I like those maps, but Bamwx is a fraud. Expand Why do you say that? I never listened to them until this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 8:01 PM, mitchnick said: Why do you say that? I never listened to them until this year. Expand While I wouldn’t paint them a fraud unless they outright steal other people’s work, they have a pattern of overhyping cold shots. Like posting an op or control run showing widespread -20/-30 departures at 10+ days out on social media, being too declarative in their forecast instead of showing comparisons, and everyone running with it, while ensembles show a more conservative departure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 8:01 PM, mitchnick said: Why do you say that? I never listened to them until this year. Expand Posting clown maps to social media trying to drum up clicks. Easy money and people are stupid, so I can’t say I blame them. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 EPS precip matrix over 15 days is awful 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 8:13 PM, Ji said: EPS precip matrix over 15 days is awful Expand Considering we're looking at little or nothing this week, which we've known for a while, it's not quite as bad as it looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 If summing, remember to divide by 2 as these are 24-hour precipitation values for six-hour periods with every other one shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 The EPS definitely shifted south and favors the Richmond area for the biggest threat around the 21-22. But it’s one run. The ggem is further north and 95 or even slightly NW is for target zone. And it’s still far enough out that small shifts run to run shouldn’t be over reacted to. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 6:27 PM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Wow the Euro and GFS are cold. Even adjusting for the models overdoing the cold in the long run it’ll still be really cold. You love to see it. Expand Yeah, euro threw out some dumb cold. 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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