Buddy1987 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Sorry @stormtracker, I can't read when getting digitally jacked. Appreciate the consideration from waaaaay down Herr @Buddy1987 I've liked this setup from afar. Yesterday was always going to be a temp problem for me/you. This one is right in the zone for an all snow event that sticks from the start. We're getting close to locking in 2-4 with boom potential. Pretty stoked! 12z Canadian looks a lot more phase happy earlier on than 12z GFS lets see what happens in the upcoming frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I will pay for an Airbnb in Southern MD this weekend for @North Balti Zen to stay in. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 GGEM looks better than 0z looking at h5 thru 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Canadian looks to be a Richmond to Northern Neck to VA Beach special.....nice totals there but Northern VA folks wont like it much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: South is snow town. Time to move south I guess if you want to see snow. Lol CWG in 2018: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/01/17/the-number-of-southern-cities-which-have-more-snow-than-d-c-is-embarrassing/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I knew living alongside I-95 in HoCo would pay dividends. You poor souls up in the hills. That’s what you get for upgrading your elevation and being closer to the sun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Sorry @stormtracker, I can't read when getting digitally jacked. Appreciate the consideration from waaaaay down Herr @Buddy1987 I've liked this setup from afar. Yesterday was always going to be a temp problem for me/you. This one is right in the zone for an all snow event that sticks from the start. We're getting close to locking in 2-4 with boom potential. Pretty stoked! Ill give you shout outs from now on in the pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Southern slider. The 12z GFS appears about as good as we can get from it around here. If the storm were to wrap up more than depicted, precip type issues would crop up for the big cities. Been following the 11th's storm for two weeks, sorry it's not looking wow for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somecallmetim Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I'm curious how many of us have moved north to get more snow in years past...i'm one of those who did moving from Woodbridge to Leesburg back in 04 That would have been a decent screen name. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 12 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I hope it's easier to get a nw tick than a north tick! This is a different synoptic setup, the results yesterday do not have much to say about this next threat. That does not mean we don't get fringed again, but its a different set of circumstances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, psuhoffman said: This is a different synoptic setup, the results yesterday do not have much to say about this next threat. That does not mean we don't get fringed again, but its a different set of circumstances. Historically, what does a storm like this tend to trend towards as we close in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ill give you shout outs from now on in the pbp We took one for the team the other night so you all could get fire hosed. My road looks like I live in northwest Russia right now. Would like some nice powder. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Historically, what does a storm like this tend to trend towards as we close in? Odds are at this range there will be an error in where the baroclinic boundary sets up and the wave tracks, but in recent years its been equal chances whether that error is NW or SE. But a typical error NW puts us into good snow. A typical error SE leaves us smoking cirrus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 CMC snow. A tick southeast 50+miles, and less broad/generous with QPF 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Odds are at this range there will be an error in where the baroclinic boundary sets up and the wave tracks, but in recent years its been equal chances whether that error is NW or SE. But a typical error NW puts us into good snow. A typical error SE leaves us smoking cirrus. Still. Almost 100 hours away. Models will change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That does not mean we don't get fringed again, We are though, the good stuff is further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: We are though, the good stuff is further south. I meant in reality not on models at day 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 GEFS low positions for 12z Sat. And mean snow, probably a bit more coming but dont feel like waiting for the panel to load: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 12z GEFS surprisingly juiced for 1/11. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 OK, more than I thought on the 102 hour panel. GEFS mean. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Not bad. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 28 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I'm curious how many of us have moved north to get more snow in years past...i'm one of those who did moving from Woodbridge to Leesburg back in 04 I grew up in northern Calvert and got shafted many times while occasionally getting the jackpot (for example Blizzard of '79). Getting a few inches of slush then driving rain and spiking to 50 in the March '93 storm was the last straw. When I got a fed gov job, I picked the N&W burbs and settled in Germantown in 1994 My fam are all still there and have fun with me when they win - like the 12 they just got. They had a field day with me on Jan 25, 2000 when they got 20" and I got 7! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I’d gladly take a 2-4 incher on a Saturday. Excellent brunch potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Ukmet is like what storm for anyone. Not even the south gets basically anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Very close to canceling my emergency Friday flight, but gonna give it another 36 hours. Why not. Hope ya'll at get the extra 3-5 to freshen up the snowpack for my return on Monday. Need to make a snowman. Or throw a snowball off my balcony. Do something snowy. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 lol I can’t with these models anymore 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 10 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: 12z GEFS surprisingly juiced for 1/11. That is a hell of a misleading scale though lol typically dark green is like .5-.75 precip 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somecallmetim Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Very close to canceling my emergency Friday flight, but gonna give it another 36 hours. Why not. If you'd be willing to take one for the team and cancel today so the 00Z runs bring it back, that would be huge. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, somecallmetim said: If you'd be willing to take one for the team and cancel today so the 00Z runs bring it back, that would be huge. sorry - no dice. taking ya'll down with me on this one. Just to make sure this post isn't entirely banter, here are the 12z GEFS members. Still a bomb or three in the mix - but safe to say the median outcome is a more SE oriented light/mod snowstorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: sorry - no dice. taking ya'll down with me on this one. Just to make sure this post isn't entirely banter, here are the 12z GEFS members. Still a bomb or three in the mix - but safe to say the median outcome is a more SE oriented light/mod snowstorm. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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