stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 So at 90, trough is more positively tilted than 18z...but is that because of speed or it's just...uh...more positively tilted... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I'm at 72 looks like GFS is not surrendering without a fight. at 84 the STJ wave is "better" but the flow over the top is flatter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If I had to split hairs, only trend i don't care for is last 4 gfs runs the Southwest energy is a little slower each time to come out. May not make a huge difference. it does if it allows the NS to get out ahead instead of diving in behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 More positively tilted and a bit of a wave disconnect in over the northern GL's at 90 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 We're looking at a back step it seems. I'm sorry yall 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 7 minutes ago, Ji said: I looked at euro enso forecast. We could be trying the Nino thing again next year with hopefully less blowtorch If we can get a non super nino with a better PDO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Maybe I'm being too simplistic but hour 78 looked a lot like the 0z Icon just out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The H5 over upper midwest has been sheared out into a big + tilt trough, not what we're looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: We're looking at a back step it seems. I'm sorry yall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Looks like it is slowly going towards the middle ground models ie icon/cmc. I expect euro eventually heads that way too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 But Chuck said it was gonna rain so the huge snowstorm for the TN Valley into the Carolinas can't be right 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just an unfortunately more positive tilt...northern vort outruns the southern vort sadly. POSITIVE: It still gets snows into the area. Waiting to see how much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Looks like it is slowly going towards the middle ground models ie icon/cmc. I expect euro eventually heads that way too. I’ll take my 2” and be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Looks like it is slowly going towards the middle ground models ie icon/cmc. I expect euro eventually heads that way too. We can still get a win that way, but it might involve rooting for the NS to just GTF out of the way enough instead of a sloppy phase 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, ravensrule said: I’ll take my 2” and be happy. Ditto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The death knell. 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I mean look...is it the moisture bomb we're looking for? No...it looks to be a 4-7 thang...and I mean...are we really gonna complain if that's our floor? 7 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 If it makes you feel better, NYC went from 20" to 2". 4 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, stormtracker said: If it makes you feel better, NYC went from 20" to 2". I can get on board with this any day of the week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, stormtracker said: If it makes you feel better, NYC went from 20" to 2". Now I’m ecstatic. Yea baby. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: If it makes you feel better, NYC went from 20" to 2". It does make me feel better 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: We can still get a win that way, but it might involve rooting for the NS to just GTF out of the way enough instead of a sloppy phase The last time you said that that GL low screwed us over in March 2018 and in fact did NOT get out of the way...I remember that post distinctly for some reason, lol I'd rather not have to root for that...because that seems to be a chaotic needle thread that we don't do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If it makes you feel better, NYC went from 20" to 2". That's what happens when you lock in a hecs thread 6 days out. That's karma. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I mean look...is it the moisture bomb we're looking for? No...it looks to be a 4-7 thang...and I mean...are we really gonna complain if that's our floor? Nah I'd take that. Ya just hope it's not gonna get worse from here and go to a Euro solution... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 At least this GFS run knows where its supposed to put the death band damnit 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: The last time you said that that GL low screwed us over in March 2018 and in fact did NOT get out of the way. I remember that post distinctly for some reason, lol I'd rather not have to root for that...because that seems to be a chaotic needle thread that we don't do well. it is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I mean look...is it the moisture bomb we're looking for? No...it looks to be a 4-7 thang...and I mean...are we really gonna complain if that's our floor? Since I got three whole inches today…no, no I would not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Is that a clipper on the gfs behind the weekend storm? That can't be?! Talk about a unicorn. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 One thing for sure though...to my amateur eyes the next couple weeks look cold and active on these models with the gulf looking open for business. Me thinks we'll have other chances even if this one doesn't work out...what say you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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