psuhoffman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:30 AM, stormtracker said: My outlook could be totally wrong because I'm not sure wtf we are hoping for Expand I’m kinda thinking our best shot at a decent snow might be the NS out of the way more and allow the moisture to ride the trough more. It’s lower upside but getting any kind of phase is becoming unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:30 AM, stormtracker said: My outlook could be totally wrong because I'm not sure wtf we are hoping forI see one shortwave in south central Canada that was in southern Minnesota at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:31 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: 12 days brings us to the 19th. That gives us 12 days at the end of the month to get to AN precip *if* nothing pops up before then. That is plenty of time, the month is far from over. See late Jan 1987 as an example. Expand *would be 100% for Jan 1987 as a repeat for 2025* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:31 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: 12 days brings us to the 19th. That gives us 12 days at the end of the month to get to AN precip *if* nothing pops up before then. That is plenty of time, the month is far from over. See late Jan 1987 as an example. Expand Yep. And like I said, this week was really an early bonus...To me, our prime climo is Jan 15th-PD. There have been great winters where the goods didn't come until that period anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:35 AM, Maestrobjwa said: To me, our prime climo is Jan 15th-PD. Expand CWG says so too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Precip shield out west looks more consolidated as the north stream seems less problematic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:33 AM, Ji said: I see one shortwave in south central Canada that was in southern Minnesota at 18z Expand Dead ratter. See you for the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 We get some sympathy flakes...but it's clearly heading out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:40 AM, stormtracker said: We get some sympathy flakes...but it's clearly heading out to sea. Expand Oy...pathetique. Reeeeal pathetique... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:40 AM, stormtracker said: We get some sympathy flakes...but it's clearly heading out to sea.That looks like more than a few lonesome flakes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:40 AM, stormtracker said: We get some sympathy flakes...but it's clearly heading out to sea. Expand I mean its not gonna turn up the coast but we do get into its precip shield 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:43 AM, Ji said: That looks like more than a few lonesome flakes Expand I'm not using crayola maps that color any amount of precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:45 AM, stormtracker said: I'm not using crayola maps that color any amount of precip. Expand What's your favorite flavor? I like magenta 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beagles20 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I think we have a courtesy L pressure to the north letting the southern L to pass through first. What is causing it to hang out between hours 57 and 81? It basically doesn't move. I am not a meterologist so I am seriously asking. I have never seen that without blocking. Is it because of the system we are watching to the south? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 It's the NAM at its worst range as precip arrives towards us but to me it looks "healthier" overall than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:43 AM, Ji said: That looks like more than a few lonesome flakes Expand 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:51 AM, wasnow215 said: It's the NAM at its worst range Expand But it basically shows what the gfs and euro are showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 ICON has a nice DC snow hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 3:10 AM, rjvanals said: ICON has a nice DC snow hole Expand If DC gets a snow hole in January it usually persists throughout the season... is what I would say if they didn't get 7 inches yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 12:55 AM, 87storms said: Friday's squall'y day is underrated. I actually think that was more exciting weather-wise than yesterday lol, at least up here where I received about 0.5" after 8am. Expand It did snow harder Friday but I got 8” and some good moderate to heavy rates for many hours with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 1:07 AM, psuhoffman said: The next strong signal for a storm across guidance isn’t until day 12-15. Hopefully something comes up before then but unfortunately the overly suppressed dry fears might be becoming more likely which was always the most likely issue with this pattern. Expand The cold air was solid but gentle this time, I think a general trend of cold but unusually non suppressive will occur. Damn sure fun so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 What do we do if the GFS/Euro don't budge? We waiting until tomorrow for COD (call of death)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I'm gonna hang in there until 0z tomorrow unless 18z is just a complete toilet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 2:35 AM, Maestrobjwa said: Yep. And like I said, this week was really an early bonus...To me, our prime climo is Jan 15th-PD. There have been great winters where the goods didn't come until that period anyway. Expand That’s always how it’s been historically, but over the last decade it seems to have shifted to the first three weeks of January. I have no idea if that’s just a weird coincidence like Dec. 5 was in the 2000’s, or if it’s a shift towards a new normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Has the sw vort a little easter and the vort coming down the backside a little more dug in...heights are higher in front over the central/east US...but...I mean, it's nothing eye raising so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 If I see something positive I'll comment. Otherwise im just gonna let it run till game time. It's definitely more amplified in front..still not gonna full phase tho. Let's see where this goes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Nice little snow/ice event for ATL. Yall don't care, but not much to say at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 On 1/8/2025 at 3:51 AM, stormtracker said: Nice little snow/ice event for ATL. Yall don't care, but not much to say at this point. Expand When was the last time ATL got anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The trough is trending more positive every run. It’s going the wrong way. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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