Maestrobjwa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 11 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro is taking micro steps, stubborn asf Yeah but it always does that, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Jesus Christ. Like, what?!?!? When did they turn into some kid in his basement ripping and reading one model? there are some respectable mets at that station too - what in the world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Which one of you weenies are interning there and running the social media pages? Yeah i was about to share the same thing. Sue Palka would not have allowed that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Why do you still know how much she triggers me? Leesburg 04 told me to pick that scab 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Leesburg 04 told me to pick that scab i miss leesburg 04...when he lived in Leesburg, we got alot more snow. Where did that A hole go? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Why do you say? That's not at least progress? It is. But we are under 5 days now. If the gfs is going to score a coup we need a bigger jump imo. Someone else said it, end result probably going to be up in-between the 2 like a CMC/ICON blend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Ji said: i miss leesburg 04...when he lived in Leesburg, we got alot more snow. Where did that A hole go? Last i heard he grew a beard and got fat and joined a traveling polka band 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 23 minutes ago, weathercoins said: Lmao at them Tweeting this. Insane thing to write outside of this message board. https://x.com/fox5dc/status/1876422265123860495?s=46 Not clicking that shit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: Not clicking that shit. Maybe it will come true if you do. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: It is. But we are under 5 days now. If the gfs is going to score a coup we need a bigger jump imo. Someone else said it, end result probably going to be up in-between the 2 like a CMC/ICON blend. Dude we seen models jump massively at this range sometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 35 minutes ago, weathercoins said: Lmao at them Tweeting this. Insane thing to write outside of this message board. https://x.com/fox5dc/status/1876422265123860495?s=46 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 38 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I mean, yeah, you're right...we aren't in fantasy land with this one anymore...it's literally like 4.5 days away? Right now, the only take away is that PHL northward are favored for the extreme amounts and we're gonna get in on it, but prob not as much? And I'm OK with that tbh. If we can pull off a foot, I don't give a shit what anybody outside of this forum gets. I just want my tribe (Mid Atlantic) to get ours and if it's "only" a foot, ok then. We got a ways to go and the drama of the model runs is exciting. If the Euro joins the party within the next 24 hours, the honking will begin. IF it does pan out, and that's a huge if, It's almost a nerfed version of Feb 2010, and a buffed version of Jan 2024. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, weathercoins said: Lmao at them Tweeting this. Insane thing to write outside of this message board. https://x.com/fox5dc/status/1876422265123860495?s=46 One model had one run that said so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: One model had one run that said so The Make A Wish Model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: anybody notice a trend? They are all trending in the right direction! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I mean, yeah, you're right...we aren't in fantasy land with this one anymore...it's literally like 4.5 days away? Right now, the only take away is that PHL northward are favored for the extreme amounts and we're gonna get in on it, but prob not as much? And I'm OK with that tbh. If we can pull off a foot, I don't give a shit what anybody outside of this forum gets. I just want my tribe (Mid Atlantic) to get ours and if it's "only" a foot, ok then. We got a ways to go and the drama of the model runs is exciting. If the Euro joins the party within the next 24 hours, the honking will begin. Agreed. NYC *should* see more than us yearly, so if they get a HECS and we end up with a significant to major storm, so be it. That being said… that euro cluster waaay down in the Carolinas tells me the envelope is still wide open. Could be a monster for dc to BOS, could be offshore and a beach scraper, could be for us and miss them… can’t really discount any solution at this point, especially since the Euro and Canadian ensembles are a decent amount flatter than the gfs. Next 48 hours should be interesting to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, jayyy said: Agreed. NYC *should* see more than us yearly, so if they get a HECS and we end up with a significant to major storm, so be it. That being said… that euro cluster waaay down in the Carolinas tells me the envelope is still wide open. Could be a monster for dc to BOS, could be offshore and a beach scraper, could be for us and miss them… can’t really discount any solution at this point, especially since the Euro and Canadian ensembles are a decent amount flatter than the gfs. Next 48 hours should be interesting to say the least. I think we will have a really good idea by 12z tomorrow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 10 minutes ago, jayyy said: Agreed. NYC *should* see more than us yearly, so if they get a HECS and we end up with a significant to major storm, so be it. That being said… that euro cluster waaay down in the Carolinas tells me the envelope is still wide open. Could be a monster for dc to BOS, could be offshore and a beach scraper, could be for us and miss them… can’t really discount any solution at this point, especially since the Euro and Canadian ensembles are a decent amount flatter than the gfs. Next 48 hours should be interesting to say the least. Based on the ensemble trends (thanks @brooklynwx99), It looks to me that a storm will strengthen and ride up underneath the block. The question now is whether or not it can gets its act together before it passes us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 When the NYC weenies are already talking p-type along the coast and how much they are going to get. Makes for good entertainment in between runs 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I was looking at the models When out the corner of my eye I saw a pretty little gfs run approaching me I said, I've never seen a model Who looks so all alone Uh, could you use a euro little company? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Well...yeah..it's the 84 hour NAM, but it looks like....the 18z Euro tbh. Let's see what the rest of the 0z suite says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Nam looks pretty good if I must say so, and I must. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Well...yeah..it's the 84 hour NAM, but it looks like....the 18z Euro tbh. Let's see what the rest of the 0z suite says. Looks like a phase to me, but who knows if it would deliver or not. Big boys on deck anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, mitchnick said: Looks like a phase to me, but who knows if it would deliver or not. Big boys on deck anyway. I'm just comparing H5 looks. It's not exact, but it looks more like the Euro than GFS. But...it's the NAM. At 84 hours. So, there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Well...yeah..it's the 84 hour NAM, but it looks like....the 18z Euro tbh. Let's see what the rest of the 0z suite says.Like euro or gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Ji said: Like euro or gfs? Gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Don't laugh at the map, but it shows a picture very similar to Gfs with the elongated 5H trough. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=500th&rh=2025010700&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Don't laugh at the map, but it shows a picture very similar to Gfs with the elongated 5H trough. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=500th&rh=2025010700&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 Here's the 18z Gfs version same time as Nam https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500th&rh=2025010700&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I'm in the "00Z NAM at f84 looks closer to the 18Z Euro at f90" camp. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 A VERY good thread by Tomer: https://x.com/burgwx/status/1876446981427695730?t=a-tQxsazuaFUp2e8YcRQpw&s=19 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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